Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HINDUNILVR) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall Transcript

Hindustan Unilever Ltd (NSE:HINDUNILVR) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall dated Oct. 21, 2022

Corporate Participants:

A. Ravishankar — Group Financial Controller and Head of Investor Relations

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Analysts:

Abneesh Roy — Nuvama Institutional Equities — Analyst

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Harit Kapoor — Investec India — Analyst

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

Arnab Mitra — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Presentation:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Hindustan Unilever Limited Conference Call for the Results for September Quarter 2022. [Operator Instructions] And there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. [Operator Instructions]

I now hand the conference over to Mr. A. Ravishankar, Group Controller and Head of Investor Relations. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

A. Ravishankar — Group Financial Controller and Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Tanvi. Good evening, everyone, and welcome to the conference call of Hindustan Unilever Limited. We will be covering this evening the results for the quarter ended 30 September 2022. On the call with me is Sanjiv Mehta, our CEO and Managing Director; and Ritesh Tiwari, our CFO.

We will start the presentation with Sanjiv sharing an overview of our performance in the quarter and the operating environment. Then Ritesh will cover our financial results in more detail and share our future outlook. Before we get started with the presentation, I would like to draw your attention to the Safe Harbor statement, included in the presentation for good order sake.

With that, over to you, Sanjiv.

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Thank you, thank you, and good evening, everyone, and delighted to have you all join us for the call. My best wishes to you, your loved ones, everyone in your business and wish all of you a very Happy Diwali.

Now let me first start with a quick summary of our performance for the quarter and then cover the external environment and our strategy, then, of course, we’ll have Ritesh, our CFO take you through the results and the outlook in detail. Now from our lens, it was very clearly another quarter of strong all-round performance. Our top-line grew at a solid 16% with an underlying volume growth of 4%.

We continue to significantly outperform the market with more than 75% of our business winning value and volume market shares. EBITDA margins at 23.3% remain healthy despite the unprecedented inflation that the industry is witnessing. Our EPS grew 20%, including the benefit that we got from one-off prior period tax credits. Profit after-tax, but before exceptional items grew 9%. Now consistent strong performance has reflected, again we talk about that strategic clarity, strength of our brands, our immense capabilities, our talented people and our agility to run the business. I’m very pleased to report that we have added more than INR4,000 crores to our top-line in the first half of the fiscal and had a turnover in excess of INR28,500 crores. Ritesh will, of course, cover the first half performance in much more detail.

Now let me spend some time on the external environment. The inflationary situation and the FMCG market growth. While there has been some easing of commodity prices and supply chain pressures, inflation still continues to be a significant challenge for the industry. Except palm oil, which has seen a meaningful correction from its peak, most commodities remain volatile and elevated. In fact, some commodities, such as soda ash, milk powder, barley and cereals have further inflated during this quarter.

The other source of inflation has been the currency. Globally high levels of inflation have triggered aggressive monetary tightening measures from central banks globally across the world. This has led to a strengthening of U.S. dollars. Now U.S. dollar INR rate, which was around 74% at the beginning of this fiscal has crossed the 80% mark, hovering around 82% halfway through the year. CPI inflation continues to be above RBI threshold since January of this year, driven, of course, by higher fuel and energy prices and the food inflation. Within this, rural inflation was higher than urban.

Let me now talk about FMCG market growth with reference to the categories we operate in. In September quarter, markets grew in mid single-digit. If you compare this versus last 12 months, value growth has improved marginally, driven by higher pricing. Volume continued to decline in both urban and rural markets with a more pronounced drop in rural. Of course, if you look at the last three months numbers, on a three-year cargo basis, both urban and rural markets have grown in mid single-digit with a marginal decline in volume.

It is quite natural for consumers, especially at lower income levels to feel the pinch of increased pressure on the wallets due to the high inflation, and they do adjust volumes and prioritize essentials over discretionary to manage the household budgets. Hence to summarize the last two slides, the FMCG market context hasn’t changed significantly in this quarter and continues to remain challenging.

Now we have a very clear and compelling strategy and that remains unchanged. The two imperatives are, we will continue to navigate the short-term challenges with agility and grow our consumer franchise, whilst protecting our business model. For instance, when it comes to pricing, with a meaningful correction that we have seen in palm oil prices, we are now taking price cuts in big chunks in our Skin Cleansing portfolio to pass on the benefits to consumers and maintain the right price value equation. While on the other hand in Home Care, we’ve taken further pricing in September quarter as we saw more inflation in key input material.

The second imperative is that we need to continue single-mindedly on a journey to create a purpose-led future-fit HUL and deliver a 4G growth agenda. Growth as all of you are aware, we talk about in terms of consistent, competitive profitable and responsible. I’m sure you’re familiar with the five strategic choices. In my next couple of charts, I’m going to elaborate a bit more on developing a portfolio and a progress in the sustainability journey.

First, let me bring to life how we are developing a portfolio leveraging the capabilities that we are building under Reimagine HUL. Our Premium Beauty Business Unit, which is an incubator of our digital brands and capabilities has launched two new digital brands, Acne Squad and Find Your Happy Place. Acne Squad is a specialist brand co-created with dermatologists and backed by patented technology that addresses unmet needs of the hyper-connected consumer. It includes a range of 11 skin care products and curated regime kits proven to offer best-in-class acne treatment at each stage of acne lifecycle.

Find Your Happy Place has four more transforming experiential bath and body ranges that includes moisturizing, shower gel, bath scrub, bath salts, candle, body lotion and body butter. These are again crafted for hyper-connected digital consumers in an era where the trend and need for self-care is at an all-time high.

Each of the four launched fragrance families has been specially designed to appeal to Indian sensibilities, all of them rekindling a memory of one’s favorite place, person or feeling. These are completely digital brands launched through our agile innovation platform right from transporting through digital and social media listening to use of digital technology to curate mixes in an agile manner. For instance, through our studies we realized that acne is one of the most common searches on skin care and amongst the top concerns faced by our consumers, hyper-connected consumers.

Yet, there are very few specialist brands, excuse me, that address this concern. Very quickly, we were able to curate the right mixes providing targeted solution for every stage of the acne lifecycle. This agile innovation approach has enabled us to launch new products in half the time it used to take earlier. Our three nano factories give us the flexibility to manufacture closer to demand and in small batch sizes. We now have 14 bespoke D2C platforms to give unique shopping experience to the consumer.

