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Hero MotoCorp Ltd (HEROMOTOCO) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall Transcript

HEROMOTOCO Earnings Concall - Final Transcript

Hero MotoCorp Ltd (NSE: HEROMOTOCO) Q2 FY23 Earnings Concall dated Nov. 04, 2022

Corporate Participants:

Umang Deep Singh Khurana — Head of Investor Relations

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Swadesh Srivastava — Head of Emerging Mobility Business Unit

Analysts:

Gunjan Prithyani — BofA Securities — Analyst

Kumar Rakesh — BNP Paribas — Analyst

Raghunandhan N. L — Emkay Global Financial — Analyst

Chandramouli Muthiah — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Kapil Singh — Nomura — Analyst

Amyn Pirani — JPMorgan — Analyst

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

Arvind Sharma — Citigroup — Analyst

Nishit Jalan — Axis Capital Limited — Analyst

Hitesh Goel — CLSA Limited — Analyst

Jyoti Singh — Arihant Capital Markets — Analyst

Presentation:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Q2 FY ’20 Results Conference Call. of MotoCorp hosted by Emkay Global Financial Services. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Raghunandhan from Emkay Global Financial Services. Thank you, and over to you.

Raghunandhan N. L — Emkay Global Financial — Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. On behalf of Emkay Global Financial Services, I welcome you all on the Q2 FY ’23 earnings call of Hero MotoCorp. I would like to thank the management for giving us opportunity to host this call. Without further ado, I would like to hand the call to Mr. Umang Khurana, who is the Head of Investor Relations, to introduce the management. Over to you, Umang.

Umang Deep Singh Khurana — Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Ragu. Thanks for having us. Hello, and welcome, everyone, to Hero MotoCorp’s Q2 FY ’24 Results Investor Call. Trust, everyone had a happy and a good festive. With us on the call today, we have our CFO, Niranjan Gupta; our CGO, Ranjivjit Singh; and our Head of AMBU, Swadesh Srivastava. As usual, we’ll begin with opening comments from Niranjan. Over to you, Niranjan.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Umang. Hi, Welcome, everyone, to Hero MotoCorp’s Quarter two Fiscal Year ’23 Earnings Conference Call. [Foreign Speech] to everyone. Easier to use [Foreign Speech] can given the time zones. And anyway, it looks like Nemaska may become the most used form of greeting even in the global financial capital. You would have seen our results announced yesterday evening. We delivered quarter revenue of INR9,075 crores and net profit of INR716 crores, the results include one-off mark-to-market loss on account of Gogoro investment of INR44 crores. Our first half revenues grew by a solid 25% while profits grew by 15%. Continuing our focus on both top line as well as profitability, we improved our EBITDA margin sequentially from 11.2% to 11.4% and delivered our highest ever first half gross profit per vehicle at INR17,140 per unit of vehicles sold. We continue to drive portfolio premiumization and launch of expect variants across all the key models have met with huge success. During our 32-day festive period, the executive variance comprised 20% of overall retail sales volumes, where our total retail sales, as you know, grew by 20% over last year.

This builds a strong foundation for growth both in volumes and value moving forward. We are building a strong pipeline of premium products as well, and you’ll be able to see exciting model launches in this segment every year. This will help us build market share in the premium segment and boost profitability over medium term. We’ve been focusing on growing our parts business in the last few quarters and the report that parts business revenue for first half was at INR2,300 crores, registering a growth of 45%. Parts business revenue now accounts for 13.7% of revenue, and we aim to increase it to 15%. Beyond the growth prospects in the parts, which is a traditional business, we aim to grow our access fees and merchandise which have got huge opportunities over the next few quarters. In order to address the affordability in the entry segment, as we all know, we have been continuously driving finance penetration, making mobility easier for the masses. Our finance penetration has now gone up to 60% plus.

And again, this builds a strong underlying platform to translate the desire and need of people into real demand. We are excited about the EV opportunity, and we will be starting test site soon. The deliveries will begin as planned and from initial three cities, we plan to get to 10-plus cities by March. As you have seen, we are establishing VIDA as premium and aspirational brand many segment first offerings. Beyond the immediate, we plan to cover both the mid- and affordable segment as well, and our teams are working towards building a strong pipeline of products ecosystem and offering as we explained in our investor conference recently during our product launch in October. Coming to overall macroeconomic factors, while there are headwinds linked to inflation, the consequent rate increases and impact on economic growth. However, we do believe that the inflation and rate cycle may be close to peak now.

Return of growth in developed markets may take a while but India clearly is relatively much better placed with strong consumption base, favorable demographic profile and significant headroom per capita consumption relative to other countries. The recent resurgence of spending across these during the festive season is reflective of return of consumer confidence and others well for the industry growth moving forward. On that note, let’s open the floor for Q&A. Over to you, Umang.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

The first question is from the line of Gunjan Prithyani from Bank of America.

