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RBL Bank Ltd (RBLBANK) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall Transcript

RBL Bank Ltd (NSE:RBLBANK) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall dated Oct. 22, 2022

Corporate Participants:

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Unidentified Speaker

Analysts:

Kunal ShahICICI Securities — Analyst

Rajeev AhujaExecutive Director

Unidentified Participant — Analyst

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

Shubhranshu MishraPhillipCapital (India) Pvt Ltd. — Analyst

Himanshu TalujaAditya Birla Sun Life Assets Management Company — Analyst

Saurabh KumarJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

Pankaj AgarwalAmbit Capital — Analyst

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Rakesh KumarSystematix Shares & Stocks (I) Ltd. — Analyst

Krishnan ASVHDFC Securities — Analyst

Presentation:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to RBL Bank’s Q2 FY ’23 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. R Subramaniakumar, Managing Director and CEO, RBL Bank. Thank you. And over to you, Mr. Kumar.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much.

Greetings to all of you on the Diwali eve. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us for the discussion on RBL Bank’s financial results for the second quarter of FY ’23. I’m joined on this call by Mr. Rajeev Ahuja, Executive Director of the Bank and other members of our management team, who along with me will address any questions that you have.

Briefly on our results for the quarter. First, on asset quality. Our GNPA was lower quarter-on-quarter at 3.80%, with net NPA at 1.26%, and our provision coverage ratio of 67.8%. We had a total slippage of INR812 crores for this quarter. Our total overall recoveries and upgrades was INR314 crores.

Our net slippages were, therefore, at INR498 [Phonetic] crores. Of the slippages, INR279 crores pertain to the slippages from the restructuring book, where we have already substantially taken the provisions in the past. So the need for additional provisioning was reduced. In the case of slippages from microfinance restructured, you will recall we had identified the customers where we saw potential stress and made additional provisions in the March quarter.

One account in the wholesale bank’s restructured book was classified as an NPA in this quarter on a technical ground. However, this account continues to service its obligation. In credit cards, our slippages were INR245 crores this quarter, marginally higher than the previous quarter. Our recoveries and upgrades continue to be strong in this segment. So the net slippages are INR194 crores. The card is now tracking to 4% to 4.5% credit card, which would be better than the pre-COVID levels.

Our slippages in other retail was INR221 crores, of which INR66 crores pertain to the impact of out of order circular of Reserve Bank of India. As in the previous quarters, these upgrades, this gets upgraded in the subsequent quarter. The net slippages in the retail were INR65 crores because of upgrades. Our net restructured advances stood at 1.87%, down from 2.35% in Q1 FY ’23.

We’ll talk about the provisions. We took total provisions and advances as NPA, restructured and standard asset provisions of INR296 crores in this quarter as against INR329 crores last quarter. We had recoveries from written-off accounts of the amount of INR70 crores. The net provision on advances, therefore, was lower at INR226 crores as against INR249 crores in the last quarter.

The credit cards for the quarter were 39 bps and 82 bps for the half year as against 374 bps for H1 FY’22. We have also given you a detailed breakup on provisioning in Slides 20 to 22 of our presentation. Our PCR stood at 67.8% as against 72.5% last quarter. Briefly on advances, our growth journey has resumed with an overall advance growth of 4% Q-on-Q and 12% Y-o-Y.

Our disbursals in retail were approximately INR2,800 crores this quarter, and we expect our disbursal run rate to continue to grow in the coming quarters. As a result, this quarter, retail advances grew 6% Y-o-Y and 7% sequentially. The wholesale advances grew 20% Y-o-Y and 2% sequentially. Retail to wholesale advanced mix stood at 52% and 48%, respectively.

Within retail, cards grew by 17% Y-o-Y, microfinance by 8% lower Y-o-Y, but showed a strong growth of 22% sequentially. We have moved away from stagnation in this business to steadily accelerating the growth. Home loans grew 123% Y-o-Y to INR3,450 crores, and tractor loans on a lower base by over 474% Y-o-Y to INR540 crores. In microfinance, our book originated from 2021 onwards till now.

