Cummins India Ltd (NSE: CUMMINSIND) Q3 2026 Earnings Call dated Feb. 05, 2026
Corporate Participants:
Shveta Arya — Director
Analysts:
Unidentified Participant
Shirom Kapoor — Analyst
Parikshit Kandpal — Analyst
Mohit Kumar — Analyst
Rahul Kajaari — Analyst
Bala Subrahmanian — Analyst
Sandesh Shetty — Analyst
Umesh Rauts — Analyst
Pulkit Patni — Analyst
Devesh Paslewal — Analyst
Amit Anwani — Analyst
Renu Baid Pugalia — Analyst
Aditya Mongia — Analyst
Presentation:
operator
Good morning ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Cummins India Limited’s Q3FY 2020 05:26 earnings conference call. We hope you all are keeping safe and healthy. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the commentary concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing Star then zero on your touchstone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Shweta Arya, Managing Director, Cummins India Limited. Thank you. And over to you Ms.
Arya.
Shveta Arya — Director
Thank you. Good morning ladies and gentlemen. I’m Shweta Arya, Managing Director of Cummins India Limited. I hope you all are doing well. Soma Ghosh, CFO of Cummins India Limited joins me on the call. Thank you all for joining us today. Now I would like to share the financial Results of Quarter 3 Financial Year 2526 through this call for the quarter ended December 31st, 2025. With respect to the same quarter year, our sales at 3,006 crores are broadly stable though marginally lower by 1% compared to the same quarter last year. Domestic sales at 2,535 crores are slightly lower by 2%.
Exports at 471 crores are higher by 2%. Profit before tax before exceptional items at 719 crores is higher by 7%. Profit before tax after exceptional items at 593 crores is lower by 12% for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. With respect to the last quarter, our sales at 3,006 crores are marginally lower by 4% compared to 3,122 crores recorded in the last quarter. Domestic sales at 2535 crores are lower by 2%. Exports at four hundred and seventy one crores are lower by 14%. Profit before tax before Exceptional items at seven hundred and nineteen crores is lower by 14% and profit before tax after exceptional items at five hundred ninety three crores is lower by 29%.
Segment wise breakups for the same quarter which ended 12-31-2025. For the domestic business our gen domestic Sales are at 1069 crores. There’s a 16% decrease over last year and a 20% decrease over last quarter. Distribution business sales are at 939 crores, 26% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter. Industrial business sales for the domestic business at 464crores is a 9% decrease over last year and 20% increase over last quarter. From an exports point of view, high horsepower Exports are at 232 crores. There’s a 15% increase over last year and 17% decrease over last quarter.
Low horsepower exports are at 186 crores which is a 14% decrease over same quarter last year and 15% decrease over last quarter. Regarding the sales outlook for the financial year 26, we expect to have double digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year which is supported by demand across all our key segments. With that, I now open the session for questions. Thank you so much. Thank you very much, ma’. Am.
Questions and Answers:
operator
Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin with the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask questions may please press Star and one on your touchtone phone. If you wish to withdraw yourself from the question queue, you may press star and 2. Participants are requested to use only handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. You may please press Star and one to ask questions. The first question is from the line of Shirom Kapoor from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Hi.
Shirom Kapoor
Thanks for the opportunity. I just wanted to see if you could help us with the volume growth in the past quarter as well as nine months. We want to get a sense on how much of the top line is driven by volumes versus pricing. That’s my first question.
Shveta Arya
Hi Shirom. Thanks for the question. So our revenue is a mix of power gen across many nodes and then industrial business and distribution. So it’s a mixed bag. There is volume growth in certain spaces. In power generation, there is also pricing impact and distribution business of course has a lot of volume growth as well as pricing. So it’s a mix. It’s both volume and pricing. It will be difficult for us to separate that out segment by segment for you and share that.
Shirom Kapoor
Okay, sure. So could you also share anything on your market share movement? Have you gained or lost market share in the past quarter? In the past nine months? If you could help us with that.
Shveta Arya
We do not have any syndicated research numbers available for this quarter which can tell us what the market share would be. So unfortunately I will not be able to give that information.
Shirom Kapoor
Sure. Just last question. You shared FY26. You are expecting double digit growth. Do you have any color on FY27? Should we continue to expect double digit growth next year as well?
Shveta Arya
Given that the Indian economy is doing well, GDP projections are still in the range of 7 or thereabouts for the next financial year. The budget is seemingly positive for investments in the Infrastructure segment for the domestic growth I can say that for financial year 27 we will target double digit growth. Exports is another matter altogether where there are a lot of moving pieces, geopolitical conditions not stable, lot of economic activity impacted due to different tariff related equations playing out at this point in time. So exports difficult to say. Domestic we are more positive and can definitely say that we will target double digit growth.
Shirom Kapoor
Great. Thank you so much.
Shveta Arya
Thank you.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Parikshit Kantpal from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.
