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Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Britannia Industries Limited (NSE: BRITANNIA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call dated Nov. 12, 2024

Corporate Participants:

Ayush AgarwalInvestor Relations

Varun BerryExecutive Vice Chairman and Managing Director

Vipin KatariaChief Commercial Officer, Sales and Replenishment

Analysts:

Abneesh RoyAnalyst

Avi MehtaAnalyst

Aditya SomanAnalyst

Percy PanthakiAnalyst

Mihir ShahAnalyst

Shirish PardeshiAnalyst

Harit KapoorAnalyst

Amnish AggarwalAnalyst

Presentation:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Britannia Industries Limited Q2 FY ’25 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ayush Agarwal, Investor Relations. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Agarwal.

Ayush AgarwalInvestor Relations

Thanks, Neenav. Good morning, everyone. This is Ayush from the Investor Relations team. I welcome you all to the Britannia earnings call to discuss the financial results of Q2 ’24-’25.

Joining us today on this earnings call is our Vice Chairman and Managing Director, Mr. Varun Berry; Executive Director and CEO, Mr. Rajneet Singh Kohli; Executive Director and CFO, Mr. N. Venkataraman; Chief Commercial Officer, Sales and Replenishment, Mr. Vipin Kataria; Chief Manufacturing and Procurement Officer, Mr. Manoj Balgi; and Chief Marketing Officer, Mr. Amit Doshi.

The analyst deck is uploaded on our website. Before I pass it on to Mr. Varun Berry, I would like to draw your attention to the safe harbor statement in the presentation.

Over to Mr. Varun Berry with the remarks on the performance.

Varun BerryExecutive Vice Chairman and Managing Director

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Let me just jump in straight to Page Number 3 of the presentation. It’s been — it’s been a very tough environment as all of you know. You’ve been through many conference calls, and I think the common theme that’s coming through is that it’s a tough demand scenario coupled with high inflation. So just a few numbers here. So if you look at what’s happened to rural and urban, we’ve seen FMCG value growth percentages go down over the quarters and inflation on the right-hand side is sort of moving upwards. The CPI has moved up to 5.5% and the foods inflation is up to 9.2%. So it’s a — you know it’s an environment which we’ll have to maneuver our way through. It’s a tough environment. Always a sine curve on inflation. There was deflation about seven months, eight months ago and now there is high inflation. So it’s a tough environment. We’ll have to maneuver our ways through it.

Moving to the next slide, you will see that the FMCG market growth as given by NIQ are lowest in metro. In metros, if you look at it, they were almost at 0%, and today, they stand at about 2%. We have a hypothesis on that. Basically, if you look at what metro contributes to the total FMCG business, it’s about, let’s say, 30%. But what it contributes to the slowdown is almost 2.4 times that. So metros are the ones where the slowdown is the maximum and let’s try and understand why. Now this is only a hypothesis. So excuse us if you’ve already studied this.

But moving on to this next slide, what this clearly shows is that if you were to look at the CPI basket weight for rural and urban, one thing that comes through very clearly is the housing cost. The housing cost in urban and especially in metro areas is about 22% of the total CPI basket weight. And we know that real estate is — the prices have gone up, the rentals have gone up, and that’s creating stress for most consumers in large cities and metros. On the right-hand side is a reflection of what’s really happening on the salaries front. So let me explain this chart to you. So this — the first bar that you see of 50.8%, that is the non-salaried workforce, right? So 50.8% of the workforce is non-salaried in urban areas, right? And this 50.8% has gone up to 51%. What does that mean?

If they are non-salaried, what they’ve seen as their nominal increase in earnings over the last 12 months is 3.4%. While the salaried class have — their earnings have gone up by about 6.5%. So there is stress in almost 51% of the workforce sitting in urban areas. So that is the double whammy which is creating a demand shortfall as far as urban and especially metros is concerned.

Moving on to the next slide, our share — this is a share slide that we share with you every time. Our share has been flattish. In fact, the first half, we have been flat over the last year. However, the — in conditions like this where there is deflation and then inflation alternately, I think we are in a good place because being the market leaders, the owners of taking price increases is always on us to make sure that we show the way for other players in the market. And hence, we feel that we are in a good place in maintaining our share in these circumstances.

Going on to the next slide, which is the strategic pillars, they are the same that you’ve been seeing for many quarters, distribution marketing, innovation, driving adjacent businesses, cost efficiency and sustainability. I will cover these one by one. So driving efficiencies in distribution, our journey continues. We are expanding direct reach. We are now at 28.5 lakh outlets that we cover directly. There is an uptick in rural distribution, where we — our number of distributors is now over 30,000, the rural distributors. Our focus states are performing better. They’re about 1.9 times what rest of India is. It’s not much frankly, if you ask me, I’m not satisfied with this because rest of India is also low and so is focus states, but growth will come back. This is India and we are confident that we will — this is a road, it’s a speed breaker, which we’ll also pass by and things will get normal over a period of time.