Accounts were 87% of our microfinance advances, which have an NPA at less than 0.5% in this book, indicating that the stress in the book is broadly mirroring the pre-COVID levels. In credit cards, we added 5.2 lakh cards this quarter. Our spends per card is also growing well with an increase of 8% Y-o-Y. As I mentioned earlier, the credit cards in this case in this also now trending lower than the pre-COVID levels.

Coming to deposits and liquidity. Summarizing the quarter, total deposits grew 5% Y-o-Y. The CASA deposits growing 7% Y-o-Y, and retail and small business deposits growing 4% Y-o-Y and 4% sequentially. CASA ratio was 36.2%, and retail and small business deposit ratio as defined under LCR was 41.3% as of September 2022 as against 39.7% last quarter, quarter end.

Our liquidity levels continue to remain high with the coverage, with average LCR 156% for the quarter. Our cost of deposits was 5.14% for the quarter. Our focus continues to be to grow granular small ticket deposits, while our overall deposit numbers will not increase given the headroom in our credit deposit ratio and our surplus liquidity, both of which will be absorbed naturally by the credit growth in the coming quarters. We will keep increasing the share of retail deposits in the overall mix. So, we expect to see the proportion of retail deposits as defined under LCR and total deposits fluctuate [Phonetic] at 5% to 6% every year.

On capital. Our total capital was 17.4%, and our CET1 ratio was 15.9% as of September end as against 17.5% and 16% as of June end. Briefly on other aspects of our operating performance. Y-o-Y NII grew 16% and 4% sequentially to INR1,064 crores. Our NIM this quarter was 4.5%, 40 bps higher Y-o-Y and 10 bps higher sequentially. Other income was at INR583 crores for this quarter, lower marginally by 2% Y-o-Y.

The core fee income, however, grew 7% Y-o-Y and 2% sequentially to INR544 crores. Total revenue at INR1,648 crores for the quarter was flat sequentially and 9% higher than last year. Our opex this quarter was INR1,135 crores, sequentially just growing at 2% only. The PPOP this quarter was at INR512 crores and profit after tax was INR202 crores for the quarter, flat sequentially. Our profit for H1 FY’23 is INR403 crores as against a loss of INR429 crores for H1 FY ’22.

I want to touch upon some of our new initiatives, which we have finalized in the last few months. I had briefly spoken in the last call of our plans on to focus in the areas of rural vehicles, two-wheelers and used cars, housing and small business lending and other retail products to build a new niche. I’m happy to report that our new forays into two-wheeler, used car and gold loans would be ready to launch in this quarter.

At the same time, our scale up in the existing nascent businesses of housing and tractor loans is building traction as well. Our overall plan is to increase the share of these loans to 20% plus of the overall advances mix in next two years to three years, while maintaining the growth in our existing verticals of credit card and microfinance. The outcome of these product launches is to provide greater predictability of the earnings, while contributing an increasing share of the overall advances by financial year ’25 end, therefore, creating a solid base for the scale up in the next planning cycle. Leveraging the bank’s presence in Tier 2 to Tier 6 locations through the bank’s branches and RBL Finserve branches, to acquire and service customers and on-ground monitoring, creating right to win through efficient use of technology and processes.

For example, we launched our rural vehicle business in tough conditions during the COVID phase, and we built a different model by digitizing the entire process end to end. And that is the same operating model we are using to build both in two-wheelers and used cars. Provide the points of distribution with additional products to aid the customer acquisition, retention for creating an engaged customer base.

Our main goal born out of our past learnings is to address through our new initiatives, greater operating leverage for customer acquisition, engagement and service. In the past, our bank has not effectively cost leveraged our various business segments, leading to low penetration of multiple products to the large customer base that we have. Our approach is to drive assets to liability customers and vice versa. While we are certainly not the first bank to talk about this, our primary goal is to do a better job at bridging this gap to create a sustainable operating leverage.

On an overall basis, therefore, we will look to grow our advances at 15% this fiscal and at approximately 20% plus over the medium-term basis. We will look to fund most of these — most of advances growth to granular deposit growth, which means that our target would be to grow the granular deposits at a similar rate.