We are extensively using digital marketing and influencer campaigns to reach out to a hyper-connected consumer. Digital media contributes to more than 25% of our total media spend. We are leveraging latest digital tools and technologies to create end-to-end digital journeys for our consumers. Now let me talk about responsible growth. We are a Company of brands and people with a clear purpose to make sustainable living commonplace. We believe in doing well by doing good. Dove’s purpose is to make beauty a source of confidence and not anxiety.

As part of its Self-Esteem Project, Dove is helping young people build positive body confidence and self-esteem. Last year, Dove began a movement Stop The Beauty Test to raise voice against beauty biases girls have to face while finding a life partner. And the second leg of this campaign, Dove is breaking stereotypes and urging the society to place emphasis on education instead of seeing girls from the eyes of perspective groom. Project Shakti, we launched this in the early part of this millennium with the aim to financially empower and provide livelihood opportunities to women in rural India.

Today, we have more than 160,000 Shakti entrepreneurs. We are now digitizing the Shakti Ammas through our flagship Shikhar app to bring them to the forefront of the new digital India. Till-date, we have onboarded over 50,000 Shakti women on the app who are now able to place orders at their convenience and get HUL products in an easy and reliable way. Our Dapada Home Care manufacturing site has added a new feather in the cap. The site has been recognized by World Economic Forum as a Sustainability Lighthouse. First Company in India across sectors to achieve this status.

The Sustainability Lighthouse status reflects the use of revolutionary technologies, including digitally-enabled manufacturing processes that have amplified speed and agility and has lessened environmental impact by reducing energy, water and material waste. This recognition comes on the back of the unit being accorded the designation of an Advanced Fourth Industrial Revolution Lighthouse earlier this year. A fitting example of making HUL purpose-led and future-fit.

With this, let me now hand over to Ritesh, our CFO, to talk about our performance in this quarter and our outlook in much more detail. Ritesh, over to you.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sanjiv, and good evening, everyone. [Technical Issues]

Operator

Thank you. So should we begin with questions?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Hello. Hi.

Operator

Yes.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Not really, I’ll continue now.

Operator

Sure.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sanjiv, and good evening, everyone. My greetings to you and your family for the lovely festive season ahead.

I will now walk you through our in-quarter performance and our outlook. We continue to build on our strong growth momentum with top-line growing 16% in the quarter. Despite the high levels of inflation and declining market volumes, we have delivered a robust underlying volume growth of 4%. Our performance has been significantly ahead of the market and more than 75% of our business is winning value and volume market shares.

Moving to bottom-line, net profit at INR2,616 crore, grew 20%. Profit after-tax before exceptional items grew 9%. There were one-off prior period tax credits in this quarter and that largely explains the difference in the growth of net profit and profit after-tax before exceptional items. Our EBITDA margin was at a healthy 23.3% despite the unprecedented inflation.

Let me spend a couple of more minutes talking about how we’re navigating this challenging environment through dynamic financial management. As we had anticipated and called out earlier, almost all commodities sans palm oil continue to remain at significantly elevated levels. This along with consumption of higher cost inventory has led to a 590 bps year-on-year increase in our cost of goods sold in this quarter. This also includes an impact of 70 bps coming from higher investment in consumer promotions.

Despite this, we have been able to hold EBITDA margins at a healthy 23.3%, which translates to 180 bps year-on-year decline and 10 bps sequential improvement. This was possible due to a clear focus on fundamentals that we have been consistently speaking about. And these are to start with operating our business with agility and ensuring that we provide the right price value equation to our consumers, adequately supporting our brands with marketing investments, while sharply attributing media spends to growth and maintaining our share of voice ahead of our market shares.

Number three, investing in our products and giving better value to the consumers. As we had called out, our product superiority continues to be two times the pre-COVID levels. And importantly number four, we continue to drive savings harder and optimize all non-consumer facing costs. Through this frugal mindset and growth leverage, we have delivered a net 160 bps reduction within other expenses and employee costs, where employee costs increased by 20 bps on account of salary inflation and variable pay to us for the first half performance.

Moving on to performance across our three segments. Home Care delivered another stellar performance growing at 34% with double-digit volume growth. Beauty & Personal Care grew ahead of the market at 11%. Foods & Refreshment had a steady quarter, growing at 4%, led by strong performance in foods, coffee, and ice cream. Despite the significant inflation, our margins in all three segments remained at healthy levels with Home Care at 17%, BPC at 25% and F&R at 20%. We will get down to talk about performance within each of the division in subsequent slides.

Talking about innovation, this has been a busy quarter for our marketing teams as we have launched several products across many of our brands. This is in addition to the two new digital brands, Acne Squad and Find Your Happy Place, which Sanjiv talked about. Let me pick a few to elaborate. Our digital brand, Simple and Love Beauty & Planet have expanded their portfolio further. Simple has launched a new Vitamin C range for complete skin care regime.

Love Beauty & Planet has launched new hair care products. Our iconic beauty brand, Lakme launched a new foundation, which has infused the goodness of serum that works both as a makeup and skin care. Glow & Lovely launched HydraGlow, a cream enriched with rose serum. Extending our Horlicks franchise, we have seeded a new format, Gummies and launched two products, Nutri Gummies and Diabetes Gummies on our D2C platforms. Nutri Gummies especially crafted to fulfill nutritional gaps and is enriched with 12 vitamins and minerals.

Diabetes Gummies is powered with Mulberry Leaf Extract, which helps to manage the risk of diabetes in a convenient way. Kwality Wall’s added exciting new flavors, such as Nolen Gur, Gulab Jamun, and Milk Cake to add more joy to the festive season. Surf Excel Matic introduced power concentrate, a revolutionary concentrated liquid formulated to give two times cleaning power with an intense long-lasting fragrance. Expanding the peanut butter range, Kissan has launched new Hazelnut Choco Peanut Spread.

Talking about our new marketing campaign, Boost has activated a new trend, which aims to break stereotypes around girls in sports. Glow & Lovely has a new communication for its ayurvedic face cream. Hamam was relaunched in this quarter with a new superior product. The relaunch was following the campaign around building courage with girls to embrace the outside world.

Moving on to our performance in Home Care. Our business delivered yet another stellar quarter at 34% with robust performance both in Fabric Wash and Household Care. Despite high pricing, Home Care grew volumes in double-digits, reflecting the strength of our brand and portfolio. Fabric was delivered high double-digit growth enhance the market share gains led by robust performance across the portfolio. Supported by our strong market development actions, liquid detergents and fabric conditioners continue to outperform, and it is now more than INR2,000 crore annual business.