Gunjan Prithyani — BofA Securities — Analyst

My first question is on the industry demand outlook. Now clearly, I mean, we’re talking about some green shoots during this festive. Could you give us some more color as to was it just the pent-up demand and a lot of aggressive themes that you had around festive that help? Or you’re seeing some decisive change in the growth outlook and you from here on industries back to growth. So some color around what you saw during the festive and how should we think about the growth? And along similar lines, if you can share the inventory levels for Hero as well.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Right. Thanks, Gunjan. Let me hand over this to Rajiv, are you there? Can you just take this?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Yes, sure. Hi Gunjan, and hi, everyone, and wish you all had a very good Diwali. I’d like to just talk a little bit about festival and then move on to the demand and how we approached it, touching upon, therefore, how this entire result has come about. So festival was, as usual, the 32 days. This time, of course, it came a little bit early from 26 September to 27th of October, we were close to the consumer trends. We were close to our dealers and our customers and understanding what is the sentiment, what’s going on. And that’s why we came up with this idea of India, let’s celebrate, [Foreign Speech] and created the Grand Indian festival of trust which is something that was very well appreciated because this is the time when consumers wanted to come out, and after two years of COVID, this was the pent-up demand, of course, like you mentioned, would come out. So in that, it is also very important to understand what the trends and the underlying trends are. And there was a clear sense towards premiumization. And this is what we were working on, the premium portfolio, getting that out into our dealerships, making sure, like Niranjan said, the ex tech range that we prioritize that because this is also the range that uses the chips which have been in short supply, and I must commend our supply chain team for having managed to bring in those supplies well and prepared for during Q2. So whether it’s a destiny or passion or glamor or Splendor, all of them, we prioritize in terms of preparing for the modern mix because that is the key. That is critical that we are very much in tune with where the consumer is and where the consumer demand is. It also, therefore, was incumbent on us to prepare for the entire ecosystem. The ecosystem was — had come out of two years of COVID. And so would we pick up to the level that we were anticipating, that required a lot of engagement with our ecosystem at the dealerships. And also very importantly, in the rural networks.

The secondary networks where you know that Hero has a very strong position. And so getting that alignment with the ecosystem was something that we worked on. And so those are fundamentals. And then we prepared for the go-to-market, the go-to-market from a marketing campaign perspective or a retail finance, which really picked up also during this time. The exchange program that we put in and the customer offers and a lot of the work that we did was digital, including upper funnel as well as lead generation on this. So it went — I must say, rural overall, in July and August, was a little bit soft, but then was moving ahead at a slow speed. We saw a lot of pent-up demand. So addressing your question, that demand did come up during the first 10 days of Navratri very well and then came on the rains.

The rains, which for the next 10 days — or 9, 10 days were incessant and they were prolonged, and they were pretty much unprecedented, and our consumer base in the rural area did need to fall back and take care of their crops, take care of what else they needed to do, but in the last six days towards Dasara, Diwali, they came out. And that was very promising that even the whole portfolio that we have was very, very observed. As you can imagine, we came in with a 20% growth during the festival season. So what I really wanted to say, Gunjan, is our Q2 was all on about preparing for the festival.

And when you get the hockey stick effect at that time, that’s really what works. And that’s what we had predicted, and it was good that work happened and the peak. We were able to satisfy consumer needs for the festival season, the whole portfolio of our Hero products. So that’s very much there. And then the last part of your question. The other side of the rains is it actually could be an upside going forward for the winter crop. In addition to which there are quite a few auspicious days that come up in November, December right up to April, May, etc. So I think fundamentals and the underlying performance is pretty strong from what we see. And when I told you about 20%, it is end consumer retail. They’re actually what consumers have bought. So it’s not what the dealers have bought. And that gives you a good sense of the underlying performance. I hope I was able to answer your question.

Gunjan Prithyani — BofA Securities — Analyst

Sure. This is very helpful. Maybe my — the inventory levels, if you can share that, and then I’ll get on to my second question.

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Sure.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Gunjan, I’ll take that one. So our inventories are at one of the lowest post-festive. As you know, we won’t give a number, but we maintain, let’s say, four to six weeks, so it is down to actually the lowest end, of that spectrum, Gunjan.