On our income and expenses, given the growth in our business is now back on track, we expect to see improving income levels in the coming quarters. On the other hand, our expenses base and, therefore, our operating profit has been affected by the expenses we have incurred and are incurring in the branch expansion and related employee additions, technology refresh across the bank, cost of new businesses set up, etc.

We fully appreciate that there has been a concern in your minds on our opex levels. Outside of our new business, where we are making investments, we are looking at every line of cost and running cost optimization projects to focus on reaping greater benefits from the expense base. You would have noticed, we were able to contain the growth of opex cost and it is at 2% level sequentially. The benefits of this would start showing up with a lag from Q4 this fiscal with an improvement quarter-on-quarter thereafter.

I will end my speech by reiterating some of the key points. Having spent the last four months in the bank, I can confidently say that the balance sheet is strong, and there will be more predictable growth from here on. You can observe that the H1 FY ’23 has demonstrated higher profitability and lower provisions as compared to H1 FY ’22. The strength, capacity and the capability in the bank will ensure steady rhythm of sensible profitable growth.

The business engines more specifically within the retail have started their growth journey again, return to the growth in our existing businesses, including corporate, where we see opportunities and this will lead to top line growth. And as the new business starts and grow, we should see consistent uptick in income levels. There has been some concern in employee morale and therefore, attrition.

I’m happy to say that the team is intact, motivated, and we have also addressed some gaps with some key hires. You would have also seen the new additions to our Board to add to our strength and expertise. Growth in advances should be 15% [Phonetic] for the full year this fiscal and higher thereafter and at the same time, our granular deposit growth will be similar or higher as we granularize deposits. Capital position continues to be robust, giving us a sufficient runway for growth.

I’ll stop here. And with this, we will now take the questions. Thank you.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you very much. We will begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Kunal Shah from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Kunal ShahICICI Securities — Analyst

Yes. Hi, sir. Wish you a very Happy Diwali. So firstly, on the restructured advances, so in fact, from almost INR1,730 odd crores, it’s down to INR1,400 odd crores, but we are seeing that maybe whatever has been the delta in this quarter, significant part of it has slipped into NPL, okay. So almost like INR280 odd crores of the reduction of INR340 odd crores have slipped into NPL. So now looking at overall book and what on a net basis, which we are carrying also provisioning against it, do we think that there is an adequate provisioning? Or a given that in first half, significant amount has slipped, maybe there would be a higher requirement of provisioning on the restructured pool?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

See, with regard to the slippage on the restructured book, I want to divide in two parts. The one set is from your microfinance book, which has been restructured. The second is restructured book of the wholesale. One big account which has slipped from restructured book in the corporate is purely on technical ground and this account is performing. All the repayments are coming intact. So, there is no need for additional provisions as far as this particular book is confirmed.

With regard to that other remaining book, I’ll ask Jaideep to give the numbers and you’ll be able to understand.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yeah. So Kunal, restructuring, as Mr. Kumar said, the main item that we were anticipating was microfinance, which we have taken adequate provisioning. And that has kind of slipped. Now going forward, I think we have some tail left. But again, since we have healthy provisioning on that, we don’t expect that to make a dent in the credit cost going forward. And one technical — so the reduction, therefore, in the restructured book is partly due to slippages, partly recoveries, but skewed in favor of slippages because of the one single wholesale account.

Kunal ShahICICI Securities — Analyst

Yeah. So when we look at business loans of INR1,060 odd crores in restructured on which there is INR130 odd crores of provisioning and even credit cards, okay, when we look at it, INR130 odd crores of portfolio, with hardly like INR14 crores of provisioning on that pool. So does that seem sufficient or maybe we will see that coming through over next couple of quarters? Yeah. Because credit card, I think maybe that can really slip into NPA. Yeah.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yeah. Yeah. I can answer that. On retail assets, Kunal, this is lapse and therefore, secured, so we really don’t expect an LGD issue here, even if there are slippages. In general, our expectations are 8% to 10% of slippages from the restructured book over the next two quarters to three quarters as and when the morat comes out.