Moving on to the next slide, our Route-to-Market 2.0 is going quite well. We partnered with one of the best consulting companies in India, and our objective is to rewrite our Route-to-Market, leveraging data analytics and artificial intelligence. So the four objectives really are to make sure that we leverage high-potential outlets, upscale our salesmen’s capability, upgrade technology for productivity and increase feet-on-the-street. We have currently pilots in Q2 covering 25 cities, which is 44 distributors in more than 50,000 outlets, which are showing very encouraging results, and we plan to scale up implementation in the long-term to maximize extraction.

We are quite pleased with how this is going. And while it’s a long-term project, we’ve already seen green shoots of what we can achieve with our new Route-to-Market. We have sustained investments in our brands. We have been advertising behind Marie, 50-50, Treat, Milk Bikis and Bourbon. We’ve always — also had some digital campaigns on Good Day, Little Hearts and also on 50-50.

Next slide. We’ve also had investments to drive consumer engagement. So we’ve done that on Rusk. We’ve — we also did it on Winkin Cow with the cricket engagement that we had. We’ve done an engagement on Croissant. Croissant is a very difficult word to pronounce, so we work on something where people could try pronouncing the word and we created a lot of engagement on that on cake as well as we’ve run some tactical promotions on our biscuit brands as well.

Next slide, our innovation, we’ve launched Milk Bikis in wafer roll format in Tamil Nadu, that’s doing quite well. We’ve also launched some new formats of Layer Cake. Tiger Coconut is doing quite well for us and so is our Golmaal new variant. Next slide is on adjacent businesses. We’ve been doing quite well on the adjacent businesses. Now unfortunately it’s a time when there is a slowdown, but our wafer business has been doing quite well. Our — even our Rusk business has been seeing an uptick. Croissant has been doing extremely well. Our drinks have been showing resurgence, both in our PET format as well as the Lassi, which is in the Tetra Pack format. And our international business, especially the Middle East has been doing extremely well as well. So there is — there is the momentum that we require on the adjacent business and we are hoping that we can keep that up as the base business also starts to grow much faster than what it is currently.

Next slide is on digital adoption. We’ve taken up digital adoption for — sorry about this, I got a bad throat, digital adoption for enhanced efficiencies and this is on sales. I’ve already spoken about what we are doing on analytics for assortment planning as well as AI-enabled merchandising platforms, also our go-to-market, Route-to-Market. Marketing, we’ve started to collect first-party data for direct marketing. We’ve got a center of excellence for e-commerce. In supply chain, we’ve got integrated transport management system. We’ve got robotics for process automation. And on the procurement side, we’ve got supplier collaboration platform, also a procurement decision alert system. And all of these are working quite well for us and we are making sure that we adopt these and use these and leverage these to get more efficiency into the system.

Our cost leadership across verticals is going quite well. We — you’ve seen this chart, so I won’t spend too much time on it, but we are running really, really well this year and we will probably overachieve our cost efficiency programs versus what we plan for ourselves. So we are doubling up on this because of the environment and because of the inflation and that’s giving us great results. And I’ll come to this, hold this thought. I’ll come to this in the end.

Now on the ESG, we have ongoing initiatives, which is a software platform for digitized sustainability data collection, which we recently launched. We’ve also got e-learning module for our own employees. We published two reports. We published our fourth sustainability report and also our first TCFD [Phonetic], which is the Task Force of Climate-related Financial Disclosures for full-year ’24. We’ve also got a reasonable recognition. Our S&P Global rating has gone up from 47 to 52 this year. And we’ve been awarded for a sustainability — for our sustainability initiatives by the Golden Peacock Awards. So we are happy with how this initiative is progressing. It’s very important, very close to our heart and we are doing whatever we can.

Now coming to the tricky piece, commodity costs. As you see, the worm is only moving upwards in most cases. Flour, we’ve seen quite a bit of inflation. Now what you see in these slides is with our strategic covers, if you were — if we didn’t have these strategic covers, the story would be very different. So just to give you an idea on palm oil, you are seeing a slight inflation in palm oil in Q2 ’25. Actually, the inflation is about 45%, right, over Q1. And the reason for that is import duty of 40% and also a demand and supply situation which is creating some kind of shortage in the countries of origin, which is Malaysia and Indonesia. So there is a 45% increase. However, we had some strategic covers.