Gunjan Prithyani — BofA Securities — Analyst

Okay. Got it. My second question is a little bit more around the strategy. I mean you’re clearly calling out more of premium, and entry has also been seeing a lot of slowdown. But 125cc segment is where we’ve done well in the past, and it’s a segment which is now pending, and we’ve seen a lot more competition from the rest of the players as well. So what is the thought process here in terms of product intervention? I understand glamor and all we’ve tried to make some intervention, but it’s not really worked. We are losing market share in that subsegment. So maybe what’s the broader strategy there, if I think from a next two- to three-year perspective?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Ranjivjit?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Sure. So the 125cc segment is a very interesting one. Of course, it’s growth is going — seeing growth from upgrades from the 100cc, 110cc as well as downgrades from the 150cc, 160cc segment, and we are well placed. Our Super Splendor, which we’ve now come up with a canvas, and we backed it up with a beautiful camp has, in the festival season, done very, very well in terms of the key markets that it operates in. And when you look at Glamour, Xtec is something that initially in the earlier part of the year, we had some shortages. We were able to address that. And we have now introduced a new product, which is the metallic nexus blue. And then we came in with a campaign with the car Ramcharan. And it’s created a lot of excitement, not only in Anda Pradesh and Telangana, also investing all in other markets where in quarter two itself, it’s had a very strong double-digit growth. So we’re seeing good momentum in the 125cc, and you’ll continue to see more innovations from us and more of the portfolio coming in the 125cc as we go along.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Kumar Rakesh from BNP Paribas.

Kumar Rakesh — BNP Paribas — Analyst

My first question was around the EV. So how has been the bookings so far in the first 20 days since we opened a booking for our VIDA portfolio? And what’s the value proposition our JV with, given that they would be targeting the market separately as well? So where do we stand on that front? That would be my first question.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Kumar, for the question. What our plan on EV is to open the test rides very soon. And we will be starting deliveries as planned. As far as putting numbers are concerned, you will have to be patient for the sales to happen. And then as the sale numbers happen, then you will get the disclosure then. In terms of the Gogoro part of it, what they have announced is an operational pilot and learning from the operational pilot will be helpful across the other entire ecosystem. And as far as the partnership and the thinking and the discussion on that is concerned, as you know, that’s on swapping. And swapping is the flexibility that we have always said that we will build, and obviously, there are optionalities and flexibility that are coming along, and it will be across all the segments of B2B and B2C. Swadesh, would you like to add something?

Swadesh Srivastava — Head of Emerging Mobility Business Unit

No, I think you covered well, Niranjan. We are really gearing up for the test rides to start soon. And with that, obviously, getting into the sales and delivery, and we’ll have those in front of you very soon. On the Gogoro piece, whatever helps creating the category and helping the EV category grow is always welcome. And there will be good pilots going on this front, and we are in discussions to close out the rest of the plan with

Kumar Rakesh — BNP Paribas — Analyst

Quite helpful. My second question was around the Hero FinCorp business. So last quarter, we had invested about INR seven billion in parent business. And we had this last quarter that we will be targeting bringing down the credit cost in the business closer to 5%, 5.5% through this year. So where do we stand on that in the first half of September quarter, whatever you could share?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes. They’re progressing well. Hero FinCorp and actually, their profits have gone up from a level of quarter one where the PAT was around INR110 crores. They delivered INR160 crores. They’re actually profit before credit costs. They delivered the quarter is going to be higher. Their GNPAs have come down to 6.5% in the quarter. And they are targeting the trajectory to move towards 5% over the next few quarters. I think we are progressing pretty well with AUM growth, which is close to double digits. And given India’s financing penetration and the debt to GDP ratios, the opportunity in NBFC segments are significant. And I think Hero FinCorp, we believe, are on a platform, which orders were for the takeoff from here on.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Chandramouli Muthiah from Goldman Sachs.

Chandramouli Muthiah — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

My first question is on Hero’s quarterly model mix in 2Q. Normally, we see HF Deluxe entry-level model volumes improve in the September quarter versus June. This time, it seems that there’s been a Q-o-Q, but a lot of that decline seems to have been covered by the Splendor and the action volumes. So just trying to understand what is driving this model mix shift? Is there a conscious effort to promote a better Splendor and Passion mix? Or are there other on-ground demand factors at play?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Let me start, and then I’ll ask Ranjivjit to add on. You’re absolutely right. As far as model mix is concerned, it’s been favorable in terms of portfolio in quarter two as well as in festive where we have more of the, not only just the Splendor, but actually, if you look at the festive also, the tech, which actually comes at 5% to 7% premium to the core models, that has sold very well. In our overall festive as we talked about, that Xtec models comprise 20% of offensive retail. So quarter two also favorable mix, and that has got reflected even in the average selling prices. Anyway, have been consciously moving towards premiumization as we have talked about. And therefore, the customers which are actually — or there’s a customer pool as well, wanting to upgrade and equally our push in terms of our efforts in the market through Xtec through marketing, these variants are more premiumization, that’s what’s helping. Ranjivjit?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Yes, absolutely. I mean the premiumization is a trend that we’re seeing not only in two-wheelers, we are seeing it across industries. And the good thing is that consumers are really appreciating the Xtec range Glamour already above 60%, 70%. Similarly, there are lots of other models that we have passion is doing extremely well with the exact range. There’s a lot more demand for Splendor Xtec than what we can currently supply. Destini Xtec has been a big, big uptick as well in terms of growth. So overall, I think that’s what’s been happening. But after the rains in the mid-part of the festival and towards the last part, after the rains, we saw even HF Deluxe come back, but that’s pretty normal. I would say that the big trend is towards premiumization, and we were able to gear up our portfolio and our model mix to meet that consumer demand.