On credit cards, this restructuring is a technical restructuring, which is more than a year old. So honestly, there is nothing to it. If you look at the slippages from these cards, they are negligible. They are in line with our non-restructured book. This was a technical restructuring, which happened almost a year back. So it has been perfectly performing. There is no morat on this book over the last 12 months.

Kunal ShahICICI Securities — Analyst

Sure. Got it. And one last question in terms of the advance growth. So, we are highlighting it will be 15 odd percent kind of a growth and then in the future years almost 20 odd percent. So garnering deposits is going to be very critical. And this time also, it’s almost flat. So at what spread we would be doing the incremental business and what kind of impact it can have on margins given that focus will also be in terms of getting the granular deposits?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

See, the first, with regard to the deposit — advances growth, it is going to be at the mid-tier range. So today, we have the yield in the range of 21% in our credit card and around 17%, 18% in our microfinance. The retail growth, which we are looking at is going to be secured, number one. Second, it will be in the range of 11% to 14% range, which will be filling up our yield. So it is better return than what we have been getting it from our — had we grown our wholesale book.

The second with regard to the deposit mobilization further, as I said, clearly that we are moving away from the bulk deposit and you would have seen that LCR has grown by 7% sequentially, which earlier was not growing. So the granular deposits and the CASA is going to be the focus. If you look at that, we are able to clock the granular deposit at 41.3% within that overall INR80,000 crores what we have.

We have an ability to grow that segment from what it is, we’ll be reaching around 44%. The idea is that, today, we have a surplus liquidity of somewhere around INR7,000 crores, right? So with our intent to retain our LCR at 120%, the INR7,000 crores can be deployed even today with the current level of the deposit only. There is no compulsion to grow the deposit. As we move forward, our ability to collect the deposits is coming from the two factors. One, we have not leveraged our 800 plus branches of Finserve, which is now eligible to collect our liability franchisee also, which we haven’t done so far.

The second, 507 branches which are operating today, have an ability to increase their account. One thing I can say with confidence is that number of accounts which we mobilize and that lead segment, whether Insignia, Signature and those segments, maintaining an average balance of around 5 lakhs to 7 lakhs is doubled in last one year. So, we will be in a position to start improving our granular deposits from the current level of 36.2% CASA to around 38% by the end of this year and granular deposits from 41.3% to 44%, which will trigger the CASA growth from the current level of 7% due to the low — around 12% or 13% of the CASA, which is added to a deposit to meet our current level of growth what we’re planning it and which will consistently move in the next year also.

Kunal ShahICICI Securities — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Got it. Yeah. Thank you. Thank you. And all the best. Yeah.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Thank you, Kunal. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Matthew John [Phonetic], an Individual Investor. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Speaker

Sir, I just want to check out with respect to the communication from — is there any communication from RBI with respect to continuation of the RBI Nominee Yogesh Dayal in the Board, given the continuous good performance for the bank for the last three, four quarters?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Normally, this kind of communications are not written because it was appointed by RBI, and they will take a decision with regard to his continuation otherwise. Otherwise, he is there for two years as per the terms of appointment. We don’t get into that. We do not want to speculate as well.

Unidentified Participant — Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Anand Dama from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

Yes, sir. Thank you for the opportunity. Sir, the slippages that we saw during the current quarter, you said that one of the corporate accounts has slipped on technical basis. So can you provide some more details? And now that we have had spent good amount of time, so any analysis of our overall corporate book, BB, and below? Any incremental stress that we see over there?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

See, I just made a statement in my opening remark that balance sheet of the bank is strong. That statement I make after analyzing the balance sheet, which includes the wholesale book, retail book, and microfinance and credit card. So, I said very clearly that the credit card continues to be the credit cost of somewhere round 4% to 4.4% [Phonetic]. And I also said that incremental increase, which you have seen in microfinance has seen slippage of only 0.5%, which is, I would rather say that far better than the performance which has been doing it earlier.