Household Care grew in high double-digits, driven by solid performance in dishwash. Our dishwash brand, Vim won the Kantar Creative Effectiveness Award for its unstereotype campaign. With more input cost inflation, we have taken calibrated pricing actions both in Fabric Wash and Household Care.

Next talking about Beauty & Personal Care, the business grew 11%, driven by outperformance in premium portfolio. Skin Cleansing delivered broad-based strong double-digit growth. Beauty and premium brands with Lux, Dove and Pears continued to outperform and delivered mid single-digit volume growth. Lifebuoy soap grew in high-teens and continues to be the market leader in this segment. We are now passing on the benefit of lower commodity costs to consumers and taking price cuts in big chunks.

Hair Care further strengthened its market leadership with strong broad-based performance. Our innovation and future formats such as masks and serums continue to gain consumer relevance. As in previous quarters, skin care and color cosmetics performance has been a story of two halves. Premium parts of the portfolio such as Lakme and Ponds outperformed delivering double-digit growth. However, inflation impact on discretionary consumption affected the performance of our mass segment such as Glow & Lovely and Talc. Oral Care had a steady quarter led by Close Up.

Let me now turn to Foods & Refreshment. F&R grew 4%, led by strong performance in foods, coffee and ice cream. Tea continued to cement its market leadership and grew volumes in mid single-digit. In-quarter performance was muted as price cuts impacted overall value growth. Coffee sustained its strong growth momentum and grew in double-digits. In Health Food Drinks, we continued with our market development actions to build category relevance. In this quarter alone, we have reached almost 9 million consumers through our home-to-home care program and launched new TV campaigns. Horlicks Mother’s Plus partnered with PharmEasy to build nutrition awareness and drive trials with new mothers. We also seeded new formats and launched Nutri Gummies and Diabetes on our D2C platform as I mentioned earlier. All these actions have helped us continue gaining market shares and penetration.

Overall, category growth have remained subdued due to the impact of inflation on discretionary consumption. Foods delivered strong double-digit growth with volumes growing in mid-teens. This was led by Jams and Food Solutions business. As we had called out earlier, the reopening of schools has increased the consumption occasions for Jams. Our Food Solutions business that provide products for chefs and restaurants continue to scale up and is now almost double of pre-COVID levels.

Ice Cream had another strong quarter with double-digit growth and a very high base. Our innovations such as Feast Black Forest, Trixy Cheesecake continued to perform well. Ahead of the festive season, we added more exciting flavors that I mentioned earlier.

Now let me summarize our performance has been strong in the quarter with 16% sales growth and 20% growth in net profit. As I mentioned earlier, we had a one-off tax prior period adjustment in this quarter and including that our ETR for this fiscal year is expected to be around 24 percentage.

Let me quickly take you through results for the first half of this fiscal. We delivered a strong performance both in top-line and bottom-line. We have added more than INR4,000 crores to our top-line, growing at 18% and taking our turnover to INR28,530 crores. Despite unprecedented levels of inflation, we have maintained EBITDA margins at a healthy 23.2%. Net profit at INR4,905 crores grew 15%. Profit after-tax and before exceptional items grew 13%.

Taking into account the strong performance of the Company, I’m pleased to inform you that the Board of Directors have declared an interim dividend of INR17 per share for the year ended March 31, 2023, which is a step-up of INR2 as compared to the interim dividend of last fiscal.

Now moving on to our outlook, let me start with giving you some more color how inflation is panning out. Our September quarter net material inflation is at 22%. And this is sequentially higher than June quarter. This is in line what we had called out earlier during June quarter results. Consequently, our COGS has increased sequentially by 150 bps to 55% in this quarter. You will recall from our earlier slide as Sanjiv covered, most commodities are still at significantly inflated level and are holding firm.

Strengthening of U.S. dollar is also adding to further inflation. However, few commodities, largely, palm oil have corrected from their highs. But this softening and if other commodities remain at the current elevated level, we expect our December quarter NOI to be slightly lower than our September quarter numbers, albeit remaining significantly high on a year-on-year basis. This will help us to marginally reduce the price versus cost gap and aid in sequential gross margin improvement.

With the likely increase in media intensity, we will dial up our brand and marketing investment and continue to ensure our share of voice remain ahead of our share of market. Needless to say, we will continue to extensively drive productivity improvement and operate our business with agility to maintain right price value accretion for our consumers.

Looking ahead, we are cautiously optimistic. In the near-term, demand environment remains challenging and growth will be price-led. If commodities were to remain where they are today, we expect the price versus cost gap to marginally narrow, leading to a sequential improvement in gross margin in December quarter. With the likely increase in media intensity, we expect a step up in our A&P investments. Our two clear imperatives remain. First, our priority is to grow our consumer franchise and protect our business model. We will do this by investing competitively behind our brands, ensuring the right price value equation for consumers and driving savings harder. And second, continue with our journey to create a purpose-led future-fit HUL and deliver 4G growth, growth that is consistent, competitive, profitable and responsible.

Before we move to Q&A, let me summarize what we covered till now. We continue to build on the strong growth momentum and delivered 16% top-line growth with 4% underlying volume growth. In the first half of this fiscal, we’ve added more than INR4,000 crores to our top-line, growing at 18%. Our growth was significantly ahead of the market with more than 75% of our business winning both value and volume shares. Despite the unprecedented level of inflation, our EBITDA margins remain healthy.

Considering the strong performance, Board of Directors have declared an interim dividend of INR17 per share. We are cautiously optimistic about the near-term demand environment with growth being price-led. We expect our December quarter NMI to be marginally lower than September quarter, albeit remaining significantly higher on a year-on-year basis. Consequently, gross margin in DQ is expected to improve sequentially along with a step up in A&P investments.

With this, let me hand over to Ravi to commence our Q&A session.

A. Ravishankar — Group Financial Controller and Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Sanjiv. Thank you, Ritesh. With this, we will now move on to the Q&A. As usual, we would request you to restrict your questions to maximum of two at a time. In case there are further questions, you’re always welcome to join the queue again. In addition to the audio, our participants have an option to post the questions through the web option on your screen. We’ll take these questions just before we end.

With that, I’d like to hand the call back to Tanvi to manage the next session for us.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Abneesh Roy from Nuvama Institutional Equities. Please go ahead.