Chandramouli Muthiah — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

Got it. That’s helpful. My second question is on the post-festive demand trajectory. This year, from registration standpoint, we have seen a bit of fee month for the two-wheeler industry compared to the past four years, but wholesale from most two wheel OEMs in October have not necessarily followed through with that kind of momentum. So just trying to check what is holding dealers back from accepting more stock from the two wheel OEMs in general?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Let me just begin and then I’ll ask also the question and Ranjivjit also to build up on that. The most fundamental thing and good thing is about the festive retail because one retail happens on the retail with a 15% to 20% growth, of course, we grew by 20%. Although is extremely and we saw that inventory levels are down to one of the lowest ever perspective. So obviously, that builds a base for the wholesale moving forward. And on the post-festive retail demand because that’s what will drive the wholesale given that the inventory levels are anyway at the lowest and that also provides that headroom. Ranjivjit already covered about the optimistic prospects, of the demand moving forward on the first one. But Ranjivjit, do you want to build a little bit more on the demand prospects moving forward.

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Yes. I’ll just build on also when you look at October, last year, festival was in November. So obviously, there was still a stocking up inventory levels that dealers were going for. Here, the, with 24th, 25th being Diwali around that time, and then you have a few, you have a week of nonfestive in a true sense. So not entirely comparable. But as you go forward, like I said, it’s a more optimistic kind of a view that we have right now with the rains, with the rural sentiment, which has been demonstrated during the festival that we saw and the upcoming dates that we are seeing, whether it’s in February or in March. I mean it’s definitely looking more optimistic for us.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Jinesh Gandhi from MOSL.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

My question is to, first off, if you can share some data points with respect to sales revenue and operating other income for the quarter?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Jinesh, we can do that. As far as the parts business revenue for the quarter is concerned is INR1,244 crores. Quarter one was INR1,061 crores, and corresponding quarter last year was INR1,141 crores. And the other operating income for the same period is INR231 crores, INR181 crore and INR329 crores.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Secondly, with respect to retail during festive, how the base expect to peak over how much below FY ’19 levels and what we absolutely we are sharing in the past that?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Ranjivjit?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Sorry, the voice is a little muffled. I’m — I didn’t…

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

My question is how your retail as compared to pre-COVID levels? And what were the absolute level of the sales during 32-day

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Okay. So like I mentioned, we are 20% higher than last year. So that should give you a good sense of that. As far as the pre-COVID, we’re not, we are still a distance away from that in terms of maybe 2018, 2019, but not that much of a distance. So I would say the rain had its impact. There was definitely pent-up demand. There was latent demand, but there was the reality. I’ve been visiting the markets, the dealerships and people who are more busy trying to protect the crop from the unseasonal rainfall. And I would say that the underlying factors are pretty strong there. So it’s — retail, absolutes are good. I think overall, the economy for that segment, which is — which we are catering to, I think, will be positive.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Jinesh, just to build on what Ranjivjit has said, if you look at pre-COVID, you can broadly talk about 95% of the pre-COVID during this festive to festive, which I think extremely well. given in a discretionary category, the bounce back that has happened through consumer confidence and the buildup that we are seeing.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

So we are just about 5% short of pre-COVID, that’s a very, very good outcome. Okay. And as a continuation of that, were you seeing any different signs during tested between retail versus urban, sorry, rural versus urban and markets where monsoons where we — how did to go in those markets?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Ranjivjit?

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Got it. And lastly, if you mention you can talk about how cost impacted main margins in 2Q and our expectations for 3Q? That’s my last question.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

So an RM cost is concerned, you would have seen, Jinesh, that the cost in the quarter has come down, whether you look at the previous quarter or you look at the corresponding quarter of the last year. In terms of moving forward, look, metals, we have seen are cooling off. So therefore, some benefit of that is likely to flow in. Having said that, there is a bit of headwind arising out of the currency depreciation, which we have seen in the recent. So I think we continue to navigate this space like we have done in the past through a mix of pricing through a mix of savings initiatives. So we need to continue to navigate this case.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Okay. So we saw some savings on commodities in 2Q, right?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I thought commodities, you can see the benefit in the material cost actually getting reflected in quarter two.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Kapil Singh from Nomura.

Kapil Singh — Nomura — Analyst

Just continuing on the previous question. Is it possible to quantify how much commodity benefit you got for the quarter because we would have a benefit of positive mix also?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Largely you can say that if you compare with the preceding quarter because sometimes year-on-year comparisons in these cases do not make that much of that such But if you look at our material costs have come down from 72.8% to 72% of the overall revenue. So roughly, you can say around 30 to 40 basis points of that would be on account of the commodity cost while the rest would be the mix impact.