So one thing you have done it is in all the retail narratives, we have strengthened our collection mechanism. So it doesn’t give you any shocker or it doesn’t give any concern with collection mechanism pretty strong. So retail, which is today at 52%, it’s just market accepting for the restructured book as we said that clearly, this is one where, if at all, there’s a concern comes, it is going to come from the restructured book. However, the restructured book is fairly well provisioned. It may not be creating much concern. It’s still moving forward. And one thing is that from the written-off accounts, we also stated that around INR70 crores has been recovered, which gives a comfort that these accounts even if it slip, we have an ability to correct them.

With regards to the LAP which is at retail, even if it slips, we have all the [Technical Issues] restructured now. Even if it slips, it is going to be secured. The ability to recover is definitely higher than what it is. Now coming to that 48% of the wholesale book, which are the commercial as well as retail [Phonetic], on our accepting for the natural phenomenon which is going to happen, we don’t envisage anything which demonstrated with our GNPA reduction in the last four quarters. That GNPA reduction will continue from what we have been seeing in future ourselves. Hope this addresses your concern. Yeah.

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

Yeah. Yeah. So basically, sir, we also had old NPAs like CCD and all. Sir, any hope of resolution in the near term that you have?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

What is that? Come again?

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

So, we had a lot of these old stress accounts like CCD and some other large accounts were there. So any resolution over there that is expected?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

See, CCD recovery is happening. It was around INR200 plus crores. It has come down to INR70 plus crores, if I remember as a group. [Indecipherable] pretty well, which is going on in [indecipherable]. We don’t have anything else.

Rajeev AhujaExecutive Director

I think, Anand, just to be clear, the recoveries are happening. And I think they will continue happening over the next few quarters. Obviously, a lot of them are structured around interbank agreements or somewhere, NCLT or private transactions. But I think that effort is already on, and some of that is already reflected in our net credit costs over the last couple of quarters.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. In fact, Kunal, wholesale, for example, has been running negative credit costs for the last two quarters.

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

Okay. Sure. Sure. And lastly, anything on opex that — are we largely done with the opex that we have seen? Or the opex should remain elevated for next two quarters as well?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

You make a comparison of the opex sequentially. We have grown only by 2%. That kind of control will continue.

Anand DamaEmkay Global Financial Services Ltd. — Analyst

Okay. Sure, sir. Thanks a lot.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shubhranshu Mishra from PhillipCapital. Please go ahead.

Shubhranshu MishraPhillipCapital (India) Pvt Ltd. — Analyst

Good afternoon, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. And Happy Diwali to the entire team. On the credit card piece sir, I just wanted to understand what is the split between Bajaj Finance and other sourcing, both in terms of SIF as well as in terms of acquisition? And also, what could be the ROA on a steady-state basis for each of these portfolios?

And my third question is what is the total payout that we do to Bajaj Finance on an annual run rate basis and what would be the various components of these, sir? Thank you.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

With regards to the first one on run rate, I will ask Bikram [Phonetic], who is just heading that credit cards, with regard to that BFL narrative, we will then take. Jaideep, do you want to add something?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yeah. Yeah. So, I’ll take that. Basically, on a book basis, we are roughly 55%, 45%. On the incremental sourcing basis, we are approximately 70%-30%, 75%-25%, depending on how the other partners source in a particular quarter. So that’s the run rate. And this run rate will start moving back towards back to a 50%-50% over the medium term as our other partners continue to gain traction.

The ROAs — steady state ROAs, we would expect in this business, at an overall cards level, should be in the range of 4% to 4.5%, when it is fully leveraged. And the credit costs are, let’s say, as per the model credit cost. And that is true for — whether it is a Bajaj Finance portfolio or some other partner portfolio, depending on the maturity of the partnership, it hovers in that range.

I don’t think we can comment on specific line items on how we pay Bajaj. Largely, it is related to sourcing and some performance of the cards. For example, we do have some spend share. So the better the customer spends, we do give a share of that to Bajaj because they also continue to incentivize customer spend through their network of stores and stuff like that. But I would not want to get into details on that because that’s a private partnership.