Parikshit Kandpal
Congratulations on a good quarter. So Ashweta, this quarter we have seen a decline in the power gen revenues 16%, 1069 and even last year F5C is 1271. So there’s a data center element in both these quarters. Just to understand more color on the core growth excluding data centers if you can help us quantify what was the contribution of data center in this quarter and last quarter and what was the core growth in the power chain business?
Shveta Arya
Yes, thanks for the question. So I had mentioned in my commentary for the last quarter that we had extremely good data center execution and that business is lumpy business that because we had done the execution last quarter that did not come in the quarter three of financial year FY 2526 that is the only difference Other than that our core powergen business has grown at a steady rate just as it has been growing in the past few quarters. There’s no change in that. The only difference is data center execution which happened in the quarter before, not in this one so but last quarter.
Parikshit Kandpal
If I see 1271 crores of revenue in Q3FY25 so that the last call had said that in Q3FY25 call that there was an impact of data center. So if I have to understand that if this quarter there is no data center so then like to like what is the growth on power gen. So in Q3 it was about 20%. Last call you had mentioned excluding data centers. So just want to understand the health of the business. What will be the growth? If you can quantify that therefore it is steady growth.
Shveta Arya
It’s not exactly 20% but it is good growth. Very close to double digits but it is not exactly 20%.
Parikshit Kandpal
Okay now if I look at the budget so government has given taxation in east investments in India even in this year we had some good orders coming in. So just wanted to understand from you how is the data center pipeline building out both in IT project orders.
Shveta Arya
I’m sorry to interrupt you. So your voice Is breaking. Can you please use your handset?
Shveta Arya
Hello. Is it better now?
Parikshit Kandpal
Yes sir. Please continue, please.
Parikshit Kandpal
So asking you that government has given a huge tax incentive in the budget on data center investments in India. And we have also seen that we have been getting direct orders and OEM orders which we do through the oem. So how’s the data center pipeline building out in the next one or two years? So any color on that will be helpful.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, data center pipeline is building out very well. As you rightly said, there have the tax incentives have been announced recently. We are yet to see the impact of that. But nevertheless a lot of movement in the data center market in India. Some announcements. So for the next three to four years we do anticipate positive movement in the data center segment in India.
Parikshit Kandpal
And what has been the contribution in.
Parikshit Kandpal
Nine months on the numbers on the data center side and also lastly on the gross margins we have seen very strong gross margins but again there has been a high big uptick in other expenses. So if you can explain the difference between the two. So those were my last questions.
Shveta Arya
So on the data center contribution, Data center contribution overall for our business stays with around 25% of the power gen revenue. That’s on an average because it’s a lumpy business. I would not say anything quarter on quarter. And then on the other expenses, on the other expenses we have a one time true up in our expenses in some quarters. Before I had spoken about a two down. So that was a benefit to us. And this time there’s a true up. So overall for the year if you’ll see, this will even out.
Parikshit Kandpal
Is it one time or is it recurring? So how does one read it?
Shveta Arya
This is one ton. No, this is one ton for this quarter.
Parikshit Kandpal
And how much is the quantification of that amount or value? Just to get arrive at the core margins of the core EBITDA margins that.
Shveta Arya
You have to arrive at roughly 50 crores.
Parikshit Kandpal
Okay, thank you Shweta and wish you all the best.
Shveta Arya
Thank you.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mohit Kumar from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, good. Good morning. Good morning and thanks for the opportunity. My first question is how do you think about the impact of UFTA on your business? Do you have any color to share?
Shveta Arya
Hi Mohit. EU fta. We do have some business where we directly export to the EU region. So we are evaluating the impact right now. Not able to share hypothetically looks positive. But yes, we do have business there and it will have a positive impact.
Shveta Arya
Is the impact on the cost side or from the business opportunity side.
Shveta Arya
Can you please help us evaluating that? Evaluating that. Mohit not yet in a space to share that we are evaluating whether it could have impact on getting higher business.
Shveta Arya
Understood. Just one qualitative question. How do you think about just keep some color on the inquiry pipeline from data center compared to what you’re seeing right now compared to what we’re seeing at the beginning of the fiscal.
Shveta Arya
So data center space in India we have hyperscalers and co located players. Hyperscalers are the likes of Microsoft, Google, Amazon which do big announcements, big sites and then we have co located players here in India. If I were to compare now versus start of the fiscal, there are some more new announcements coming in from the hyperscalers. So there is more activity on that end on the co located players, the Colo players, it’s been steady. There was good inquiries at the start of the fiscal, continues to be so throughout the fiscal. So that’s how I would talk about inquiries.
Mohit Kumar
Yeah. Thank you. Ambestolak. Thank you ma’. Am.