So it’s not showing in our graph. But — and similarly in flour, the inflation is more than what it’s showing in this graph because we have strategic covers. And cocoa is looking quite bad. Even laminates and corrugated boxes are showing signs of inflation. So this is a scenario that we’ll have to manage and how do we manage this. So on the cost and profitability front, next slide, Slide 21, we’ve initiated focused pricing actions to make sure — because frankly, in a situation like this, we do have to take a certain amount of pricing which is by channel and brand. We are doubling up on our cost efficiency and value engineering projects. We’ve also made sure that we make appropriate investments to support brands. And if there are any areas which we can cut back on, we do that. Outlet — as far as the outlook is concerned, we are closely monitoring the commodity situation and taking steps on a day-to-day basis. We are very vigilant on the competitive pricing actions as well because we understand that being market leaders you have to take the lead. But we do not want to be uncompetitive in the market, and that is something that we are keeping our eye on. And our strategy will remain focused on driving market share while sustaining our profits.

Now getting to the financial results. We have achieved INR4,566 crores, which is a volume — the volume growth is almost 18%. It’s a — sorry, 8%, sorry. What am I talking about? Volume growth of 8%. The 12-month growth on revenue is about 4.5% and the 24-month is also similar at 5%. Operating profits at INR707 crores, which are on a 12-month basis, 12% below, on a 24-month basis, 7% above. And even if you look at — was sequentially versus Q1, we are slightly ahead of Q1.

Q1 was INR680 crores, we are at INR707 crores. So you know, I feel that in these circumstances, these are great results. Getting to the key financial lines. So we’ve already spoken about this. Net sales up 4.5% and PAT down 9.6%. And if you were to look at the ratios at the bottom, profit from operations is still 15.5%, profit before tax is 15.7% and profit after-tax is a very healthy 11.6%.

Now just a point here as I end this presentation. We — actually at Britannia, we are very proud that we sell product, which is probably a food product, which is probably the most affordable food product in the world, right? Just to give you an idea, the average price of the product that we sell in India is INR115 a kilo. Today even tomatoes and onions are at that price. And frankly, we have extremely tasty products, which are — there are hundreds of R&D people working on it, tremendous amount of marketing efforts, sales efforts. We are getting the 7 million outlets across the country and selling a product which is INR115 a kilo. But we are also delivering profits, which are top quartile for any food company across the world, right? It’s not just in India. It’s top quartile profits across the world, right? This is a dream for any company, if you think about it, right?

Getting to people who are in every segment of society at the right price with products which are affordable and available at a arm’s reach and also able to have a P&L, whereby you keep your costs low, where you have efficiency programs, driving costs every year and you’re able to deliver profits, which are top quartile for any food company anywhere in the world. And I would urge you guys to compare us to any food company across the world and you will find that this is a model that people would die to have. So we are very proud of this model and we hope to see that the demand situation changes and we are able to drive this business even harder. Thank you very much.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin with the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Abneesh Roy from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.

Abneesh Roy

Yeah, thanks. My first question is on the volume growth. So last three quarters, we have seen good volume growth from you in the range of 7% to 8%. So my question is, how do you see in terms of outlook next few quarters given base is high? Second, there is a good inflation in many of your raw materials and at INR5, INR10, you will have to cut grammage to pass on. So that also means that, that will have an adverse impact on the volume growth. So would you say that now it will be a healthy mix of pricing and volume, so plus there could be some downtrading impact, right? You did speak on the urban, and very good slides I’ll say. It has really made us understand the urban slowdown a bit better. So because of the downtrading, the volume growth number, could there be some negative shock in the next few quarters?

Varun Berry

So Abneesh, we are trying to make sure that we balance this. We understand that the demand scenario is not as robust as it’s been in the past in India. So we are trying to balance it. Frankly, we are here for the long-term, Abneesh. We are not operators who look at a quarter and a quarter and a quarter, we want to have a robust, solid business in the long-term. So if we feel that the volume is under stress and we need to be a little careful about our price increases, we will do that. We will try and balance both. So I would say, yes, there will be some impact on the volumes, but it’s a short-term thing, Abneesh.

As I’ve told you in the past as well, it’s these sine curves in inflation that we are wary of. If there is a regular, let’s say, 3%, 4%, 5% inflation on year-on-year, it doesn’t bother us because we plan it and we execute it properly. It’s just these sine curves when they come — when — we have to be a little careful. So we will be careful. The next six months, nine months, we are going to be very careful about how we treat price increases, how we root for volumes, etc. So we will balance it well and we will make sure that we do the best from a volume standpoint as well.