Abneesh Roy — Nuvama Institutional Equities — Analyst

Yeah, thanks. My first question is in categories where deflation [Phonetic] has started, is HUL playing a different template? Why I’m asking this is in Tea, there is around 7% to 8% price correction at the consumer level. Against that, your 5% volume growth looks impressive, given the other large player has reported negative volume, and Nielsen overall, FMCG is negative volume in both urban and rural.

So unlike earlier times when deflation happened, regional players used to come back. This time it seems you have gained market share in Tea from regional and clearly the other large players. So could you help us understand that? And similar template can it be followed in Skin Cleansing also because there also deflation has started?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Before we — I hand it over to Ritesh, Abneesh, we launched Nolen Gur ice cream for you. I hope you have tasted it.

Abneesh Roy — Nuvama Institutional Equities — Analyst

Yes, sir. It was very good, sir. I like that.

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Wonderful.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Abneesh, thanks for your question. And there are pockets and exactly called out Tea and Skin Cleansing are the two categories, which have seen commodity costs coming off. It was Tea commodities earlier and then vegetable oil later on. Outside these two categories in commodities, there is significant year-on-year inflation across the board, which impacts all other categories.

On Tea, our strategy has been consistent. It’s a portfolio play, it’s a play where Winning in Many Indias’ strategy we have brought alive excellently well with our products, with our innovation and the way we manage our formulation pricing across the country. And with our portfolio in Tea, focus has always been, as I mentioned, that whenever inflation has come and impacted us, our strategy is very clear, grow the consumer franchise and protect our business model. And that’s exactly what we have done with Tea category as well.

We have very strong, we cemented our market leadership as we called out. We have grown volumes, and we have also passed on the benefit of price reduction through price cuts to the consumers. And our pricing strategy, Abneesh, is very similar what we had spoken earlier, if the market inflation happens we take price increases in small values. So that we’re able to land those price effectively and ensure that we’re able to hold and keep growing consumer franchise.

But conversely whenever market commodities come off to some extent in places, we take larger bite decreases. And one has to do that, otherwise, inventories in the trade we get caught in between price points. That’s exactly what we have done in Tea. And to your point, very similar, we have recently done in Skin Cleansing as well, where there’s a meaningful correction in palm oil prices. Of course in last week or 10 days time, you’ve seen a further 15%, 20% increase in palm oil prices have happened.

But our strategy will exactly remain consistent, which is keep growing the consumer franchise and protect the business model. While doing that, our entire focus, Abneesh, on driving savings hard across lines of P&L and challenging every non-consumer facing costs, that continues, and we are running our business with agility. And, in the meantime, we will move prices up and down as required to ensure competitiveness and to ensure that the price value equation remains and gets maintained with the consumers. So that strategy will continue depending upon which way commodity pans out for different categories that we’re dealing.

Abneesh Roy — Nuvama Institutional Equities — Analyst

Sure. That’s helpful. My second and last question is on foods. So Nestle also reported very strong growth and they pointed out quick commerce really helping them. In your case, Ice Cream saw a great first quarter because of harsh summer. Q2 also has been very good. So if you could elaborate how much help you are getting from quick commerce. Any numbers you can put in any of your food categories, especially Ice Cream?

And second one on foods is how much is the addressable market in terms of Nutri Gummies and Diabetes Gummies? Now further milk inflation has happened. So quarter-on-quarter, more milk inflation has happened. So on the core part of Horlicks, are things getting even more tougher because milk prices clearly matters in that consumption?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So three, four different questions, let me pick them one by one, Abneesh. First you talked about foods growth. Our — within Foods & Refreshment as a division, our foods business has grown double-digit. And as I alluded earlier ice cream, food within that, coffee, these are the businesses within Foods & Refreshment have seen good double-digit growth across the business. And we have absolutely taken benefit of quick commerce. So today — ice cream now, as we call it, our Ice Cream business, where it gets distributed through quick commerce and such digital chain, now it’s more than 10 percentage of our Ice Cream business is today generated using these medium of distribution.

Talking about Horlicks and Nutri Gummies, we have expanded our format of what we sell in Horlicks and you’ve seen our launch of two gummies. One is with the 12 different vitamins and minerals, Nutri Gummies, and second is to manage diabetes better, Diabetes Gummies. These formats that we have launched online on our D2C platform. And as relevant we already extended one of the two into online pure-play as well as we speak.

And we’ll — this point in time this was seeded in the market and, of course, we’ll learn more this format and this product how consumers reaction we get from this products. So that’s on Nutri Gummies. As far as core Horlicks is concerned, no change in strategy, exactly what we had mentioned to you and to all of you that market development is the job to be done in this area. Having done full job of integration of Horlicks, which has happened very well, realizing savings or supply chain integration and other overhead integration fully realized.

Our focus is now to continue to build penetration and consumption in the category. This quarter alone, we have done more than 9 million home-to-home connects. We’ve launched new advertisement campaign to bring alive our portfolio. So that effort across the portfolio has also started to yield result. For example, our penetration is building. We are gaining penetration. We’ve also seen our market share improving. And just I had mentioned earlier that this is a job, which will be job that we’ve done in medium-term. We will be acting in terms of developing this category and segment, and we will — we should start seeing traction with this continued effort of staying consistent with our market development strategy with Horlicks.

Abneesh Roy — Nuvama Institutional Equities — Analyst

Sure, thanks. That’s all from my side. Thank you.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Abneesh.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vivek M from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Vivek, your line has been unmuted. Please unmute yourself and proceed with your question. As there is no response, we’ll move to the next question, which is from the line of Avi Mehta from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Thanks a lot for this opportunity. Just on the commodity inflation, you highlighted that commodity inflation has been broadly along the expectation, even though this increase has happened in this quarter. In that backdrop, would you retain your comment that you made in the first quarter that 3Q should see the benefit of commodity moderation in palm oil versus the margins that we saw in first quarter?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So thanks, Avi, for the question and absolutely right. When last quarter, we have announced the June quarter results and our net material inflation was 20%. And I had alluded that point in time that we expect to see sequentially more inflation in the next quarter. And that’s exactly what we have now also share with you that our inflation this quarter is 22 percentage net material inflation.

So it has panned out the way we had anticipated. Our outlook for the quarter — after the second half outlook and starting December quarter, we should see slight reduction in the net material inflation for December quarter. And a large component of that reduction basically is vegetable oil, and that should lead to slight reduction.

And the reason I’m using the word slight reduction, because every single outside vegetable oil remains elevated. Crude oil, it is still firm at 90-plus [Phonetic]. And with currency depreciation of U.S. dollar strengthening, rupee at INR83 [Phonetic], that impact almost makes crude equivalent to $100 plus what we had some time back.