Shveta Arya
Thanks Monica.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rahul Kajaari from Macquarie Capital. Please go ahead.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, hi, good morning ma’. Am. Ma’, Am, two questions. One, you know, on the exports, given that the third quarter we had seen weak exports, can you break this up geographically to understand which particular geographies are really impacting the overall exports? And the second question is, given that a lot of parent capacities kind of used up to serve data center market in the American region, I want to understand if you are getting demand or inquiries from other geographies. Thank you.
Rahul Kajaari
Thanks for the question. Rangul. So on the export side, I have been saying this for the last few quarters that this is there’s no particular trend from any market. But if you were to just ask me about the last quarter we saw revenues increasing for Asia, PAC and Europe and the other markets did not really grow as much. So that is from an exports point of view, the demand for data centers. From other geographies, demand for data centers today is growing hugely in two markets, the United States and China. And in both those places, Cummins is serving those markets locally.
Shveta Arya
Okay. The reason I had asked that was, you know, Gulf region has seen a lot of cancellation or delays in order. So I just wanted to understand and I think you did indicate that other markets will include Gulf or Middle Eastern market. Apparently you know, that market is also talking about significant capacity addition on the data center. So no inquiry from that market at all.
Rahul Kajaari
Sir, your voice is clear. May I request you to use your handset, please.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, I hope this is better. So I just wanted to follow up on the earlier question. You know where you did indicate that barring Asia Pacific and European market, the revenue was impacted. So is it possible you can quantify the Gulf region or the Middle Eastern market, how badly that was impacted? And you know, while US and China are the key data center market, a lot of Gulf states are talking about data center being planned in that region. So I want to know, are you getting any inquiries from the Gulf region for data centers specifically? Thank you.
Shveta Arya
So I’ll answer the data center from the Gulf region first. There are talks, but there are no specific inquiries just yet from the Gulf region. So not enough activity on the data center space yet on the ground. And from an exports perspective, you asked me how low is the Gulf region? This is very regular. In some quarters we get orders from the Middle east, in some quarters we don’t. So there’s no trend here. I would rather not talk about how low it is.
Rahul Kajaari
Sure. Thank you very much. I had some more questions, but I’ll fall in the line. Thank you.
Shveta Arya
Thank you.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Umesh Raoj from. I’m sorry, the next question is from the line of Bala Subramanian Capital. Bala Subrahmanian from Arihant Capital. Please go ahead.
Bala Subrahmanian
Good morning, madam. Thank you so much for the opportunities, Madam. On the export side, I think which are the regions are showing like resilience and which are the facing most significant headlines. And like how the company’s export products mix are changing right now in terms of low HP and high HP engines and complete gensets. I just want to understand in terms of tariffs perspective also how this product mix is changing and which are the products we are seeing high, high level of inquiries and which are the products the customers are delaying it.
Shveta Arya
So from an exports perspective, the markets which grew for us in the last quarter were Asia Pacific and Europe. The other markets not so much. But this keeps changing quarter on quarter. There is no specific trend over here from a region perspective. From a product mix perspective on high horsepower and low horsepower, high horsepower grew a little better for us than the low horsepower in this quarter. But again that also keeps changing. It depends on the end market demand. Tariffs largely impact us and that also there was a recent announcement which brought the tariff percentage down.
We are evaluating how that will impact us. But our exports are to various different regions around the world. Asia Pacific, Latin America, Europe, Middle East. So those are not the places where Tariffs have impacted us at all. So I think that for the US we still evaluate because it is a very recent announcement.
Bala Subrahmanian
Okay madam, could you please explain in detail about like life cycle stage of coverage platforms and like what is the R and D spend processed especially for improvements to existing platform or new next generation technology and.
Shveta Arya
Sorry bala, your question is not clear. We are not able to hear you clearly and not able to understand the question. Could you repeat it please?
Bala Subrahmanian
Yes, actually Madam, I’m trying to understand like our product life cycle of our existing platform and in upcoming next generation technologies and how is our R D is focused on incremental improvements and how this life life cycle stage changing for existing platform and next generation platform. I’m trying to understand the regulatory changes in terms of emission norms like beyond CPCP4 and how is re engineering or capital investments is happening the next three to five years.
Shveta Arya
You’re talking about the power gen market I am assuming?
Bala Subrahmanian
Yes, yes, you’re right. You’re right.
Shveta Arya
So in Power zone we just underwent a huge emission norm change of CPCB4. So for the time being, all the way up to 800 kilowatt hour already the entire product range has changed not just for us but for the entire market. So at least for the next few years below 800 kilowatt hours in the power gen market, we do not see any other emission norm coming in above 800 kilowatt hour. There is nothing on the horizon just yet. So I would say that from an emission norms perspective for now, since we’ve just gone through a big emission norm change for a few years, we don’t see any changes.