Kapil Singh — Nomura — Analyst

Okay. That’s quite helpful. And going ahead, do you expect a larger benefit to come — or bulk of the benefit to come in third quarter? Is that the right way to think about it?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Happy — I’ll not put a forecast guidance on that because that leads to those guidance numbers. But I just reiterate that there is part of the commodity benefits that are yet to flow through, which will flow through in the coming quarters. The only headwind I would say, is the currency and how that plays out over the quarter, over a longer period of time will determine finally is it a net benefit or a net actually cost on.

Kapil Singh — Nomura — Analyst

Sure. Secondly, if you also just comment on even operating leverage overall because we have seen slightly higher other expenses on a quarter-on-quarter as well as on a year-on-year basis. So how will these costs evolve going ahead? And we have maintained a longer-term margin guidance of 14% to 16% to see yourself getting there?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

All right. So Kapil, if you look at the quarters, other expenses have got impacted by a higher marketing expenses, which we did, as Ranjivjit talked about, expect launch that we’ve been doing, so there have been campaigns running. So higher marketing expense in quarter two, and there be some bit of. So I think the best way to look at it is look at the H1 other expenses, which are at 10.1%, and that would be a fair bit of range to actually look at in terms of the forward rather than the quarter, which was impacted by phasing as well. In terms of moving forward, look, our long-range guidance still remains. Obviously, we’ve been navigating very successfully in terms of the entire commodity inflation that has happened, trying to balance it off as to how much we can pass on to the customer, how much to be offset by our savings programs and how much, therefore, we actually take it down in the margins. So we’ve been balancing that off quite sensibly.

While doing a percentage, it’s also important to recognize the rupees per vehicle, absolute delivery and which is where I said in the beginning, that percentage is one way to look at it. Of course, the guidance of the long range remains. But in the meantime, we’ve delivered our highest ever gross profit per vehicle, if you look at the first half over the last few years. So I think from an absolute perspective, augurs as well, given that the volume still on an overall basis are not at the pre-COVID level. Festive is at 95%, but on a full year basis, the industry is very short.

So as volumes build up, the unit per vehicle margins that one is delivering will then help in getting operating leverage significantly. As far as the margin actually in the long term are concerned, that as well is, obviously, as we talked about premiumization, which we are driving. You’ve seen our portfolio mix. We are working on launching premium models over the next few quarters, and you will see every year that’s coming. So that will actually improve the profile. And obviously, as the rate cycle and inflation cycle peaks, then we’ll have the dividends of the commodity softening as well. So I think there are things that go well. We’re not too concerned about the percentage margins at this stage, given that at least on a per vehicle basis, we are able to deliver a pretty strong bottom line on even a per vehicle basis.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Aman Pirani from JPMorgan.

Amyn Pirani — JPMorgan — Analyst

First, just a bookkeeping question. Any reason why the Gogoro-related mark-to-market loss is being driven directly through the other income instead of the other comprehensive income?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

That would have been an option, but we did follow the accounting standard. And actually, even in the last quarter, which is quarter 1, we took it through the other income itself. And therefore, we followed the consistent practice of actually following there. But there could have been a choice of actually moving through other comprehensive income as well as you are rightly saying.

Amyn Pirani — JPMorgan — Analyst

Okay. Okay. Because that just increases the volatility in your EPS. So I just thought I just ask. Secondly, I appreciate the point that on a per unit basis, in fact, per vehicle is well above 7,000, which is close to your all-time peak. But going forward, do you think that on the other expense side, the inflation could continue to remain high? And is this because of marketing cost? Is it energy cost? If you could help us understand what kind of costs are going up because while commodities are come down, is there a risk of inflation on the other line items. I think that is what we would like to understand.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Honestly, I mean, no, I don’t, we don’t see inflation in the other items. As I explained, there are a bit of elevated in the quarter is because of the marketing spend and the spend phasing. And if you look at the H1, which is broadly around 10.1% that we are looking at, we don’t see a significantly higher inflation on that. So there’s no energy inpatient our employee cost. Broadly, it moves with the industry. And as we get the higher volumes as the industry grows and we also gain market share, the operating leverage also should kick in. So there’s no fundamental concern around inflation in the other expenses outshipping this one. Having said that, just one thing I want to highlight, and then therefore, we can pick that up moving forward as well. As we are moving forward, obviously, as our EV is scaling up, the MDU spends are going to be higher, but that’s actually something which is building investment for the long term. And therefore, that’s something. Underlying ICE business, if you’re asking, there’s no concern around inflation outstripping our top line growth on the other expenses.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Chirag Shah from Novama.