So a, milk, number one, cereals, soda ash, across the board, many commodities, it remain elevated on a year-on-year basis. So we have significant inflation outside as well. Now with this some amount of cooling off of vegetable oil, we should see, as I mentioned, slight improvement in the net material inflation, and hence we should see sequential gross margin improvement that we should see in next quarter. As that happens, I’m also very mindful that media intensity might increase as there’s some pull-off in certain pockets of commodities that will happen. And if media intensity increasing, we will continue to do what we have done, which is maintain our share of voice ahead of the share of market.

So I also expect advertising and sales promotion intensity to go up and hence our investment in A&P to go up next quarter. And EBITDA will be ultimately, the outcome of amount of impact we’ll end up seeing on commodity and hence NMI and hence gross margin and the amount of media intensity, this is which will calibrate our A&P investments and that will ultimately determine the outcome of EBITDA. But those are the few variables which should explained, looking ahead for second half of this financial year.

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Sorry, Ritesh, let me rephrase, what I meant is we — why I kind of take your point that you have seen some inputs, seen inflation in the second quarter, but when you were kind of going into that slide, you mentioned that this increase was broadly in line with what we were expecting. So from an inflation perspective, it seem that nothing has surprised you on the negatives as inflation has not come ahead of what you were expecting.

That is the backdrop, and hence I was kind of looking at from the lens that I was in or when we were looking in the first quarter whatever margins we were expecting in the second half is the margin that we will still expect to be in the second half. Is that understanding correct is what I was trying to allude to? Is that — that is what I wanted to kind of appreciate. It — is it fair that, that is what is the case?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, Avi, our read of a, commodity, b, FMCG has not changed in last three months time, it is very consistent to what we spoke last quarter. We — the outlook of commodity, we’d mentioned and you are right, we’ve reiterated of — seen the peak in September quarter and some cool off after that. And we had mentioned that it is largely get out of vegetable oil, it is indeed the case.

Our read on FMCG market overall, the impact of consumption, impact of rural and hence volumes again remains very consistent. So, yes, at this point in time you are right. There is no different read that we have in second half of the year and margins for second half of the financial year. So very similar read, a consistent read, and which is what I give a little more granular data points to you that we will see as we spoke earlier sequential gross margin improvement. And media intensity, of course, is what we will see as to what pans out, but yeah very similar read.

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Got it. Got it, got it, Ritesh. Got it. So it gives me a sense on the sequential increase as well because 1Q is the comparison.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Fair point. The second question was on the rural recovery. Just wanted to get your sense on how do you feel about rural right now? Are you feeling more constructive versus what you felt last quarter or any comments on that? That’s all from my side. Thank you.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, rural as we had called out — and let me just give some data points out here. And if I look at a three-year CAGR, rural, urban, both for FMCG market is growing at mid single-digit. And again on a three-year CAGR, urban, rural, both are flat — near flat on volume. If I look at near-term period, latest 12-week or a math basis, urban is clearly outpacing rural, where urban growths are stronger than rural and also volume decline in rural is more steeper compared to urban.

So the read that we had that inflation is biting in rural more compared to urban, that is indeed the outcome that we have seen. And that inflation impact is seen in volume decline in market in rural and hence overall value growth of rural continues to be muted. So that built out. And, of course, as far as Hindustan Unilever is concerned, we have gained comprehensively market share, both in urban and rural, but overall, of course, growth will be determined by what happens in terms of the market.

Now coming to outlook, I do believe that our — the single biggest factor which will determine rural outcome as far as FMCG is concerned is the impact of commodity. If at all we see a broader basket of commodities cooling off the way vegetable oil has, that should help price to come down. And if that helps the price to come down, that will augur well as far as consumption is concerned, volume and hence FMCG growth. This is when I look at FMCG.

Of course, there are macro factors at play. The good news is, urban employment is increasing, which would mean that rural migration and non-farm income and hence giving money back to the rural area and hence having more money in the pockets in rural economy that, that is that augurs well. Monsoon has been normal. And the reason I say that it has — it was good rains, but we all know the special coverage and the volatility in that space and also the timing of monsoon in certain place obviously has a mixed outcome, we have yet to see how that pans out in terms of the comp going forward.

So that’s one element, which is there in the mix. Government is clearly leaning in. The news that we had the earlier fertilizer subsidy, the fuel duty cuts, that’s helping the recent decision of Government also to extend the food grain subsidy till end of the year will also augur well. So there are definitely macro factors and including what we all know, the INR7.5 lakh crore capex investment, which Government has committed as part of this budget, all of that should augur well for the rural economy.

But we have to see more data points to feel comfortable. When I look at this latest quarter, the data points for the September quarter are not very different than the read that we had for last few quarters. So our read remains consistent, and there are macro factors which are helping. And we do hope that in times to come, we see outcome which is better compared to what we’ve seen today.

Avi Mehta — Macquarie — Analyst

Got it, Ritesh. Thanks a lot for this, and wish you all a very Happy Diwali and a prosperous New Year. Thank you very much.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Avi. Happy Diwali to you as well.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Harit Kapoor from Investec India. Please go ahead. Harit, your line has been unmuted. Please proceed with your question.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Tanvi, probably we can move…

Operator

Harit — yeah. Harit, if you can just repeat your question now?

Harit Kapoor — Investec India — Analyst

Yes. Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, now.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yes.

Harit Kapoor — Investec India — Analyst

Yeah, good evening, all. I just have two questions. Firstly, I just wanted to get your sense on the A&P spend number at about 7%-odd is at a multi-year low for the quarter. You did mention that [Technical Issues] for the quarter, specifically, would you say that share of voice has largely been maintained, and is the significant reduction only on account of lower volume or those rates as well?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no, thanks so much, Harit, for your question. See for us, our brands and the people are the two most valuable assets, and hence we continue to invest behind our brands to build long-term memory structures. We do what is right from a strategic point of view that is essentially over long-term the sanctity of the business model. And the point you mentioned about A&P, of course, a number in the quarter, Harit, will always get determined by the media intensity, which is there.

Given the broad-based inflation which FMCG industry is facing, there has been basically overall amount of media investment in the industry has come down. And because of that, the overall number — amount of — absolute amount of levels of investment are determined, this is what media heat is in the system. If I look at our own BMI percentage turnover, there are two factors. In fact, half of that is the volume store growth leverage that we have.