Abneesh Roy

Varun, one related question is, if I see last four quarters, out of that, three quarters, the operating profit has declined for you on Y-o-Y basis. Now I wanted to understand given the base becomes favorable at least on the margins and profits, if you could tell us on a RM basket, how much is the inflation? And if I see that with the soft base, how do you see profitability? Is that going to be in a tight range? I’m not asking for any guidance. I’m just saying that out of four quarters, three quarters, there is a negative Y-o-Y. But how is the RM basket on an overall basis if you could tell us currently?

Varun Berry

No, so inflation is high. Inflation, as I’ve said, the big inflation on palm oil is because of the import duties which have been levied by India. Now if — I would think that, that would have a limited shelf life. So if that goes away, things could become better. Wheat, it’s a — it’s a fundamental issue as far as wheat is concerned because the crop has been lower, the government’s holding less stocks and hence the release of stocks has been lower. But it’s one year now, we are moving into the next year soon. And hopefully, the crops will be better because as the prices go up, more farmers start to look at that crop. So we are hoping that acreage will improve, yields will improve on wheat next year and things will get better. But having said that, for the time being, we will be careful. I don’t think it’s going to make a very large impact on our profitability. I think we will maintain our — the quartile that we operate in, and I don’t think it’s going to make a huge difference at all. But it’s a time to watch out and balance.

Abneesh Roy

Sure. My second and last question will be on the total global foods company mission. So yesterday also you have spoken on that in the earning release. Here if I see what are other FMCG companies doing, for example, ITC, Marico, Tata Consumer, Zydus Wellness, all these four companies and even other companies have done organically, they have gone into protein bars, they have gone into healthy snack. So now I am asking, will these become a missed opportunity for you because these four companies, five companies already have a well-established D2C brand and now they can scale that up? So what will be your thoughts on these specific protein bars and healthy snacks, which currently I think is not there in your portfolio?

Varun Berry

We do have some bars. We’ve launched on a test market basis in e-commerce. But yes, these are all areas that we are seriously looking at. And while they are very small and they are not going to move the needle on the overall, the total business that we have, but yes, we are looking at these and making sure that we are ready to launch these. In fact, we’ve launched bars. We’ve got cereal bars as well as protein bars that we’ve launched in e-commerce under the BU brand name, which is BU stands for Believe in Yourself. So we’ve launched that. But yeah, we haven’t done much activity on those, but we will scale them up as time goes by.

Abneesh Roy

Sure. Thanks, sir. That’s all from my side.

Varun Berry

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. [Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Avi Mehta from Macquarie Group. Please go ahead.

Avi Mehta

Yeah. Hi, team. Thanks a lot for the opportunity. Sir, my first question is on this RTM 2.0, could you help us better understand the likely benefits and more importantly, by when you expect these to start to materially flow?

Varun Berry

So the benefits — so you know about eight years or nine years — Vipin is here with me, so I’ll let him talk after I have given a short speech to you. So basically eight years, nine years ago, we started on a split model, whereby it was a geographical split model. So we would choose a geography, let’s say Mumbai or Bangalore or Delhi or whatever. And we would say this distributor has got high potential outlets and hence it’s important that we split this geography into two. Now unfortunately, what happens is that in that geography, be it Delhi, there will be high potential outlets and there will be smaller outlets. So there was wasted energy in going to smaller outlets with split routes because they were not — they didn’t have the potential to buy the right products.

So what Vipin and team have done is they’ve taken the decile approach, they’ve broken the market into 10 deciles. And what this shows is that the first decile, which is let’s say, one-tenth of the market, it’s 14 lakh outlets which have been broken into deciles. So each decile has 1.4 lakh outlets. And the first decile contributes to, Vipin, what 53%?

Vipin Kataria

Yeah.

Varun Berry

53% of the business. So that deserves a very differential treatment from a Route-to-Market standpoint. So this is just one example. There are lots of other things that we are looking at. So we — what the objective is to give the outlet it’s pride of place. If the outlet is big and he has the ability to buy, let’s say, two times a week and buy large quantities of every possible category that we have, then we should give them that kind of service. And if the outlet is small and only buys once a month, then we should give them that kind of service. So that really is the story as far as Route-to-Market is concerned. Vipin, over to you.

Vipin Kataria

Yeah. So a couple of more points. So what you see on the chart…

Operator

Sir, sorry to interrupt you, you’re sounding a little distant.

Vipin Kataria

Yeah. Yeah. So what you saw in the charts is that there are 29 lakh odd outlets where we service directly. Now 50% of that is urban and the top three deciles basically what Varun was talking about is a gold mine because that’s almost like 80% of our urban business. Now the concept is that this is where the right shopper and the consumer goes and they have the right kind of income, they have the right kind of disposable income to buy the premium products as well as the adjacent categories. And therefore, we need to align our service, which is basically the salesmen going and booking the order and the delivery, which is basically going and putting the product into the market completely to this entire potential.