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

Sir, I had two questions. So question one was on the premium products, you have 155cc-plus product. Can you just more elaborate in terms of how should we expect the product launch time lines and intervals? Why I’m asking this? We have launched which are doing extremely well, but it’s the kind of a niche category.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Chirag. Thanks for asking the question. So while we would not be in a position to indicate a exact time line, but what we can say is — and you’re absolutely right, the export has been received extremely well, but it’s in the niche segment. You will see us launching premium models in the core segment pretty soon. I mean, if I were to say over the next two years’ time frame, you will see models which are in the volume segment and the profitable segment of the premium as well, including the platform that we are developing jointly with.

Operator

We move to the next question from the line of Arvind Sharma from Citigroup.

Arvind Sharma — Citigroup — Analyst

Sir, the ASP seems to be doing very well, partly demand for sure and partly because the price hikes. At what point do you think that these price hikes would start impacting demand? Especially asking because market share has been a void in the domestic bikes, and competition is intense. So do you think at some point in time, one has to take a look at the kind of price hikes, etc, or maybe take some pricing action in order to boost volume. Is that something that is part of the plan?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Right. I think the best indication of price adoption in the market has been the festive retail. And we have seen that festive retail is growing at 20% or you can say, 15% to 20% for the overall industry. And that means that all the price increases that have happened so far have been absorbed by the market. And the way industry has been doing is in a very sensible way. It’s not been taking very steep hike. So it’s been taking kind of a moderate hike. If you look at actually overall inflation in the economy of 7%, so versus the a 7% inflation, if you look at the price hikes that have happened, probably they would be close to maybe 5% to 6%. So equal to or below the general CPI inflation that we are talking about. Moving forward, we do believe that a moderate level of price increases will continue, but they are likely to be below the general inflation rate. And therefore, that all work very well because that gets absorbed in the economy as well. And of course, in terms of pricing action for the volume, typically, in the industry, when the commodities cool off then, of course, that allows the industry to recover the margins in terms of percentages as well. And then it allows also headroom for more on the product side, side and providing value to the consumers, from that point of view rather than taking pricing down.

Arvind Sharma — Citigroup — Analyst

Sir, just one last question. Your comments on the market share trends and anything that is there in the target or something which you have planned, especially in the domestic motorcycle industry?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Ranjivjit?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Yes. So the market share trends, I think the biggest indicator that you will get is the festival growth that we got. And I want to just draw your attention to the retail side of it because we’ve been focusing a lot on the end consumer demand and the end consumer retail. And there was a little bit of a blip in September but we bounced back very strongly in October, and that’s further got strengthened in November. So we ended October in Bahn at 34.6. We went to 38.5 in November so far. So it’s — that’s one way of looking at it although Bahan has a lag of about two to three weeks, and it’s not always very stable. But if you look at it over a long period of time, you do get a good trend line where the trends are. And so far, we seem to be doing pretty okay on that.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Let me build on what Ranjivjit has said in terms of the overall medium term, the way we look at direction and the drivers of the market share. So as you all know, we continue to be extremely strong in our entry segment. We continue to be very strong in our dealer 110 segment with lenders actually outstripping all the models, and that has got fortified more with the Xtec executive variant. 125cc recovered where we accessed market share, we will be on our way to recovery. We have launched Xtec on Glamour as well and when we talked about the action on the 125cc. So that will be entry and dealers 110 will be about maintaining the strong position that we have. 125cc will be about recovering the lost market share through the actions that we have and premium will be building the market share to the portfolio that we are launching. So these will be the drivers of the market share moving forward over the medium term from a domestic ICE perspective.

Operator

We lost the connection from Mr. Chirag Shah from Novama. We have him back in the queue.

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

I couldn’t hear the answer for the first question. In case you have summarized and I’ll skip and I’ll repeat the first question. On the premium product, I was trying to understand your launch pipeline and the time lines that you are looking at because after XPulse, which did very well in its niche category, we have yet to capitalize on the brand build that we have done. So if you can share some thoughts on just. Yes.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

So while we had a Chirag, still amplify a little bit more on that. So yes, export. It’s not that we’ve not utilized that brand equity. I think expanding that. We are doing lots of actions on that at the dealer end, at our valleys, etc, etc. On the product pipeline, as you know, we had signed the agreement with to jointly develop the platform, which will be right in the core most profitable segment of the premium. And that is in advanced stages. So while we are unable to give a time line, that’s in advanced stages of coming on ground. Beyond that, we’ve been working also on across the CC right up to, we have talked about it earlier, Chriag, right, up to 400cc in sports, adventure rating segments as well. You don’t see it because the work has started two years, 2.5 years back. And typically, as you know, the launch is a three to four years starting from the scratch. And therefore, you will see the model launches every year from here on moving forward.