Since our business has grown at 16 percentage, everything else being equal, the media percentage, A&P percent turnover looks better. Half of that is basically the market heat which is lower in a high inflationary atmosphere and hence absolute amount of reduction on that count in terms of media investment.

Suffice to say, our share of voice is ahead of our share of market. We maintain competitive levels of both spend from a ceiling and reach perspective, but in the — at the same time, we do drive a very sharp media attribution to growth. So hence also our media efficiencies the way we deploy our investments is very well measured. But we will not blink — time and again we have reiterated, our share of voice will continue to remain ahead of our share of market.

Harit Kapoor — Investec India — Analyst

Thank you very much, Ritesh, for this. My second question is Fabric Wash. So the growth rates over the last few quarters has been extremely strong. I just wanted to get a sense of how much of this is being driven by actual category growth and how much of this is by your market share gains? The reason I ask is, once there is a normalization of base, where you’ve had some COVID-led impact as well, category growth should start to normalize to probably historical levels. So just wanted to get a sense of how much of this accelerated growth is category-led, how much of it is market share-led, in whichever way you can help with? Thanks.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So on Fabric Wash, there are few variables out here. First of all, the — one of the point was mentioned by product superiority, the kind of work that we have done in that space has started seeing results across the board for us. And which is why in Fabric Wash, a, of course, is the market growth, but we have grown ahead of the market and also have hence the market share gain in Fabric Wash. So our performance is ahead of the market where it is. This is also the outcome of building portfolio over years — over last several years, you know the way we have built our portfolio from mass to popular, popular to premium, premium to liquids, and that benefit is what you see also in our growth momentum as we speak.

I was giving an example earlier of our Liquids portfolio, which is both liquid detergents and fabric conditioner liquids, put together today that is more than INR2,000 crore annualized business that we run today. Those are many more elements apart from pricing, which — your point is right, which, of course, is also helping to drive growth. But at the same time, the product superiority, the strong portfolio and right amount of consumer price value equation has also made us grow volumes. And as I mentioned earlier, in this quarter, we also have driven very strong volumes in Home Care. So it’s a pretty all-round performance as far as Fabric Wash is concerned.

Harit Kapoor — Investec India — Analyst

Thank you so much for this, Ritesh, and wish the team a very Happy Diwali. Thank you so much.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thank you so much. Wish you too a Happy Diwali.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Percy Panthaki from IIFL. Please go ahead.

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

Hi, everyone, and congrats on a good set of numbers. My first question is on the two digital brands that you have launched. Are these something completely new or are they sort of taken from the global portfolio?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Percy, wish you too a very Happy Diwali. So Percy, both these brands that you see, Acne Squad and Find Your Happy Place, these are mixes that we have crafted. Acne Squad is crafted completely locally for India. And it’s a pretty — if you look at the skin overall as a category in each state, Acne comes as one of the top in each state. And which is why we crafted this portfolio working with dermatologists. And we have launched all the four different platforms within Acne Squad, which are the different life-cycles of Acne that impacts. So it’s a mix which is crafted in India and launched in India.

Find Your Happy Place has been launched in one part of the world by Unilever. And that’s the second market in the world is India, where we do believe it is almost relevant and hence we brought that brand and we launched that mix in India. Both of these, as I mentioned, as we build up our launch digitally, so they have been launched in our D2C website and they also have been launched on Pure Pay, the Amazon, the Flipkart and things like that.

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

Right. So just I wanted to know basically what is the thought process or decision-making framework for launching new brands in the D2C space versus trying to address sort of needs through existing brand variants, etc., and do you think under this framework, there would be more brand launches in the future as well?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Percy, as you know that we already had launched three brands in the prior periods, be it Simple, be it Love Beauty and Planet or for the matter, Baby Dove, which are all our three direct-to-consumer brands. And we saw demand spaces that we could activate and then we could start playing, and which is why we didn’t say it in Acne space, which is becoming a good important need space, we need a portfolio in that space.

The way we work — and one of the examples we had quoted earlier as part of our capability, we have our own agile innovation hub, and we scrubbed all the trends which are emerging with consumers across the country. And then depending upon what relevant trends we pick up, our first decision is, does our existing portfolios cater to those trends. If yes, of course, our portfolio is activated and we serve those needs. And we have large brands across our portfolio and FMCG does the job.

But if there are demand spaces which are developing and they are becoming relevant this point in time, in which case then we choose them to deploy our portfolio in that demand space. Acne is a classic example of that demand space. Also that matter, our intention is the fabulous demand space. And the very fact, these are niche and which is why it makes sense to go digital rather than do an offline launch at this point in time, you have to build awareness before you can start talking offline.

And this is why exactly the thought process and the business model out here has been that, look at the trends, trends which are relevant, where we think a portfolio launch will make business sense, then we launch those mixes and our capability to launch digital just gives us that power of experimentation before we scale up in any other format or any other channel. So that’s the business model which are behind it.

Now is this the first and the last of it, answer, of course, is no. We have done three before, we’ve done two now. We’ll keep looking at trends. And the moment we find a trend, a demand space which is substantial and it makes relevant to invest with a product portfolio, we will innovate and we will launch product in that portfolio in that space.

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

Right. My second question is on the market shares, where you mentioned that 75% of your portfolio is growing market shares. Could you just throw some light on what are the parts, the 25% where you are not, which are those categories? And you have mentioned this over the last two quarters, three quarters. So is the 25% the same over the last few quarters or is there a rotation there also that this quarter it has gained, but next quarter it falls into the losing bucket, etc.?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, first of all, Percy, our narration is very clear. Our market share performance and our competitive performance is very robust. More than 75 percentage of our business is winning. And that was the narrative we had in the previous quarters as well, where more than 75 percentage of our portfolio has been winning. And this win is pretty comprehensive. This win is across the geography in the country. This win is across channels, be it traditional channel — traditional trade channel, general trade, be it the modern channels of e-commerce to modern trade put together.

This is a growth of business performance in urban, this is in rural. And all this activity has also translated into corporate bucket share gain as well. So this is what we also do in our business. We keep looking at a different segmentation of our business and in every segment how competitive our performance is. And which is why, as I mentioned, it’s a pretty comprehensive performance and then more than 75% of our business is gaining share.

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

And any clarity you can give on what are those categories which are not gaining market share?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

So I will not get, Percy, into individual categories which are growing, which are not growing. As I mentioned earlier, at the end of the day, we’ve been in a market which is extremely competitive, there will be ups and downs in the portfolio. If in long-term, if you’re maintaining the strength of business winning at more than 75 percentage, it will translate into corporate market share gain.