And from a product lifecycle perspective, our belief around the world is that diesel power backup is one of the most reliable backup powers that is available for our customers in the spaces in which they operate and the applications which our backup power is used for. So that remains to be a prime backup possibility for our customers for the time being. While of course we spend R and D efforts in evaluating whether battery energy storage systems could be something that our customers would include in their backup power mix or other such things. And we are working with our customers and our R and D team as well as our sales and marketing teams are working with our customers for now, for a few years, we do see the backup power space to be provided by the diesel gensex.
Bala Subrahmanian
Okay, last question. Taking that budget, we have seen good announcements for data centers as well as infrastructure as well as manufacturing side. I’m trying to understand like how they are going to benefit especially to data Centers or healthcare infrastructure, real estate and manufacturing. The demand is being driven by more new projects, replacement or upgrade cycles. Also if you could give some clarity is that domestic sales is directly or indirectly linked to central and state government infrastructure spending. So how do you look at like on the government capex story?
Shveta Arya
We are very positive about the government capex story. We do appreciate the announcements made in the recent budget on the capex that the government has announced. We are watching it. The segments in which they have announced the capex flow. We are waiting to see how that gets converted into projects that could lead for demand for our products. It takes a little bit of time. Definitely we are positive about the government’s.
Bala Subrahmanian
Announcement on the capex Mention about data center that would be really helpful Madhav.
Shveta Arya
Yes. So from a data center perspective the tax break that has been announced, it is positive. We are waiting to see how different data center players evaluate this and what announcements come from them. This is very recent so as you can appreciate we are waiting to see how this translates into real orders. Definitely the news is positive.
Bala Subrahmanian
Thank you so much madam.
operator
Thank you. We’ll take the next question from the line of Sandesh Shetty from hsbc. Please go ahead.
Shveta Arya
Am I audible?
Sandesh Shetty
Yes sir. Good morning ma’. Am. Ma’, am, if you can share the breakup of domestic and industrial business by segment and low horsepower mid horsepower that would be helpful. And I have one more question.
Shveta Arya
Yes. So the domestic business into power gen and trihorsepower. Right. So from a power gen business perspective in the low horsepower in the quarter three we had 67 crores of sales. In the medium range 229 and in what we call the heavy duty range 112 crores and then in the high horsepower 594 crores. And I hope that helps you.
Shveta Arya
Yes ma’. Am. And then in industrials compressor construction that breakup that you give every quarter. Yes, sure. In the industrial business construction 129crores, rail 104 marine we had very good execution in this quarter of 92 crores and the rest is mining and compressor.
Sandesh Shetty
Okay, and my second question is with regards to improvement in the gross margin there has been very good improvement both sequentially and annually. If you can explain that. And also the 50 crore one time impact. What exactly is this related to?
Shveta Arya
Okay, so the gross margins, there’s been a lot of effort that we have been putting to improve our gross margin over the years working with our suppliers on our material costs. And that is what you are seeing in the numbers. There is also some one time supplier benefits Hitting over there. Then there is the sales mix which is not controlled by us. It is defined by the market demand. So there is impact of sales mix as well which is not repeatable every time. Those are the three factors impacting gross margins. Now for the one timer that you asked this is a throw up of the management cost charges.
Like I said in some quarters earlier I had mentioned a 2. So we had gained benefit at that point in time. This time it’s a three over the year it will even out.
Sandesh Shetty
Okay. And then one last question on the industrials business. The weakness is continuing from second quarter while earlier quarter was impacted by rains. What explains weakness in this quarter?
Shveta Arya
Industrial business largely construction activities down. So construction activity in the quarter in the quarter. 3. There were two reasons. One, the road construction is not at the pace at which it was the same quarter year before. That is one. And then there was delayed monsoons in October. So excavator sales did not pick up as much as they should have. So these were the reasons for the construction segment being a little lower and that is actually the largest contributor. Everything else is more tender driven. So keeps changing quarter to quarter.
Sandesh Shetty
Thank you ma’. Am. That was those for my questions and all the best. Thank you.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Umesh Rauts from Nomura. Please go ahead.
Umesh Rauts
Yeah. Hi Shweta, Good morning. My first question is again on gross margin. If I look at quarterly gross margin it is now almost 20 quarter high of closer to 38%. And given that we see inflationary pressures in key commodities like copper, aluminum. I agree that your exposure is more towards iron but still how you are coping up with this inflationary pressures. Our customers are kind of taking on are in a position to take incremental cost hikes after CPC 4 plus cost hike. And was there any also effect of liquidation of lower inventory which was in the channel?
Shveta Arya
Okay, thanks for the question. Umesh. Umesh. On the gross margin you’re right, it is definitely at historic highs. And I did explain there is product mix playing there. There is our own effort to improve material cost and also some one time supplier benefits. So the one time supplier benefits the mix that is not repeatable. Our improvement actions to improve the material cost they will continue. So yes, this is historic high. How are we managing the commodity? Like you rightly said, iron, steel more stable. Copper, our associate company does get impacted. The alternative business does get hugely impacted by copper.