Shubhranshu MishraPhillipCapital (India) Pvt Ltd. — Analyst

Sir, just to confirm, my own calculation is we roughly do around INR550 crores to INR600 crores kind of a run rate. Is it closer to that, sir?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

As I said, I would not want to comment on that.

Shubhranshu MishraPhillipCapital (India) Pvt Ltd. — Analyst

Right, sir. Sure. Thank you. Happy Diwali and Happy Dhanteras.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Himanshu Taluja from Aditya Birla Sunlife Asset Management.

Himanshu TalujaAditya Birla Sun Life Assets Management Company — Analyst

Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. Just few questions at my end. Firstly, on your — basically, since you’re guiding for a loan growth of 15% for this year’s financial year, but if I look at my deposit growth for the last two quarters has been on a flat. So what is the deposit strategy here? And what is the deposit? And what sort of growth that you expect basically to garner on the deposit side? That’s my first question.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

I’ve already explained earlier. Anyway for your sake I’m telling you, we are growing granular deposits. Our LCR is around 41.3%, which will become 44%, 46%. And today, we have a surplus liquidity of somewhere around INR7,000 crores, which is sufficient for us to clock around 15% growth what we are talking about. Therefore, the need, we will be in a — we are capable of raising the deposits as and when need arises. We’ll be able to manage it.

Himanshu TalujaAditya Birla Sun Life Assets Management Company — Analyst

Okay. Sure. And sir, secondly, on this asset quality front, since by when — we are seeing the progression on the improvement on the slippages quarter-on-quarter that’s coming down. But when we think that the complete normalization in the asset quality will end, we are going to see the earning normalization also begin basically. So if I can have a — yeah.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

In terms of credit costs, we are already actually below normal this year. In terms of slippages, I think because of the restructuring noise, I think that probably will normalize by, I think, Q4 or early next year. But because we have taken a lot of provisioning on restructures, the credit cost impact is not there because of those slippages.

Himanshu TalujaAditya Birla Sun Life Assets Management Company — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Sure. And sir, also on your earnings, what do you expect? Any ROA guidance that you wanted to convey basically?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

We said last quarter also, we’ll continue to maintain it. For this year, exit will be somewhere around 0.8%.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

0.9% to 1%.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

0.9 to — I mean 0.94% or whatever it is. 1% you can take it for the exit of this year.

Himanshu TalujaAditya Birla Sun Life Assets Management Company — Analyst

Sure, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Saurabh from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Saurabh KumarJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

Hi, sir. Just two questions. One is, can you just give some color on this incremental sourcing you’re doing there in micro banking? I mean the book has gone up 22% quarter-on-quarter. So that’s first.

And second is on this NIM quarter-on-quarter. Fair to say, this is just largely back book repricing. There is no mix improvement you have seen per se in this q-o-q NIM improvement [Technical Issues]? Thanks

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Go ahead, Jaideep.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yeah. I think on the first one, if you remember, we had hardly any sourcing in Q1 because of RBI guidelines, which came in and it took most of the industry players, including us to change the rule engines and technology to fall in line. And therefore, obviously, that fell in line by late June, early July. And therefore, we’ve had a fairly good sourcing for this quarter.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Through retail [Phonetic] industry.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yeah. And I think that trend will continue and probably even improve going forward. Our expectation is that we should get back to a book size of where we were in March ’21 — sorry, March ’22, which was around INR7,000 plus crores.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

March ’21, we were at INR7,100 crores. We’ll reach that by the end of…

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

We’ll reach there by — somewhere around that by end of this year. Sorry, your second question?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Second question, we couldn’t get it. What is that?

Saurabh KumarJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

The NIM improvement, which is quarter-on-quarter what we’re seeing, which is just the back book repricing. There would not have been a core spread improvement in the book on incremental disbursements?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Actually, it’s a mix of both because what happens is that the repo rate linked book has rapidly repriced up, even the wholesale book reprices up quite quickly, whereas deposits are a little back ended. So it’s a mix of both. And I think now we will have a little bit of catch-up from deposits. And therefore, going forward, mix improvement will play a bigger role in what we estimate that margins should continue to improve.