So I think that’s the basic concept. What we are also doing is that we are sourcing a lot of external data, which only enriches this entire stratification and that really unlocks the potential. So that’s the project. The other thing that we are doing is that amongst these multiple salesmen, what should be right combination of brands, what is undersold, what has a huge potential, right? And therefore, all these three things, four things are coming together to make sure that we really extract most out of these top deciles. So till now, if you see, we update you every quarter on what the increase in our distribution. So that is more about the bid. This project is about extraction and depth and selling the right kind of brands into these relevant outlets.

Varun Berry

And this will — this will take — from a training perspective, it will probably take 12 months to 15 months to fully be embedded into our system.

Avi Mehta

Okay. Got it, sir. Got it. Very clear on this. Sir, the last bit I had is on the focus pricing actions that you indicated. Could you give us a sense on the likely quantum and the flow-through in realization that it could entail going forward? Basically, I’m trying to understand by when volume and value growth should start matching each other. That’s the — I’m just trying to kind of understand that better. That was the only thing. That’s all from my side.

Varun Berry

So there will be about 4% to 5% price increase in the next two quarters. So that we’ll have to take. And we will do it strategically in SKUs, where we haven’t taken a price for some time. But if we have to take 4% to 5% on our entire portfolio, it tends to hit the large SKUs and large brands. So we are in the process of doing that.

Avi Mehta

Okay, sir. Perfect. That’s all from my side. Thank you very much, sir.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Aditya Soman from CLSA India. Please go ahead.

Aditya Soman

Hi, team. Good morning. And really thanks for going into depth on your Route-to-Market. I think that was super helpful. But just on the Route-to-Market question there, what would be the cost of this project? And is that one of the reasons also that we are seeing an increase in cost? And the second question, can you just give us a sense of your sales split by channel and maybe even growth by channel, if that’s possible?

Varun Berry

The cost is — there is a cost to this. Obviously, there is a consultant cost. There is a team that we’ve set up within the Company. No, but that’s not — that’s not a — it’s not a materially large cost, which is going to impact our overall cost structure. So it’s not going to make that kind of a difference. And what was the other question?

Aditya Soman

Yeah. The second question was on the channel split of sales and the growth for the channels.

Varun Berry

No, so we’ve been seeing very good growth as far as quick commerce and e-commerce is concerned. Even modern trade has been doing reasonably well, although the competitive scenario there is pretty tough, but we’ve been doing well and we’ve been gaining share in both quick commerce, e-commerce as well as modern trade. It’s the traditional trade, the GT part of the business, which is growing slower currently. But I think that’s our big muscle and it’s rural is coming back slowly. So as rural starts to come back to the kind of double-digit growth that we were seeing in the past, I think we should be in a good place.

Aditya Soman

Thanks, Varun. And maybe just a follow-up on that. I mean, in terms of rural recovery, if one looks at the Nielsen numbers, then the recovery is actually fairly sharp and are now on a tough base as well. So 2Q ’24 — FY ’24 also had a tough base. So we are seeing a fairly strong recovery on that. I just wanted to understand why the overall sort of recovery in FMCG consumption has been a little bit slower or at least not to the same extent as the Nielsen numbers suggest.

Varun Berry

No, so that’s what I attempted to talk about in the presentation in the beginning. It’s the metros and the large cities where there is an impact because of two reasons. One is the whole housing cost and second is the wages that the non-salaried individuals, the raise in the wages that they’ve got or the increase in the wages that they’ve got. So that’s what I attempted to explain. Yeah.

Aditya Soman

Yeah, no, no. No, my question was on the rural specifically on — if the rural growth itself has caught up but with what Nielsen is reporting.

Varun Berry

No, so see rural is doing better. Rural was doing worse than urban till about two quarters ago. So it’s doing better, but still it’s in mid-single-digit kind of growth for FMCG. So that’s not what it used to be, let’s say four quarters or eight quarters ago. For us, it was — we were growing high double-digits as far as rural was concerned. So it’ll come back. I think it’s starting to look much better and we are hoping that things will get better with the rural economy continuing to do better than expected.

Aditya Soman

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Percy Panthaki from IIFL Securities. Please go ahead.