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

The second question was on either. So you, what were the dilution that And I presume your equity stake is maintained in, right?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Chirag, there’s a minor dilution, which has happened. If you look at our our diluted basis. This is gone down by around 2%, close to 2% on the current holding, which was around 39% and it’s come down to probably around 37%. Now that’s because they’ve raised fundraise from GIC, which is INR400 crores at a valuation of INR6,000 crores. Now this is almost a tension of the previous fund round and we had already put our capital in the month of May, if I remember right. So that’s the minor dilution that happened. But strategically, our direction, our intent, our position on Ather doesn’t change. And Ather as a company as a portfolio is doing very well.

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

And if I can squeeze in one last question, sir. H2 volumes given the festive has been reasonably strong after a lull. Can we expect a strong kind of a double-digit growth sequentially H2 or H1 at industry level and at level?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Right. So Chirag, we’ll not be able to give a number guidance on H2. I think overall, if you look at the industry, and again, coming back to industry, I think the fact that the festive retails are 95% of pre-COVID. We know on a full year basis, the industry is far away from the pre-COVID but at least the festive retail being there. That’s a very encouraging sign. On top of that, when we look at the even the crop cycle where the crop harvesting is happening because of delayering now, we’ve looked at the other fundamental factors also the GST collections, as we know, are good, the crop realizations are good. Consumer confidence, spending is coming back. I think it all augur as well. Now how fast, how quickly it translates into industry volumes moving forward, that could be a matter of a few months here and there. But I think we stay positive on the outlook moving forward on the back of a very strong festive performance by the industry.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Nishit Jalan from Axis Capital.

Nishit Jalan — Axis Capital Limited — Analyst

Sir, I have two questions. Firstly, if I look at your sales volume of models like passion and Glamour, good to see that we have seen some pickup in the last few months. But still, the volumes of these two models are significantly below the volumes which they used to do 3, four years back. So just wanted to understand your thoughts as to what went wrong and according to you, what will be required from your side to go back to those models because patient used to do 70,000, 30,000 per month. and even Glamour used to be there at some point of time. But now we are significantly below those levels.

That is the first question. And second question is on, sir, our receivables have gone up significantly. We do have some seasonality, I think, in the September quarter. But if I look at the receivable days have gone up to almost 43, 44 days of sales. So is it purely seasonal? Or do you — have you made any changes to the credit period that you are giving to dealers because the inventory was higher, so you’re giving higher credit period. I just wanted your thoughts on these two questions.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

So on the first question, let me request Ranjivjit to answer. Ranjivjit, over to you.

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

So we’ve seen a good revival on passion and glamor. And I think the exact range, as we’ve talked about, has been the primary driver. Consumers have really appreciated the first-in-segment features that we have, whether it’s the navigation, the Bluetooth, the LED headlamps and lot of premium features, and that’s what drives this segment. So rest assured that this is coming back. We’ve also invested, as you know, and as I’ve told you on Glamour Xtec in terms of the celebrity Ramcharan as well as campaign and new colors, etc, which come up very, very well. People are saying that they want that bike, which Ramcharan is riding. And, and they’ve got passion also, which is now coming back in a big way. So going forward, we see that these segments will continue to contribute and grow as we go along. The upcoming marriage seasons, we will see that, that has definitely will play a big role because these are the models that will be in demand. The retail finance has played a very big role now, and that will continue to drive demand for these kind of figures. These are aspirational products, and that is what will be driven, so we’re very confident about the growth.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Then just a little bit on that. Specifically on fashion, whatever — while, of course, we need to address and Ranjivjit talked about the actions and we are confident of addressing it. But whatever we have lost on passion, actually, we have gained on Splendor last. So we’ve been able to capture that within our own portfolio at actually higher margins. Having said that, that doesn’t take away from the fact that we need to get passion back to those volumes and the actions are in place. On the receivables, it’s purely seasonal. There is, of course, a bit of the — when you look at the price increases that have happened. But yes, interest number of days when you look at it, it’s just seasonal. And in fact, as we stand today, we’ve already post festive, we’ve already had the collections bringing it down to the normal levels. There hasn’t been any change in the underlying credit base.

Nishit Jalan — Axis Capital Limited — Analyst

Okay. Sir, just one follow-up.

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Nishit, I’ll just add that both fashion and Glamour in Q2 have really performed very well. So rest assured on that. They’ve been very strong double-digit growth, Passion.

Nishit Jalan — Axis Capital Limited — Analyst

Yes. Sir, just one follow-up on receivable days. Can you remind us what is the credit period that you give dealers? And how much of it is free of interest? And then how much is basically charged on an interest basis?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

It’s 15 days for your of interest.

Nishit Jalan — Axis Capital Limited — Analyst

And then do you give a credit period with some interest sponsor to the dealers?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes, after that interest is changeable.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Hitesh Goel from CLSA.