And copper has been inching upwards. Recent numbers are around 1320 per kg INR per kg. So we are yet to see how the market will accept these. Ideally everyone passes these down to the market with some delay. So it is a challenging situation. We are trying to see how best we can manage to pass these on and also not inflate the cost for the end customer to a huge extent. It’s difficult challenge at this point in time for our associate company.
Umesh Rauts
So just a follow up on this. Any pricing action that you have taken across notes in domestic market?
Shveta Arya
No, we haven’t.
Umesh Rauts
Got it. I think my second question is with pertaining to distribution market where our sales is now almost all time high on a quarterly basis it is at 31% of total sales. So that also contributed to gross margin expansion. But I think what is leading to this particular change because I believe still CPC4 plus which is having relatively higher electronic content could have not contributed materially and that scope still remains for us in future. But still what is changing for us in terms of trajectory for distribution business since last two quarters.
Shveta Arya
So for the last few quarters distribution business has been focusing on a lot of on a few things. One, our asset base of course has been increasing over the last two years. So distribution business gets more opportunity to service our customers. They have been working to get as many customers in the fold as possible. That gives peace of mind to our customers, helps us deliver brand promise of reliability and of course generates revenue for the distribution business. So it works both for our customers and for our brand and for our business. So that is really the strategy they have been going and trying to work with customers in all segments be it power gen, railways, defense mining and that is how you see this growth.
This is very broad based growth but very deeply entrenched in our philosophy of delivering reliability to our customers.
Umesh Rauts
And just a follow up on this, I mean in the last warning call you mentioned that the GST rate cuts was definitely kind of early to assess in terms of changes towards aftermarket business. But I believe, I think is that leading to market share gain for branded players in aftermarket business and that is also helping us in terms of reporting better growth and subsequently Any comments on CPC Core plus electronic content which can lead to higher growth in distribution.
Shveta Arya
GST impact in the aftermarket business? No, we haven’t seen any significant impact that I can share with you on CPCB4. We are waiting to see all the gensets to come out of the warranty sales. Once they come out then yes, not from an electronic content perspective, but from the perspective that CPCB4 gensets are technologically far more advanced than what CPCB2 were all engines are electronic. There is after treatment system that goes along with all engines and the entire genset is a technologically advanced product with a lot of telematics and sensors along with it. So maintaining that and providing peace of mind to the customer is something we focus on.
And definitely yes it could lead to better distribution business growth as we encircle customers in the power gen space.
Umesh Rauts
Got it. Thank you so much for this opportunity. All the very best.
Shveta Arya
Thanks Amish.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pulkit Patni from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Pulkit Patni
Shweta thank you for taking my questions. My first question is in continuation of the previous participant in one of the previous conversations. I remember you had flagged that in the initial period of CPCB4 you obviously expect to get more of the services revenue because the so called unorganized channel is not prepared to be able to service those engines. But over time as they learn some of this market share could start going away. A have we reached that stage or how do you see basically the services business growth from here on given that we’ve already doubled that number over the last eight to nine quarters? That’s question number one.
Shveta Arya
Shweta thanks Pulkit, thanks for the question and I’m definitely very grateful to you for remembering some of this. CPCB4 completely is not out of warranty yet. July 23rd first July 23rd is when you would remember both CPCB2 and CPCB2 and were allowed to operate. 1st July 2024 is when we fully shifted to CPCB4. Two years of warranty. So we are still in the warranty phase for a large set of CPCB4 Plus. So that phase that I spoke about has yet not fully come. It will likely come 27 onwards. So I hope that helps answer that question.
Pulkit Patni
That is very clear. Secondly, in your presentation there’s this statement which says the consumer price index remains stable compared to last quarter which shows rapid momentum. Are you referring to commodity prices here? And in that case, how should we look at margins going forward? Shweta.
Shveta Arya
So just this was an overarching statement. Pulkit, I would say don’t read too much into it. I think if you had to ask our opinion, we are watchful of commodities at this point in time, largely copper, while iron and steel have remained stable. So I would say don’t read too much into that CPI statement. Commodities. Yes, that is something to be watchful of for sure.
Pulkit Patni
Sure. This is clear. Thank you so. Much.
operator
Thank you. We’ll take the next question from the line of Devesh Paslewal from Antique Stockbroking. Please go ahead.
Devesh Paslewal
Yes, thank you. Good morning, ma’. Am. Just wanted to understand on the battery energy storage systems that we’ve launched, the 10ft and 20ft container, how, what is the addressable market in the, in the longer, medium term, the next four, five years for us? And how is the customers taking on the product and the inquiries on that side?
Shveta Arya
Thanks, Divesh. So from an addressable market perspective, I think anywhere that you need power is a possible addressable market because one can use battery energy storage system for different reasons. One can use it to move towards cleaner power. One can use it to fulfill backup power needs. One can use it to fulfill excess power needs. One can use it to store excess power in case they are generating power through solar, wind and other means in their premises. So all of these possibilities market anywhere there’s economic activity and there’s use of power and backup power is the addressable market.