Percy Panthaki

Hi, Varun. I just wanted to understand whether biscuits really has advantage as a category in a inflationary scenario. Reason being that I mean, permit me for saying this and don’t take it in the wrong way, but biscuits is a little bit of a Giffen good in the sense that when there is a lot of food inflation, it’s a very cheap source of calories. And therefore, people shift a little bit of their calorific requirement towards biscuits during times of inflation. This is especially because compared to the CPI inflation that we’ve seen, biscuits has actually seen a Y-o-Y kind of a deflation. So would you say that rather than be worried about inflation, this is a sort of a good time or this is an opportunity for you actually?

Varun Berry

I didn’t understand your question at all, Percy. I’m not clear on what you are saying.

Percy Panthaki

Okay, let me just rephrase that. So what I mean to say is that while there is a overall CPI inflation, there is a price deflation in biscuits and it becomes a cheaper source of calories versus several other food products. And therefore, do you actually see a positive kind of impact on your business because of this?

Varun Berry

No, no, no. There is no deflation. You are just comparing the volume growth with the revenue growth. Yes, we had taken price increases, which have been reversed and this — the situation of higher volume versus the revenues is it — it’s only for this quarter, right? Things are — so it’s not like that at all. Yes, look, biscuits is — it’s an important part. We are 100% of households — we are available in almost 100% of households. So it’s almost a necessity today. And the consumption does happen, and I don’t think we are positively impacted by deflation or there’s deflationary trends. I don’t know where you’re getting your data from, but no, I don’t think that is true.

Percy Panthaki

Understood. Also just wanted to understand in terms of when the price increases come through, let’s say you’re going to take 5% kind of price increase, typically, if you have a historic model or if you have any kind of insight as to how much this affects your volume. So is there like a 50% pass-through to the overall sales like a 5% price increase happens and 2.5% overall sales growth will improve or any kind of rule of thumb you have on that?

Varun Berry

There is no rule of thumb, Percy. It’s very difficult. You’re asking very difficult questions today. You have breakfast?

Percy Panthaki

Fair enough. Fair enough. And last question is on margin. So how do we look at margins going ahead in terms of a band? Would you say that the margin that we have posted this quarter, it should hover around that because the price increases will probably just go towards fulfilling cost inflation or is there any leeway to expand margins on a full year basis higher than what we have done this quarter? And just one hygiene question on the accounts for this quarter is that salary cost is up 45% Y-o-Y. So what is the reason behind this? Just these two more questions, please.

Varun Berry

No, so the band of margins, we try to operate in the same band, so it’s not going to be dramatically different. And the salary cost is because of the stock appreciation…

Vipin Kataria

Phantom stocks being revalued.

Varun Berry

Phantom stocks being revalued.

Vipin Kataria

On the basis of share price.

Varun Berry

On the basis of the share price. So that’s what it is.

Percy Panthaki

So is this — is this like a one-off thing or do we see the salary cost, which we have seen this quarter to more or less continue for the coming quarters?

Vipin Kataria

So what happened was the share price of our stocks moved up from about INR4,900 in March to about INR5,475 in June and then to INR6,300 as of 30th September. The valuation is done basis the closing price of shares in these periods. So…

Percy Panthaki

Okay. So as long as the share price remains constant, there will not be any of that additional cost. And on a quarterly basis, the salary cost will be lower than what you have reported last quarter. Would that understanding be correct?

Vipin Kataria

It depends on the share price. Yeah.

Varun Berry

Yeah. Yeah. You are right. You are right…

Percy Panthaki

Okay. Okay. Yeah, that’s all from me. Thanks, and all the best.

Varun Berry

Thank you, Percy. Have some breakfast.

Operator

Thank you very much. Next question is from the line of Mihir Shah from Nomura. Please go ahead.

Mihir Shah

Hi, sir. Thank you for giving the opportunity. I hope I’m audible.

Varun Berry

Yes, you are. Very audible.

Mihir Shah

Thank you, sir. Just wanted to check on the innovation and new launches. Over the past few quarters, the innovation/new launches were doing significantly well, growing at two times the growth rate. Can you talk a bit more on the saliency of that piece? How much is it contributing to our overall revenue now? And how — has that momentum sustained or given the urban weakness that momentum has tapered off?

Varun Berry

No, so innovation, as we read the innovation, we — any product which is launched in the last 24 months is considered as innovation and we are running at about 2% of revenue on that. We also look at how these products sustain in the longer run, but that’s not a part of the innovation market. So right now, we are running at about 2% of — on innovation, 2% of revenue. And some of the innovations that we’ve done have done extremely well. There are — obviously there are some which sort of lag behind as well. But on an overall basis, it’s giving us 2% of revenue.