Saurabh KumarJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

Okay. So the incremental business, which is being generated at the bank is higher than the current NIM?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Yes.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

That is correct. That is correct. Yes.

Saurabh KumarJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pankaj Agarwal from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.

Pankaj AgarwalAmbit Capital — Analyst

Yeah. Hello, sir. Am I audible?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Pankaj AgarwalAmbit Capital — Analyst

Sir, you said that your ROA in credit cards business is roughly 5%. And if credit cards business is roughly 22%, 23% of your book, you should be roughly making 90 basis point to 100 basis point ROA from credit cards alone. Now your blended ROA is even less than that. So how do you reconcile this [Technical Issues]?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

So Pankaj, two things. Sorry, I should have clarified, 4.5% is PBT [Phonetic] ROA. Second, the denominator of that is the loan book. If you have to look at the balance sheet, which is what you’re looking at when you look at the overall ROA, you need to deflate it by treasury assets, which don’t have much ROAs. So, that is about a third or 30% higher. If you declare that, you will be able to compare it with the bank.

But yes, we do have businesses where we are investing. For example, retail assets, we are continuing to invest. So it will not necessarily be making money. Similarly branch banking, where we are continuing to add branches. So, there will be areas where we are continuously investing. And there will be businesses like wholesale, which has now come back to profitability after the provisioning issues that we saw two years back. So, you have several parts of the businesses, sometimes some doing very well versus others.

Pankaj AgarwalAmbit Capital — Analyst

But sir, if you like, gross up this credit card loan book with your — because you also have CRR, SLR requirement, right, which is similar to other businesses. And if you make it posted, what should be the ROA, I mean comparable ROA, which you report on overall assets?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

That should be down to somewhere in the 2.5% to 3% range.

Pankaj AgarwalAmbit Capital — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Thank you, sir. This is helpful. Thank you.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rishikesh Oza from RoboCapital. Please go ahead.

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Hi, sir. Sir, firstly, can you provide any guidance on cost-to-income ratio going ahead?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Today, the cost-to-income ratio is somewhere in the mid range of 60%, 65%, and this has continued to be retained in that range for another two quarters because we’re investing in our branches and we will be investing in our employees. We will be investing in the technology also. So going forward, it will stabilize and start looking down from mid of next year. By end of FY ’24, you’ll be able to see them in the range of around 60%, then the efforts will be on to bring it down to 54% year thereafter.

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Okay. And can you please indicate on credit cost? What credit costs are we seeing for H2 and next year FY ’24?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

So, we are sticking to our guidance of, give or take, 2%, less than 2% for this year. We haven’t given specific guidance for next year.

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Okay. Okay. And out of your slippages for this quarter, gross slippages were INR812 crores, how much is from restructured book?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Around INR280 crores.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

INR280 crores, INR279 crores.

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Okay. So that is gross, right?

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

Correct. Yeah.

Rishikesh OzaRoboCapital — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Thank you very much.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Rakesh Kumar from Systematix Shares. Please go ahead.

Rakesh KumarSystematix Shares & Stocks (I) Ltd. — Analyst

Yeah. Hi. Thanks a lot, sir. Sir, clearly, like, A — like as the bank is going under transitory phase, so just to get your view that in how much time do we see that credit composition would normalize?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

The credit composition, even now is normalized, there is no abnormality as far as the credit composition is concerned. The composition will undergo change as we move forward in our line. It’s more of a retail and I said that by end of ’25, we’ll be around in the 60%, 65% range will be retail book and the remaining 35%, 40% will be our range of wholesale book.

And within the wholesale book, there will be a credit composition that will move away from the bulk deposit commercial bank, where our yield will be slightly better than that of our investment in the corporate book. In retail book, there is going to be a credit card, which will continue to grow as it has been growing. These are two. And in microfinance, it will continue to grow the way we have been. At the end, if you see it, we may have to enter the balance sheet with 10% in the microfinance, 25% of the credit card and 25% of all other secured retail accounts, remaining is the corporate book. Approximately around this is what the composition as we move forward.