And that’s the exact reason why in our mind we keep looking at our business winning of more than 20 percentage — 75 percentage, and we have delivered that quarter-after-quarter. And we have seen that exactly leading also translating into corporate market share gain as well. Now in a quarter, it could be a few bps up, few bps down, of course, that portfolio in the quarter might be not winning and it might be the reason why you’re not at 100 percentage. But then it’s a matter of time, I’m saying, as we see some sense in certain categories, and then we, of course, lean in more in that space. So it’s always a mix of that, but the fact is when you have more than 75% portfolio which you’re winning, it’s a comprehensive business performance, and this is where we basically handle ourselves into.

Percy Panthaki — IIFL — Analyst

Right, Ritesh. Thanks a lot. All the best. And Happy Diwali.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, Percy. Thank you so much. Best wishes to you. Happy Diwali to you as well.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Arnab Mitra from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Arnab Mitra — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Yeah, hi, thanks for taking my question. My first question was actually also on the laundry business, where despite putting more pricing, the volume growth has actually accelerated. For last time when such high price increases, put maybe 10 years back in the category there was definitely some pressure on downtrading. Just wanted to check are there any sense of that sort? And your acceleration in the face of increasing pricing, is it largely to do with market share gains accelerating in these last two quarters?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

So there are a few elements out there, Arnab. First of all, you’re absolutely right. I think in last one decade the way HUL has transformed the portfolio of Home Care, and the point I was making earlier of Liquids part of the portfolio, be it liquid detergent, be it liquid conditioner, which is now a more than INR2,000 crore business. So a, portfolio development, b, product superiority, those are the elements and, of course, the strength of our brands that we have, published brands from Surf Excel to Wheel to Rin.

And the strength of our brands have also allowed us, a, to take pricing, b, to maintain price value equation and three, to hold and keep growing our consumer franchise. So it’s a pretty all-round performance the way the portfolio has panned out. To your point on downgrading, so downgrading — as to downtrading, what we have seen in times of very high inflation, consumers seek more value. In certain portions and certain part of the portfolio, more value comes from price point packs. They might be low price point packs of INR1 sachet or a INR2 a pack or a INR5 Horlicks sachet.

In certain parts of the portfolio, especially laundry, the large packs offer better value. And hence consumers by default go to packs which offer them higher value. In these case, larger packs in laundry. So we have seen a mix of that as well. And we have played our portfolio very well across price points and across the portfolio. The premium part of the portfolio — and I’m just I’m talking largely overall as Hindustan Unilever has grown at twice the pace than the rest of the portfolio.

So we have seen in laundry as well as you know we have premiumized our portfolio. And that overall behavior that we have seen, a, of consumers and b, the strength of our brand and portfolio, we have seen the benefit in our growth as well with the premium part of the business is growing at twice the pace. So be it premium brand like Surf Excel, laundry in case. So those I would say, four or five, I would say, strong reasons why our performance is so robust, not only from a value growth perspective, but also from a volume growth perspective and absolutely also from a competitiveness perspective, as I mentioned, we have one of the best market share at this point in time in Fabric Wash.

Arnab Mitra — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Okay. Thanks so much, Ritesh. And my last question is on Horlicks. So this launch on Gummies, I mean when the brand was with GSK, they had made multiple attempts to using the brand outside of MSD. Do you think from here on HUL would also look to do that and this is a starting point or we should not see too much into this launch of the new format?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, see as we acquired, Arnab, the business of Horlicks, and let me talk brands, then let me talk about format and let me then get into demand spaces. So from a brand perspective, we have spoken about as we acquired the business, we activated Boost across the country. So now we have Boost present along with Horlicks across the nation at this point in time. So that was the first job in terms of portfolio maximization from the Horlicks portfolio and from the GSK what we acquired, number one.

Number two, we also then activated the Plus range. And we mentioned that, that this is where we deployed our High Science range, be it Diabetes Plus, be it Horlicks for bones, be it for women, be it for lactating mothers, and that part of the portfolio also have seen good traction as we have activated. And then after having done the job with Horlicks and Boost, after having done the job with Plus, third area that now we have seeded is Gummies.

And as I mentioned this is more of a seeding than a launch full-fledged, this is more in D2C of the two formats that we launched both the Nutri Gummies and Diabetes Gummies, one of the two we launched earlier as you know Nutri Gummies which we launched D2C, then we’ve taken them now that was a pure-play then we launched after that the portfolio of Gummies for diabetes that we have launched in our D2C website. And you will see consumer traction how we get for these products and how we are able to develop these products.

And that’s the whole intention of launching and seeding this business as well alongside the portfolio of the two brands and a fabulous portfolio that we activated in the Plus range. So this entire attempt of looking at what are different ways we are able to serve consumer needs in functional nutrition is what our attempt will always be. The cornerstone of all of that is one singular insight that India as a nation overall, we do have micronutrient deficiency.

Our diet is very high on carbohydrates and hence this becomes a fabulous need for us to use our functional nutrition portfolio and to play to the demand space where people might be eating enough calories but not might not be having right micronutrient as part of their food palate. And this is where the portfolio makes sense. And we will keep looking for such opportunities within the portfolio.

Arnab Mitra — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Okay, thanks, Ritesh. And happy festive season to you.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Happy Diwali to you as well.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Latika Chopra from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity. Hi, Sanjiv. Hi, Ritesh. I have a few small follow-ups, the comments that you made earlier. One was — the first one was a check on Beauty & Personal Care premium segment doing well. Is there an element of festive pre-buying in the channel for premium skin care that could have helped the quarter? Is that savings material?

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Hi, Latika. And you’re saying whether the premium has been impacted by any activity during the quarter, is that the question?

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Well, yeah, has that been positively impacted from…

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Latika, Latika, premium has been growing consistently over this period. Yeah, and that is a very clear trend. And as you would recall, we are over-indexed on the premium segment. And premium segment, we are over-indexed and it continues to do well.

Even if you look at it from a lens of market, premium is growing faster than popular, popular is growing faster than mass. And this is a very clear trend. And it is in many ways intuitive because people who have more money are a bit more resistant to inflation than people at the bottom of pyramid.

