Bajaj Auto Limited (NSE: BAJAJ-AUTO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call dated Jan. 30, 2026
Corporate Participants:
Anand Newar — Head Investor Relations
Rakesh Sharma — Executive Director
Dinesh Thapar — Chief Financial Officer
Analysts:
Kapil Singh — Analyst
Gunjan Prithyani — Analyst
Rishi Vora — Analyst
Chandramouli Muthiah — Analyst
Amyn Pirani — Analyst
Joseph George — Analyst
Raghunandhan NL — Analyst
Presentation:
operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Q3FY 2026 results conference call of Bajaj Auto Limited. My name is Nirav and I’ll be your coordinator. As a reminder, all participant lines will. Be in the listen only mode and. There will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the initial remarks from the management. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing Star then zero on your touch tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anand Nevar head investor relations from Bajaj Auto Limited. Thank you. And over to you Mr. Nevad.
Anand Newar — Head Investor Relations
Thank you, Nirav. Good evening everyone and thank you for joining us for the call today. Welcome to Bajaj Auto’s Q3FY26 earnings conference call. Let me begin the call with wishing you all of you a happy and prosperous new Year. On today’s call we have with us Mr. Rakesh Sharma, Executive Director and Mr. Dinesh Thapar, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. We will begin our call with the opening remarks from Rakesh on the. Business and operational performance for the quarter followed by Dinesh who will take you through the financial highlights. We will then open the forum for Q and A. Over to you sir.
Rakesh Sharma — Executive Director
Thanks. Thanks Sanan. Good evening ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the quarter three earnings call. Thank you very much for joining us. I am delighted to report that the Q3 performance has built on a strong Q2 scaled new peaks. We closed the quarter with a top line of over 15,000 crores, an all time high with 19% growth. EBITDA came in at over 3,100 crores at 20.8% another all time high and PAT crossed 2,500 crores yet another all time high. All business units performed at respective record levels to deliver these outcomes. The momentum of course was set by the GST rate cuts which momentum sustained itself beyond the festive.
The domestic bus have taken full advantage of this supportive environment. Let us look at the business unit level performance beginning with exports. The BU crossed the 200,000 average per month sales level in October 25 after nearly 40 months and maintained this level through the remainder of the quarter surpassing the 600,000 units mark after 15 quarters. Last time this happened was in Q3 2022. The business grew at 18% year on year this quarter in volume terms and more in revenue terms. The top 30 overseas markets collectively accounting for nearly 75% of the emerging market industry grew by about 10% in this quarter with our sales growing at 15% thereby signaling increase of market share in these key markets.
Nigeria, our largest market, doubled sales in Q3 compared to Q2, though it continued to be negative compared to previous year Q3. Significantly, Nigeria’s weight in our portfolio is now half of what it was last year, indicating that the portfolio without Nigeria is at an all time high performance. Latam delivered its highest ever quarterly performance powered by Colombia sales in Brazil. Bajaj, Brazil came in close to 10,000 mark supported by expanded production capacities and the subsidiary is now delivering a healthy. Bottom line performance too. The seaweed segment in Exports grew at 56% this quarter result of intense development efforts of the past three quarters. A very good feature of this business. Is that it is very broad based across several markets and continents. Exports to KTM Austria continue to increase year on year by nearly 15% in Q3 as the KTM business worldwide now starts to make its recovery, but more on that later.
Overall the exports business has established a sustained growth momentum and we expect this growth tempo to continue in the coming months. In fact, the business is on the path to deliver its highest ever top line performance in USD terms this financial year. Domestic Motorcycles the festive period ended on a very strong note, but more importantly the GST rationalization appears to have made not just a positive but a lasting impact beyond festive enthusiasm.
Taking a step back in financial year 2025 the motorcycle industry had grown at 7%, but this slid into a marginal decline of minus 1% in the April August period of this year, in fact slipping to -3% in Q2. But post the GST rationalization Q3 has grown by about 15% in the industry and our understanding is that even January is sustaining at a similar level. We are just one or two days away from getting the final numbers. To some extent of course this has been bolstered by the festive in the south. We expect the growth momentum in the industry to continue and the motorcycle industry to continue to grow at say 12 to 15%.
Equally important is the quality of growth with a 125cc plus segment growing at a faster rate and within that the 150cc plus segment growing even faster. This phenomenon is creating a very positive and supportive environment for our portfolio which rests on the proposition of persuading the customer to upgrade to bigger and more differentiated By since quarter four of financial year 25 we have been quite challenged for market share even in the pulsar heartland of 150cc plus segment and this continued well into quarter one FY26. The genesis of the weakness I think lay in the asymmetry of our new product and upgrade cycle compared to that of the key competitors, two developments have reversed the trend for us and have started to point the trajectory in this very important segment upwards.