Mihir Shah

Got it, sir. Got it. Thanks. Sir, I missed the earlier comments on margins…

Operator

Sir, sorry to interrupt you. Sir, there’s a bit of an echo from your line. Let me disconnect and reconnect your line. Ladies and gentlemen, please stay connected. [Technical Issues] Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your patience. We have the line for the management reconnected. Mihir, please proceed with your question.

Mihir Shah

Yeah, hi. Sir, I wanted to just check on the margins once again. I might have missed your earlier comments. If you can firstly jog our memory, is there any difference in margin profiles in second quarter versus the earlier quarters? Are they usually weaker on the gross margin level? Should one expect margins to bounce back to the historical levels, given the price hikes of 4% to 5% that you have already put into the market?

Varun Berry

No, for sure, the price hikes will make the margins better. But as I said on the commodity slide, the inflation is also a lot bigger than what we had expected, and we had some strategic buys, which will probably continue for some more months from our strategic buyers. But the inflation is genuinely reasonably high. So we expect to maintain margins rather than increase margins, balance inflation and make sure that we are able to keep a stable margin profile.

Operator

Thank you. Sir, the line for the participant dropped. We move on to the next question. Next question is from the line of Shirish Pardeshi from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Shirish Pardeshi

Yeah, hi, Varun and team. Thanks for the opportunity. Good morning. I have a broader question. If you strip out, I mean, in the beginning, you said that the metros is struggling. So do you have any quick number, the top 10 metros contribution and what is the growth in top 10 metros versus the overall volume growth what you have reported in 8% for the Company?

Varun Berry

No, we won’t have it right — available right away, Shirish. But if you connect separately, we can look at those numbers and give that to you.

Shirish Pardeshi

Sir, I’m more curious because in the starting you give that number of housing and other things. So there is a inflation which is there. To my thought and experience, the food inflation really have a problem with the rural folks. But surprisingly, rural is doing better. So maybe if you can help me what — if that 8% growth is for the Company, what would be the rural growth if you can strip out?

Varun Berry

The rural growth are reasonable, I would say slightly high single-digit kind of growth. They’re not the kind of growth that we’ve seen in the past, but they are maybe high single-digit. Vipin, is that correct?

Vipin Kataria

Yeah. So it’s — so rural growth are two times of urban. And when I talk urban, urban will include our e-commerce, modern trade, right? And like one is that rural is right now at mid-single, high single kind of range. And these are all very relative numbers. So rural, we were growing at high double-digit and then rural started taking is that while there is a sequential recovery, there is much more which is wanted from rural.

Shirish Pardeshi

Okay. Just one follow-up here. In RTM 2, you mentioned that we are doing this exercise in top 25 cities and 44 distributors. So if that pilot is successful, say, one-year time, you will cover at least one-third of the markets in India?

Varun Berry

So we will cover almost 450,000 outlets.

Vipin Kataria

Yeah. So we will go to almost about 100 cities. It will cover 4.5 lakh outlets, which is almost like 80% odd — 85% odd of our metro cities.

Shirish Pardeshi

Okay. My second and last question on the snacking portfolio. Varun, you used to say that there are gaps in the snacking and we have also tried Timepass and we have also tried the Nutri Bar and other segments. In between, there was media reports that we were also looking for acquiring some snacking company. So is that something which is on the card that to fulfill that product gaps, we will look at the M&A angle?

Varun Berry

No, if required, we will. But you know the snacking business is a very different business from what we do because we currently deal with the shelves inside the outlet. The snacking business is all about air displays. So first, we’ve got to make sure that our distribution system is ready to be able to run this business. And that’s why we’ve been running these extended test markets just to make sure whether both these businesses can coexist inside the shelves and airspaces. If you remember, there are companies which have tried to get their beverage and snack business together and they were not able to do that because they are very different and require very different kind of skills and different kind of merchandising. So we just want to make sure that we have the right distribution capabilities before we look at scaling this up.

Shirish Pardeshi

Okay. Just quickly on the capacity part, I think our Bihar capacity is on stream. And maybe if you can update what are the new capacities which you’re expecting in next two quarters to three quarters?

Varun Berry

No, so we’ve got — we’ve got three new factories which are already in play. We’ve got UP. In the North, we’ve never had a factory which is large and it provides us all that is required. So we had one plant in Uttarakhand. So we had one plant in Uttarakhand, which was done about 12 years, 13 years ago. Now we’ve got a UP factory. We’ve got a new factory in Bihar and Bihta. And we’ve got a brand-new factory in Tirunelveli. We’ve also expanded our factory in Ranjangaon. So from a capacity standpoint, we are in a good place. There might be a few product categories where we need some enhanced capacity, which we are working on in any case. So we have no issues as far as capacities are concerned.