Rakesh KumarSystematix Shares & Stocks (I) Ltd. — Analyst

So as per your calculation, this entire change would take at least maybe around a year or so.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

These are continuous ones. Today, we have 21% in this balance sheet book. 21% is in the retail segment, what we have. And we have around 23% is in credit card and around 6% to 7% in microfinance. That will keep on increasing it depending on, I mean, as you move for the total growth. If the total growth is 20%, this will also be growing. The run rate of the secured retail will be higher than the current rate of others.

Rakesh KumarSystematix Shares & Stocks (I) Ltd. — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Thank you. Thank you, sir.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Krishnan ASV from HDFC Securities.

Krishnan ASVHDFC Securities — Analyst

Yeah. Hi. Many thanks. I hope I’m audible. I just had a couple of things. One, on the deposit strategy — I’m sorry, I’m getting you to repeat this. I know what you mentioned about improving your retail deposit mix from 41% to whatever number that you want to take it. But how do you intend to take it? If you could just articulate that a little bit, number one.

Number two. Does the RBI have any view on how far you can take your unsecured mix, both credit card plus MFI together. So today, you are at about 30%. Is this inelastic one way? Or does the RBI typically advise banks on how they want your asset mix to move over a period of time?

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Coming to the second part of it, normally, there will not be a — a prescription will not be given. There will be a model — business model will be undertaken by us. As to the business model which has been decided and which we have earlier communicated, we are strengthening it with our revised model today is that we will be increasing our secured portion of the retail to the top whatever the number to 25%. Overall, the retail, I mean, secured portion is going to be somewhere around 50%, 55%.

Jaideep IyerHead, Strategy

50%. And other will be around 50-50 [Phonetic].

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Secured — today, the secured is a little lesser and we will be touching around 50% to 55% will be the secured. This is the plan which we have drawn for the next three years by exit of FY ’25. We will be discussing, we’ll be engaging with our SMEs [Phonetic], the one who is sitting here who will be looking at it. And I don’t think that beyond that, they don’t give any prescription.

The first point, coming towards, how we are going to grow the deposits, first is our branch where we are going to introduce the asset product, which we have not been marketing or sales through the branches. You also will definitely appreciate that asset leads to a lot of liability growth. So when the asset is going to be positioned, all the retail products what we have been talking about, which we will be launching in this quarter as well as next quarter will all be made available through the branches. And that is the one source where we will be able to increase our core deposits and granular deposits.

The second, we have somewhere around 800 plus RFL branches, which we called as the BC outlets. Today, they are doing with 8,000 people on the ground, around 7,500 plus people on the ground. Those people are doing a single product of giving a microfinance advances only, which we wanted to leverage. As per the BC model, they are permitted to mobilize deposits, mobilize savings fund account, mobilize this, maybe that value will be lesser, but the quantum of mobilization will be much higher, that’s second source.

The third source is the digital channel. Today, we have through the digital channel services somewhere around 15 lakh customers who we have never leveraged beyond what we have been doing it. We are using them through our partnership model, and this will be leveraged. We have already established a strong analytics team, which has already started publishing or rather doing analytics to find out the exact people who can be reached within this customer base of 15 lakhs in the payments space alone and plus 11 lakhs of all the customers, how many of them can be moved to the liability.

And we have another 4.6 million customers in the credit card. Majority of them are not into the liability space at all. Again, we are leveraging our analytics to see that how many of them will be able to leverage for the purpose of our liability product. So, this is how the plan of action which we have. This plan of action is in the various stages of implementation. By end of this year, we will be in a position to complete all the plans what I said and into the implementation. Implementation itself will be completed, thereafter the benefits will start accruing to us.

Krishnan ASVHDFC Securities — Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

R SubramaniakumarManaging Director & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We now conclude the question-and-answer session. If you have any further questions, please contact RBL Bank Limited via e-mail at ir@rblbank.com.

[Operator Closing Remarks]

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