Foremost, Pulsar received the benefit of the consumer behavior transitioning from being cautious to now optimistic. Secondly, after the heat and dust of the festive settle down, a slew of new launches prioritized for the 150C segment have been made November onwards. Consequently, market share in this key segment has started to move up. Seven interventions in between November and now in the form of upgrades and refreshes. Have been made in the last two.
Months, driving growth and share supported by a positive environment. The waves of these interventions will be unrelenting here onwards with over eight more such interventions being made in the next four months. By end of this period the entire Pulsar portfolio spanning the OG Pulsar, the N Series Modern Pulsar and the NS Series Performance Pulsar would be a complete, potent and persuasive portfolio. Therefore, we expect to outpace industry growth in the 125cc segment and particularly the one system segment and continue on the path of market share acquisition which has commenced a couple of months ago. Coming to Commercial Vehicles the three Wheeler View like two wheelers, the three wheeler category was also positively impacted by the rationalization of gst.
The ICE segment was declining in April August period by about 4% but GST cuts have bumped up growth to positive 4 to 5%. The electric segment continues to drive the three wheeler industry by growing at about 50% plus. Again we expect these growth rates to sustain in the immediate future as driver adoption is responding to the healthy improvement in earnings and payback both for ICE and electric. We continue to maintain a 70% plus market share in the ICE segment with an overwhelming share of 85% plus in the CNG segment which is the largest segment within ice.
Our E Autos recorded their highest ever levels during the quarter both in billing and retail terms and we exited the quarter in December back to the number. One position in the segment. We now possess the widest E Auto and E Cargo portfolio spanning different vehicle sizes and battery capacities ranging from 9kWh to 18kWh which is the biggest battery in the business and this allows us to address a wide spectrum of use cases. We expect to grow our leadership position quite decisively in the coming quarters. Additionally, as you know we have made a play for the large L3E rig segment with the launch of Ricky. Steadily the footprint of Ricky is being expanded to now 50 cities in north and East India. Our objective is to seed the focus markets in the first phase and build our playbook for upgrading customers from price based propositions to our value based propositions.
We expect to start to scale up RICKY Beginning quarter one we launched two passenger models last quarter and have now introduced Ricky C4005 in the cargo segment, further strengthening our ability to address multiple use cases on electric scooter Chetak. While the industry continues to average at about 100,000 units level, our performance improved sharply during the quarter as we came out of supply chain disruptions enabling a rapid scale up reflecting sequential growth of nearly 70% from quarter two to quarter three. We regained nearly 500 basis points of market share during the quarter and made a return back to the leadership cluster.
The scale up was also supported by distribution network that expanded to nearly 450 exclusive Chetak stores and 4,000 points of sale across 800 cities and towns. We have recently launched the new Chetak C25 some 15 days back and I. Hope some of you had a chance. To join the launch event that was Telecasted live on YouTube C25. It’s a stylish, sleek and youthful addition to the Chetak portfolio that is lighter, designed for easy mobility and is launched at an attractive price of 91,399 rupees. With this launch, the Chetak Portfolio is now well covered across price points and use cases, positioning the brand to further strengthen its competitive standing while remaining focused on disciplined and profitable growth at an aggregate level. Our EV portfolio, comprising both electric two wheelers and three wheelers now contributes to a staggering 25% of domestic revenues and individually, both the segments, the scooter segment and the auto segment crossed 1000 crores of quarterly revenue each for the first time.
More importantly, the EV business now delivers double digit EBITDA margins while improving unit economics as the portfolio continues to scale. Coming to the Pro Biking Business unit comprising two prominent global brands, KTM and Triumph, the pro biking business continued its strong trajectory this quarter. The two brands together delivered a record domestic performance with combined volumes of over 35,000 units, registering robust growth of around 50% year on year and marking the highest ever quarterly performance for the business. Lifted also by the positive sentiment, KTM volumes were led by strong demand across the Adventure portfolio, which has grown almost four times over the same period last year.
The Duke series, complemented by the recent launch of Duke 160 remains robust, growing over 30% year on year. The rise in KTM sales has been quite spectacular and we expect the portfolio to continue to perform well with both street and adventure segments going well. Triumph maintained a healthy momentum despite the GST rationalization and of course Stramp was on the other side of it and it complemented KTM’s performance. Key growth driver for both brands has been the brand activation initiatives through holiday experiences, adventure rallies and the widely popular KTM cup for which the season three was announced.