So it’s a huge addressable market. Now how are we seeing this? We have been generating a lot of inquiries on the products that we launched and we started generating it right when we launched. Sales in this space are still very, very slow because most customers are evaluating how does a battery energy storage system fit into their overall energy solution. And this is, I’m talking about large customers, small customers, everyone. It could be a residential reality customer, it could be a bank, it could be, you know, a large manufacturing location. Because everybody has different energy sources today.
There is a lot of interest, there is a lot of inquiries. What we are seeing is people are evaluating how a best fits into their scheme of things today. How do they want to lay out their capex to add a battery energy storage system into that mix and is this actually comparable to what they have been buying till now? So customers are evaluating that. Lot of inquiries, very slow sales.
Devesh Paslewal
Okay, and just to follow up on that, so in, let’s say in five years, what type of revenue share are we targeting on this very nascent stage right now? Even a ballpark figure will do. And given the like, we have a range of around 200 kilowatt hours to 2 megawatt hours. So do you have any number that you can quantify the addressable market currently that we are servicing to in the space.
Shveta Arya
Right now? Devesh, your modeling will be as good as mine.
Devesh Paslewal
And on the second part, as in how much revenue are we targeting from this? Will it be a substantial portion or.
Shveta Arya
We need to see, we need to see sales come in. We need to see conversions happening, we need to see customers accepting. That is when we will put a revenue target to it.
Devesh Paslewal
Got it. Thank you.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Amit Anwani from PL Capital. Please go ahead.
Amit Anwani
Hi. Thank you. Shweta. For the opportunity, first question on data center you did highlighted on an average 25% contribution in domestic power gen. That roughly translates to 11, 1200 crore. Just wanted to understand what was kind of market share, what was the opportunity and is it like 50% or higher? And second the kind of growth we might have done in past one year in data centers and what is the expectation of growth for the next one or two years.
Shveta Arya
Thanks Amit. Amit. On the data center market share, we unfortunately don’t have any syndicated market research which can share the market share numbers with us. So I will not be able to share anything on market share. What I can share with you from a data center perspective is that all kinds of data center players in the Indian market, be it hyperscalers, Colo players, they all do see the brand advantage of Cummins and the reliability and aftermarket service that we provide due to that. Yes, we have been growing in the market for sure. There is more activity now in the market with some new hyperscalers joining in and some new announcements that you might have seen.
So our expectation is that India will start moving on a faster growth path from a data center perspective. Because we were not comparable to US and China till now, we are still not comparable. Our hope is that with some new announcements that have come, the tax break that has been announced and the advantages that India as a location can provide, we will start seeing some of this in the next few years. Definitely we work with all the customers, all the data center customers who are present in India, global as well as local and they all recognize the product advantage as well as the brand promise of reliability.
Amit Anwani
Yeah, just from the understanding perspective. So typically let’s say for the hyperscale or colocation, what’s the addressable market in terms of gensets? Will it be hhp, heavy duty, which is going and how many numbers? Or in terms of value per megawatt of load, what is the genset requirement for hyperscale and co location?
Shveta Arya
All of them buy high horsepower gensets, 2,500 KVA and above. Be it a co located player or a hyperscaler, the market is 2,500 KV and above.
Shveta Arya
Right.
Amit Anwani
So is it like just for understanding one megawatt would be requiring like how many of gensets there in terms of HHVs, some understanding on that?
Shveta Arya
No, that can be very different. Depending on how the data centers design their entire location that can vary.
Amit Anwani
Understood. And lastly on the outlook for exof data center and powers and domestic if you could provide including commercial, real estate and all other sectors which have done well in the past. So what is the outlook X of data center for domestic powers and how each of the segment is doing? That would be helpful. Thank you.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, other than data center segments which are doing well have been doing well in the past and we expect them to continue doing well given how the budgets announcement looks like. So manufacturing and infra have been doing well for us and continue to show good inquiries. And going forward, given the announcements, we believe these will continue A lot of movement in residential and commercial reality in the last few quarters continues to show our very good momentum and good inquiries. So those are the segments we expect to continue growing for us.
Amit Anwani
Lastly, the 25% data center are we targeting this increase 30, 35% or higher number in coming years.
Shveta Arya
We are expecting broad based growth in power generate. So while data centers will grow given the economic activity and the infra spend, if that continues to happen and if this budget outlay really kicks in quickly, then we will continue to see growth in as I mentioned residential and commercial reality and infra and manufacturing. So if those grow, it is difficult to say if the contribution of data centers will outstrip this growth. And data centers remember when announcements come in from that to actual sale and installation could be a two to three year time frame.
Amit Anwani
Right? Thank you so much Shweta. Thanks.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Renu Bed from IIFL Capital. Please go ahead.