Shirish Pardeshi

Okay. Thank you, and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Harit Kapoor from Investec. Please go ahead.

Harit Kapoor

Yeah, good morning. So just on the pricing bit, given the current commodity inflation, you believe this 4.5% to 5% is sufficient currently to take into account what you’re seeing in terms of commodity inflation right now, also adding your covers, etc.

Varun Berry

No. So there are some price increases which we’ve already taken. So this is going to be in addition to that. So yes, it’s sufficient to cover that.

Harit Kapoor

Got it. And the second thing was on the competitive activity. So over the last two quarters, three quarters, you’ve seen heightened competitive intensity in terms of schemes, grammages, etc., across biscuits, across companies. I just wanted to get your sense of do you see this kind of abating a little bit in the wake of high inflation? And is that a kind of market share gaining opportunity?

Varun Berry

Yeah, no, absolutely, you’re right. See what happens during inflationary times, some of the small players they completely go under. See, the situation is we’ve never had this double whammy kind of a situation where demand is stymied because of various reasons that we’ve discussed and there is an inflation in the market. So in times like this, there will always be a few players who want to drive demand, who don’t want to take price increases, then they realize that their entire profit has gone to hell and hence they will then take some knee-jerk reactions and go out of the market. So what we’ve seen in the last, let’s say, six months or so, what we’ve seen is that because of the demand situation, there was some amount of hectic activity from players, but that did not give any player an advantage by throwing money at the market. It did not give them advantage in terms of growth, right?

The only players who’ve grown in the current scenario, our players have grown, let’s say, higher than us in the current scenario. Our players who were operating in one territory and they have now spread their wings and they are going to three territories, four territories, five territories. However, in their current markets, they are suffering very badly. So that’s a very short term measure that these players are taking and they will feel the repercussions because they don’t have that muscle to be able to extend themselves to multiple markets.

So I think there will be some amount of cleaning up that will happen in the short term and the long-term. And we have been completely above board as far as our dealings in the market are concerned. We’ve not dumped any product. We’ve kept our system absolutely clean so that we don’t have excess stock, which starts to come back at us. We have a product which exceeds the shelf life and all of that. So we’ve kept our system absolutely clean and we will see the benefits of that as we go forward.

Harit Kapoor

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you very much. Next question is from the line of Amnish Aggarwal from Prabhudas Lilladher. Please go ahead.

Amnish Aggarwal

Yeah. Hi. I have a couple of questions. My first question is regarding the volume growth. Although we have indicated 8% volume growth, can we share how much is the number of pack size growth? For example, how many more packs of biscuits we have sold in the quarter?

Varun Berry

It will be similar, but we can figure that out. We’ll give it to you. Go to your next question.

Amnish Aggarwal

Okay. The next one is the one-time staff cost, which is in the — in the form of your Phantom Stock Option. So what could be the impact of that in this particular quarter?

Varun Berry

It will — it depends on the stock price. So very difficult to say.

Amnish Aggarwal

No, but in the concluded quarter, we have provided some amount in the staff cost. So how much was that quantum in 2Q?

Varun Berry

That’s about INR50 crores.

Amnish Aggarwal

INR50 crores. Okay.

Varun Berry

Yeah.

Amnish Aggarwal

And sir, my third and final question is that as you indicated that you have got some strategic — you’re buying already in wheat as well as in palm oil.

Varun Berry

Yeah.

Amnish Aggarwal

So if we have to look at the current raw material scenario, so on an index basis, how would be the current scenario in 3Q vis-a-vis what was in the second quarter of the year?

Varun Berry

Yeah. So that’s why we need to take price increases and that’s why we are going ahead and taking a 5% price increase on our entire portfolio. So yes, the inflation will be more than that. But if you look at the charts carefully, you will see some numbers there on the commodity slide where we are indicating what the market will be. Palm oil will obviously be bigger than that. Palm oil prices have gone a little haywire, but I think they’ll come back. The government will take the right measures. I think the import duty of 40% will at some stage be withdrawn and hence things will get better. The pack size growth is also about the same as the volume growth.

Amnish Aggarwal

Okay. And sir, just a follow-up on that. In terms of your 5% price increase, will it be gradual over the next two quarters or most of it will be taken by, you can say the end of December?

Varun Berry

No, it will be gradual, but yes, wherever we can — the price increases are — if it’s a direct price increase, it will be taken right away. But I would say December, Jan, will be done.

Amnish Aggarwal

Okay, sir. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we’ll take that as a last question. I now hand the conference back to Mr. Ayush Agarwal for closing comments.

Ayush Agarwal

Thank you everyone for spending time with us on this call today. We look forward to interacting with you again.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

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