Delivering a ready to race thrill to a mass followership, the world of Triumph activation is steadily building the franchise of Triumph with customers who know the difference. Another growth driver in the making is the rollout of the joint KTM Triumph showrooms. These are designed to enhance reach and dealer viability in markets where stand alone outlets may not be economically viable. The format offers customers access to both brands while providing dealers with a sustainable business model. We currently have about 50kt showrooms operational and plan to expand these to over 100 by March. Finally, a few quick points important updates on other business areas the Spares Business Unit this highly profitable business came in at nearly 1800 crores this quarter, a growth of 18% y on by on the back of better distribution and portfolio management.
Outlook for it remains positive with similar growth Tempo retail Finance. Our 100% subsidiary BACL had an excellent quarter delivering an industry class leading performance with penetration scaling to 45% levels. It has acquired over 3.5 lakh customers during the quarter and now has an aum of over 16,000 crores and it has built a business driven by the twin pillars of digital first and robust operational management. It delivered a PAT of 200 crores in Q3 itself. Quick word on KTM AG effective November 18, Bajaj ownership in KTM Austria increased to 75% and a turnaround plan was commenced immediately which has three main elements to it ensure liquidity.
Number one, this action has of course been underway earlier and has been successfully completed earlier itself. Second, build the top management team. The top deck is now largely in place and the exercise will be completed by the 1st of April. And number three, most importantly, prioritize and support cost reduction for which there are ample opportunities. Multiple work streams have been set up to reduce costs and capture synergies with actions in these three areas. The turnaround of KTMAG is truly on its way. Looking ahead, our key focus will be to drive higher growth in the 125cc segment, leveraging on the seven products already launched and the eight further which are in the pipeline.
Second, continue the export momentum, building on the strong competitive positions in key markets. Number three continue to regain momentum in the EV segments and better the competitive. Positions across each segment. Number four Steadily grow KTM and Triumph Business through product activation and network expansion and finally manage operations dynamically to optimize growth and profitability, balance and support the KTM AG Turnaround Plan. These are the things which will be occupying the management team in quarter four and quarter one. Now with that, let me hand it. Over to Dinesh for an update on the financial thank you,
Dinesh Thapar — Chief Financial Officer
thank you Rakesh Good evening everyone and thank you for joining us today. As this is our first interaction in the new calendar year. Let me begin by wishing all of you a fruitful year ahead. You’ve just heard from Rakesh against the backdrop of an upbeat festive market that was boosted by the GST rate rationalization, the the company delivered its best ever quarterly performance across revenues and profitability underpinned by record volumes. The growth this quarter has been broad based with all our businesses domestic motorcycles, domestic three wheelers, electric two wheelers and exports all contributing very meaningfully.
The sharp execution of our plans in both domestic and export markets allowed us to deliver a step up in performance and record results even as we continued to stay the course in investing behind brands, products and future capabilities. Before I get into the numbers, a quick word on the operating environment. Currency remained a tailwind during this quarter and I’d spoken about this the last time we had met with average dollar realization for the quarter standing at 88.3 compared to 87.1 in quarter two and 84.3 a year ago. On the commodity front, as I had mentioned in the last earnings call, we had begun to see some cost pressures across the metals complex during the quarter.
Noble metals especially platinum, palladium and rhodium all saw sharp increases whilst aluminium, copper, nickel and lead also continued to harden. This was partly offset by some softening in ABS and steel. You will also recall that I then said that in light of how the currency was moving giving us tailwind effects, we would decide on pricing actions. As it turned out, given the beat on volumes that we saw through the festive season, we chose to defer all pricing actions to the start of this current quarter, essentially January and therefore taking none to cover the inflation last quarter.
As a result, we saw a net price versus cost inflation hit of nearly 50 basis points on the margin. Turning now to the financial performance, the quarter established new benchmarks on both volumes and revenues. Volumes reached an all time high surpassing the last peak that was recorded in quarter two FY19, while revenue from operations crossed the 15,000 crores milestone for the first time coming in at 15,220 crores for the quarter, representing a 19% year on year growth. This growth has not been driven by any single lever, rather it reflects the balanced combination of higher volumes, a richer sales mix and favorable currency realization.
A key contributor to revenue mix improvement was the electric vehicle portfolio which continued to scale rapidly during the quarter, growing nearly 40% over the previous one. In addition, spares revenues sustained at levels of close to 1800, providing a steady and recurring support to overall revenues as indeed to profitability as well. Domestic revenues reached an all time high during the quarter, driven by double digit revenue growth across all businesses and a new record on the electric portfolio. Domestic retails were also at their highest ever. Export sustained its strong performance as revenues grew double digit in eight of the last nine quarters, volumes crossed the 600,000 units a quarter mark, a level that we’d almost seen four years ago, reflecting a continued recovery in both demand and the pace of execution.