Renu Baid Pugalia
Yeah. Hi, good morning team Shweta. My first question, if you can help us understand a bit more on the export part of the portfolio regionally, how are we seeing the demand outlook across key markets? And now that the US tariff clarity is there, how has been the on ground traction with respect to the new launches we had done in the US for CPCB4 plus equivalent products? And in your view, when do we start to see some commercial business volumes trickle down from the US market?
Shveta Arya
Hi Renu, hope you’re doing well. Exports demand demand has been very very choppy across all markets. And I am not seeing any clear trend from anywhere really for the last few quarters. Some quarters some market we get some demand due to some movements in that market and some quarter we see some other market. So there is no clear trend. Everybody around the world is talking data centers today. So while you ask me about US tariffs and their impact on the CBCB4+ launches. US market is highly focused on serving data center hyperscaler players. At this point in time, the entire economic activity in the US is focused on AI and data center space.
So we are pushing a lot now that the tariffs are announced and far better. So we are pushing a lot for the CPCB product pickup. I will have to tell you that everybody around the world is only talking data centers.
Renu Baid Pugalia
Got it. And any color. While the December quarter typically tends to be global inventory destocking, beyond that, how are we looking at the export outlook for the current calendar year?
Shveta Arya
Yes, the destocking did happen. It’s become very normal now for us. We anticipate that we had anticipated it. Demand is a little slow in pickup just yet.
Renu Baid Pugalia
Got it. Secondly, when we look at the industrial segment broadly, railways seem to be a bit soft this quarter. So from an end market perspective, how has been the new product development and ordering from railways which is relatively soft? And also if you can share some broad based comment on some of the end markets, industrial and industrial revenues have been a bit on the sidelines. So when do we expect a meaningful pickup in that?
Shveta Arya
Yes. So from a railway perspective, I would suggest not to read too much in this quarter because railway demand, we were getting a lot of good demand over the last few quarters and before this quarter we did very good execution in railways. So that can impact quarter three. It is a tender based business. It can be like this. Overall our outlook on rail is very positive. And the new capex announcements in the budget also show outlay towards railways. Hopefully that will get converted towards some projects where we get orders. But positive on rail do not read too much into 1/4.
From an industrial business perspective. Yes, construction and mining are the ones which have been slow construction. I explained there was this delayed monsoon in October. Excavator pickup was not there and then road construction was down. It’s at half the rate of what it used to in the previous year. Right. So that. But then now the new incentive scheme has also been announced. So we are waiting to see how construction plays out. We think it will be better going forward. It will be better mining. The last six months for two years mining tenders were not coming in at the velocity at which we have seen in the past.
But in the last six months mining activity is better. It has still not converted into the kind of tenders where we partner. Still haven’t seen those pendulums come up. So mining and construction were leading to this kind of numbers that you See which construction. Definitely positive outlook. Railway. Definitely positive outlook. Mining, we will see. We are watchful. Let’s see if the tenders come in and then we will be able to say how that will pan out. The segment that has been doing well for us in the last few quarters is marine because their government is focusing bringing in investments and we have been working on many new products.
Each marine order is ideally a new product because it is customized for that order. So I won’t be able to. It’s not like a product launch but it is customized for that order. But that we have been able to capitalize on the investment coming in and our execution has been really good. Sure.
Renu Baid Pugalia
And last.
Shveta Arya
Yeah, yeah, go ahead.
Renu Baid Pugalia
Lastly, well, the broad bucket of commodities have moved northwards. Ferris and Pigan has remained quite benign and probably that also would have contributed partially to our gross margins. How have you seen the competitive intensity changing over the last quarter or so? Do the other domestic players continue to remain aggressive on pricing or. We have seen those pressures ease out on a relative scale.
Shveta Arya
No comparative pressures seem to be the same. Very, very aggressive pricing and positioning by competitors. So extremely aggressive especially in the power generation space.
Renu Baid Pugalia
Got it, Got it. Thank you and best wishes Shweta and your team. Thank you.
Shveta Arya
Thank you Renu.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Mongia from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.
Aditya Mongia
Thank you for the opportunity. Shweta, a few questions from my side. Firstly, on this competitive intensity vector, it’s been going around for some time. Should we kind of assume that the effects of the same are broadly inside the gross margins the company is reporting or do you think that this could impact gross margin in the future as well?
Shveta Arya
For now the impact of the aggressive competitive intensity is baked in into our gross margins. Definitely. Because we look at this segment by segment and then we adjust accordingly and that is what we will do going forward. As of now, I don’t see a humongous impact of this competitive intensity on the gross margin. As I shared gross margins, the mix impact and if there was some one time supplier benefit, those are the things more likely to impact gross margins.
Aditya Mongia
Understood. The second question that I had was you talked about the distribution business more from the perspective of endeavors of the company. But if I have to kind of see through the end markets and how they are growing for you, for the market as a whole, which markets within distribution are kind of firing more for you and the sustainability of that.