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Okay. The second question that I had was on price reductions for soaps. Just wanted to clarify, is it pure MRP cuts that you want to take in or is there a kind of a grammage increase also at low price packs that the Company has deployed? And are there any reductions in the laundry portfolio also that you have considered?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so two, three different, but let me just probably come back Latika a little more comprehensively. And as I was talking earlier, Tea and Skin Cleansing are the two portfolios where we’ve seen commodity coming off. Earlier, it was Tea and then the latest has been vegetable oil. And we have reacted, and the point I was making earlier, when prices went up, we took in small bites, we took price increases. And when we’ve seen a meaningful commodity correction, we have taken in large chunks price decreases as well, be it Tea or be it Skin Cleansing.

The inflationary impact in Home Care has continued. And you have seen that crude has remained firm at 90-plus [Phonetic]. And now with the U.S. dollar being strengthening, if I just look at the data point today and a year ago, it’s a 12% impact on Indian rupee. And that impacts overall commodity costs because either the commodities are international markets or at least they are sold and bought at international port parity. So crude, the point I was making though it is 90-plus [Phonetic] firm, but if I add the impact of currency, it is almost $100 plus equivalent in the Indian rupee.

So we are seeing, and because of that in September quarter, we did take price increases, in sequential price increases in Home Care Laundry portfolio. So it will all depend upon — and within Laundry to Home Care, Latika, also we had called out soda ash has seen a meaningful amount of inflation again coming from energy and overall demand supply of the commodity segment. So we have seen that, but we will keep doing that depending upon which commodity basket impacts which category of ours, we will keep being very agile and nimble on this front.

And if at all, we do see commodities coming up, we will go with price decreases as I mentioned in big chunks. And where we do see commodity remaining firm as required to protect the business model, we will take price increases. If I look at latest September quarter, the point I was quoting earlier with a 22 percentage net material inflation and a 12% price, we have a pretty substantial 10% price versus cost gap.

I do believe that with crude oil remaining firm because of the — I mentioned to you because of the currency, but with some cooling off happening to some extent in vegetable oil, there should be slight improvement in price versus cost gap in next quarter. But we’ll have to see this quarter-after-quarter, month-after-month and depending upon which commodities and which category gets impacted. But we will be very agile and nimble with our decision-making and with the speed at which we’re doing. And the kind of reflex muscles we have developed with our science of pricing, that is something which has been a pretty strong competitive edge for us during such difficult times of high inflation across the portfolio or for that matter of commodity volatility that we have seen across the portfolio.

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Sure. Yeah, Ritesh, I was just checking because there were certain media articles which reported price reductions for laundry as well. And I was just trying to confirm that reductions are so far only in the soaps portfolio. And probably also checking there could be some grammage increases at price points, right, not just MRP cuts. The other bit that I wanted to check was on increase in employee costs of nearly 20% sequentially in Y-o-Y. Any specific reason here?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So there are three different variables on overall, the commodity costs have gone up by 20 bps, we’ve seen in terms of percentage turnover. So there are three reasons out here. A, the overall inflation of — wage inflation in the country and which is why there’s a salary inflation, which is there part of the mix, number one. Number two, we also had a VPA true-up as part of our first half performance, which is pretty robust, as you have seen with our results. So we have upped our provision for our variable pay as part of that and that has also impacted the numbers in the quarter.

And there is also a component of our overall costs, which is shares of Unilever, which employees get. And depending upon the movement of share price of Unilever and GBP vis-a-vis INR, which has seen in this quarter an uptick. So those are the three reasons put together, you’ve seen overall the employee costs being higher compared to where our top-line growth has increased, yeah. And but this is always — there’s always some amount of variability you will see, Latika, in terms of employee costs.

But if I look at overall, let me say, a trailing 12 months or a 12-month Q [Phonetic], we will always be efficient, where our overhead costs, we keep getting leverage. Why? A, because we have a very frugal mindset goes across all lines of overheads, number one. And number two, growth leverage that we have because of our stellar growth performance that we had. So put together overall costs will always see leverage, but there will be some volatility like this on quarter-on-quarter.

Latika Chopra — JPMorgan — Analyst

Sure. Thank you so much, Ritesh and Sanjiv.

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Latika.

Operator

Thank you. I now hand it over to Mr. Ravishankar for the proceedings.

A. Ravishankar — Group Financial Controller and Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Tanvi. We have one question on the web from Richard Vue [Phonetic]. Richard asked whether we can give some perspective on how exit rate has been as far as growth is concerned, especially from a rural perspective? Given the target in September base month last year would have had the slower rural growth built-in, is the market number starting to look better relative to other months at least on a headline basis and how would you read this data?

Ritesh Tiwari — Executive Director, Finance and IT and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So hi, Richard. Richard, if I break up the September quarter market growth, FMCG market growth into two parts, July and August put together as one bucket and September is other bucket. Definitely, month September has been better than July and August put together. The factor which has come out is essential demand generation, which we have seen more in modern trade channel, and — number one.

Number two, there is also that this on the phasing of season, festive season is really different than last year, where Diwali and Dussehra both are in the same time and hence a couple of weeks ahead of what it was festival season last year. So, in my mind, there is some impact of that as well in September month, but clearly September month has been better than July and August put together.

And overall, which is also the reason why as you would see that the market overall, FMCG market in latest three months which is September quarter is ahead of the math. Math is more at mid single-digit and September quarter is more at 6.6 percentage to 7 percentage. So we have seen September month a little better. How this pans out in the next three months’ time, in my mind, the single biggest variable will be commodity inflation and what happens to currency and hence impact of currency on commodities.

That will ultimately determine the consumption levels in rural and overall consumption levels in FMCG. And that, in my mind, is the single biggest determinant what we should expect going forward. I spoke earlier about rural in terms of macro. There are elements of rural macro which are in favor. And hopefully, they pan out as government’s intention has been and as government’s intervention has been, and that should help both farm and non-farm income. And if that happens, it should augur well for rural economy. And hence, in turn, if commodities we see a broad-based impact, and if at all the rural economy just pan out basis government intervention, we should see a better outlook.

But as I mentioned earlier, we would want to see for a few more months before we start signaling a trajectory change this point in time. And we’ve been measured with our commentary, and the latest quarter, three-month number of September quarter has only borne out of what we’ve been giving our narrative on outlook even in the prior quarters. But thanks so much for your question.

A. Ravishankar — Group Financial Controller and Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Ritesh. And with that we’ll draw the Q&A session to an end. I know we haven’t been able to take all the questions. If there is anything still unanswered, please feel free to reach out to any of us in the IR team. Before we end, let me also remind that the playback of this event will be available on our website in a short while from now. Once again, our greetings to you and your families for the festive season. Thank you, and best wishes.

Sanjiv Mehta — Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director

Thank you, all.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]