Hitesh Goel — CLSA Limited — Analyst

Sir, I just wanted to get a sense more on the commodity cost side. So we look at steel, aluminum, precious metals, these things, right? And that have fallen quite a bit, right? But you have been talking about energy costs. We are looking at the oil price also. It’s not changed. Actually, it’s come down from first quarter levels. So where are we seeing this inflated due to vendor seeing cost increases that they’re passing on in terms of overhead costs or also on the semi side? And semi, I would believe would be mostly in the premium side and would be a very small proportion of revenues, right? So just can you give us more color on where we are — why we are not calling for a decent increase in margins in second from the commodity side?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes. From the second half perspective, it’s the currency, honestly. So as currently, you know the currency is depreciated down to 83% and currency impact across all the basket because most of these commodities are denominated in terms of their pricing at port parity pricing, through a dollar level. So that’s what impacts. Steel, aluminum, etc, etc. And as far as the semi is concerned, yes. So that kind of indicates basically the premium end part of it. So yes, I will actually put it down to second half outlook, which I talked about. It’s down to broadly to the current. Yes. This could actually offset the benefits of the cost that we’re getting to. Yes.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Jyoti Singh from Arihant Capital Markets Limited..

Jyoti Singh — Arihant Capital Markets — Analyst

Sir, my question is on the rural side. What’s your outlook going forward as you did mentioned that rural is doing better. And another question is on EV front. If you can tell us your guidance about the expectation of EV revenue contribution..

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

So for the first question, I’ll request Ranjivjit to answer and I request Swadesh to answer the second one. Ranjivjit?

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Sure. So like I mentioned that rural recovered a little slower. But when it bounced back, it actually came in three points higher than even last year during the festival season. We — with the rains behind us with a positive outlook, we think that things — we are more optimistic about rural demand coming back. I believe that will happen. The marriages in February, March, particularly will play a role in driving rural demand. So I believe your question is very fair in terms of the balance that we have in our portfolio, and I think rural will go well.

Swadesh Srivastava — Head of Emerging Mobility Business Unit

Yes. On the EV side, as you see, the EV market is actually almost tripling up from the last year to this year. And if you look at it from the segment within the EV from mass to mainstream to premium, if you look at the higher price point, where we are playing, it takes about almost 32% it in the first half, and that’s where we are well positioned. In the three cities which we have already launched and soon, we’ll start the test rides, that takes up about 2% of the premium market. So we are playing in a very significant portion of the EV market. And as we launch another subsidies, that will cater to another percent of the market, right? So I think we’re playing in a very significant segment of EV.

We are playing in the top cities of the EVs. And as we had mentioned earlier during our launch, we are here to create the category and we are putting the right building blocks, whether it’s the right product, charging infrastructure or the digital platform and our touch points, customer touch points. So we want to make sure that all this is set up, doing well and customer is taking it well. We are going towards having this foundation built very well in the coming months. And we know that from there on, we will be able to garner a leadership position. So I just wanted to give you the segment and the cities playing in, and we are very strongly building the foundation in the next few weeks.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Kapil Singh from Nomura. Yes.

Kapil Singh — Nomura — Analyst

Sir, my question has been answered.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Jinesh Gandhi from Motilal.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

First question is on the impact of on two-wheelers, how do you see that in terms of cost increases?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

I didn’t get your question because the line is a bit muffled, Jinesh, so not able to get your question.

Chirag Shah — Nuvama Wealth — Analyst

Is it better now?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Yes, try again.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Yes. So any sense on what would be the cost increases because of RD norms or BS VI Phase II norms of which is coming in from April 23?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Okay. You’re talking about the OBD Phase I and Phase II right?

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

OBD Phase two, right.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Which is, so the impact is not signaling significant. It’s pretty marginal from a regulatory cost point of view.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Okay. Okay. And secondly, the financing penetration going up to 60% us, what is now our share, I mean share of financing from HFC?

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

HFC continues to be hovering around 35%, plus or minus a few basis points depending on which period actually you take.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

Okay. So it’s not — it hasn’t gone up materially with increase in penetration rates. That’s great. And lastly, on the operating other income side, you’ve said this quarter was INR231 crores, right? was about INR19 Crores.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

So other operating revenue, quarter two is INR213 crores and 1Q was INR181 crores.

Jinesh K. Gandhi — Motilal Oswal — Analyst

So 1Q was INR181 crores.

Operator

Due to time constraint, this was the last question for today. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Raghunandhan N. L — Emkay Global Financial — Analyst

That’s it. Thank you so much. Thank you, everyone, for joining in. We look forward to keeping connected. If you have any follow-ups, please feel free to reach out to us. Thank you.

Niranjan Kumar Gupta — Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, everyone, for joining our call.

Swadesh Srivastava — Head of Emerging Mobility Business Unit

Thank you, everyone.

Ranjivjit Singh — Chief Growth Officer

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

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