Shveta Arya
So segments that are growing for US Railways definitely from an aftermarket perspective and then defense as well as Power gen so these are everything else is contributing because provide services to all our customers in the industrial and power gen space. But if you specifically ask me, Railways, power gen and defense have been growing and as IT base increases on the mining side we will hopefully see more growth on that side as well.
Aditya Mongia
That’s helpful. The third question that I had was on the comment that you made on BDSS that for the next couple of years unlikely that the prime move, the prime product which is DG sets will be impacted by dess. Is there an underlying thinking that beyond the next couple of years there could be some displacement or demand in favor of vessels and genes that sales can get cannibalized starting next two, three years?
Shveta Arya
Aditya we believe that in the power generation and backup power space I’m combining those two because now in the market people do combine various energy sources to provide the requirements. Grid, solar, maybe wind, maybe genset and batteries. People combine them and see them together as a prime and backup powered space. Our belief is that Bess will become a part of this solution when that will happen unlikely to. I’m not able to predict a time frame for that because it depends on various factors, but it will become a part of the overall energy solution that our customers look for is our belief.
Will it displace a diesel genset is difficult to say because if you look at a diesel genset as providing you reliability then nothing else works. There is nothing like a diesel genset till the time you keep providing diesel it will run even if for example some customer is in a floodlight situation for 10 to 12 hours. At that point in time grid fails, solar fails and even battery will fail. You will not be able to charge at that point in time. It’s only a diesel genset until the time you provided diesel it continues to work.
So our firm belief is that diesel genset will remain a part of the mix of energy solutions of our customers and they will start adopting battery energy storage systems as a part of that mix at the right point in time when the economics work for them.
Aditya Mongia
Understood. Just a last clarification on gross margins against the 38% win that was in the third quarter which is up 300 basis points on a y basis. How much of this would be linked to the one off elements that you talked about which was partly product mix and the supplier support that came inside. And maybe a related question over here in that mix is exports helping you out from a currency perspective and that kind of also benefit that goes away from January.
Shveta Arya
Currency benefit not so much mix is largely dependent on our own product mix. When we say mix, it’s a product mix. There are certain products which earn us better margins. There are certain products which don’t. It is a mix of domestic and exports. Could be exports, it could be domestic as well. So mix, that is when we what we call mix, it’s a product mix. And then the one time benefit, not substantial, it is there, it is some basis points but it is not so much.
Aditya Mongia
Thank you Shweta for taking all my questions. Thank you so much.
Shveta Arya
Thanks Aditya.
operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kunal set from BNK 361. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Participant
Yeah. Hi. Thank you for the opportunity, Shweta. So two questions. First one is on data centers. Who would you typically be competing in the data center market?
Shveta Arya
Hi Kunal. We would be competing in the data center space with players who have products available in the above 2500kbl. You can think of international players in that space.
Unidentified Participant
So would that be largely Caterpillar in Perkins and say someone like mcu?
Shveta Arya
For sure. Yes. And while I understand that you know there is no, you know, proper data set as far as market share is concerned but would it be right to assume you will still be very, very dominant upwards of 70, 75% market share there?
Shveta Arya
I would not be able to say that, Kunal. What I can say is that we do get invited by all customers when they have inquiries. But I will not be able to say what you just said.
Devesh Paslewal
Sure, I understand. And second question is on exports. So while I understand there is, you know, too much geopolitical uncertainty and as you mentioned that the trends in exports are very, very uncertain everywhere. But given that a lot of things are changing over the next one or two years, would you still believe that export would be, you know, after growing business domestic or domestic will always dominate the export growth as far as Cummins India is concerned.
Shveta Arya
We have more confidence on the domestic market because we have seen as our government has been announcing infrastructure spend. That spend does get converted into actual projects on the ground. And we do see tenders coming up and orders coming in largely. So we do have more confidence on the domestic market. We understand the market, the players, the segments, the needs better. We don’t understand exports market to that extent. So our confidence is more on the domestic market.
Unidentified Participant
Thank you and best wishes for the future Quantum.
Shveta Arya
Thanks Vinod.
operator
Thank you ladies and gentlemen. We’ll take that as a last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Shweta Arya for closing comments. Thank you. And over to you, ma’.
Shveta Arya
Am. Thank you. Thank you so much everyone for your active participation and engagement in the call. Today. Cummins India remains confident in the stability of domestic economic environment. India’s FY26 GDP estimate has been revised upwards to 7.4%. While CPI has remained broadly stable amidst evolving global conditions that may result in short term volatility. We continue to monitor these developments closely and we maintain a stable outlook for the medium to long term. With this, I would like to close this call. Thank you so much everyone. Have a good day.
operator
Thank you, members of the management. On behalf of Cummins India Ltd. That concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.