Compared to the same time last year, export revenues have grown around 20% and the growth has been broad based, supported by improved dollar realizations, a richer product mix and robust growth across key markets. Moving to profitability, EBITDA for the quarter was at 3161 crores, the highest in the company’s history, growing 22% year on year. EBITDA margins expanded to 20.8% up 30 basis points sequentially. Margin performance during the quarter was supported by favorable currency movements, operating leverage and PLI benefits. These factors provided the operating headroom to absorb a combination of commercial actions that we consciously took alongside the regular input cost inflation that I just mentioned.
During the quarter we took a few commercial actions to drive market competitiveness in addition to addressing commodity led cost pressures. These included firstly the absorption of the withdrawal of the PM E drive incentives in the electric three wheeler segment. While the withdrawal occurred towards the later part of the quarter, the impact was meaningful at approximately 23,000 to 25,000 rupees unit per vehicle and we consciously chose to hold pricing and absorb this impact in order to invest behind growth and accelerate volumes and our competitive position in this segment. Having exited the quarter at number one position, our aspiration continues to grow, share and widen the competitive gap.
Second, the full period impact of the GST rate increase on 350cc/ motorcycles portfolio was absorbed. You recall when we had last spoken, the GST rates on motorcycles in excess of 350cc had moved up from the 31% which is essentially 28%. GST rate plus 3% says to 40% and what we chose to do was to really hold pricing to ensure that momentum wasn’t lost. And therefore what we did was to really absorb that into the margins this quarter. And it was done to protect volume momentum and maintain competitiveness of the segment. And you see the results reflected in the best ever performances of both KTM and Triumph.
Thirdly, in exports we took a few decisions to reinvest a part of the benefits from the higher currency realization into select geographies really to maintain the growth momentum and to really sharply drive further market share gains on mix. The quarter saw a sharp scale up in Chetak volumes with the business moving from constrained supplies in the previous quarter to the highest ever volumes in the current. While this rapid acceleration temporarily diluted profit mix given that electric two wheelers currently operate at lower margins compared to about the 20% for the enterprise, this margin drag effect was well absorbed and the scale up supports faster progression towards improved unit economics and long term market leadership.
Therefore, these operating tailwinds more than offset the combined effects of cost inflation, competitive actions that we have taken and the adverse margin mix enabling us to deliver sequential margin expansion while continuing to invest behind growth and competitiveness on a year on year basis margins expanded 60 basis points driven by favorable currency and operating leverage primarily which more than offset the inflation that we were seeing across cost lines. Coming to profit after tax quarterly path before the one time exceptional charge came in at 2549 crores it was up 21%. As you’re all aware, pursuant to the amendment in the definition of wages under the new labor code we recognized 61 crores as a one time exceptional charge towards the past service cost arising from the changes introduced under the new Labour code.
This is essentially towards gratuity, therefore profit after tax after this adjustment, this one time adjustment stood at 2503 crores, rising 19% year on year. Quickly, a word on cash. We continue to deliver strong and consistent cash generation, closing the quarter with surplus cash of about 15,000 crores. It’s also worth noting that in the first nine months of this year we’ve generated nearly 5,200 crores of free cash flow and that was up 70% over the same period last year. Resulting reflecting our strong track record of converting profit to cash, we have strategically invested slightly above 2,300 crores during this nine month period into our Netherlands subsidiary BiHBV which you would recall was partly to fund the KTM acquisition and in the growth of BACL which has steadily grown in scale and footprint.
Moving next to Consolidated Results Consolidated revenue came in at 16,204 crores up nearly 25% year on year while consolidated PAT stood at 2,750 crores registering a 25% year on year growth. The step up of standalone results. To. Consolidated results was driven by the continued strong momentum in Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd. The steady scale up of our Brazilian subsidiary, along with the net interest income that we are earning in our Netherlands subsidiary from loans that were extended to KTM Austria early in the year to fund the restructuring of that business. BACL continues to scale at a very healthy pace and has delivered another stellar quarter of strong results. The company reported a profit after tax of 200 crores reflecting a strong sequential growth of 52%. And to give you a sense of the numbers you’ve just heard a few of them from Rakesh, Assets under management stood at nearly 16,500 crores as of December end Capital risk adequacy ratio remained very healthy at a tad under 20%.
It was 19.77 at the end of the quarter and the business is delivering industry leading returns on equity at about 21% for the nine months ended 31 December 2025. BACL continues to enjoy the highest level of creditworthiness with AAA Ratings, stable long term debt rating from all the rating agencies, CRISIL CARE, ICRA and India ratings and A1 for the short term debt program from CRISIL. Let me now spend a minute on KTM. You would recall from our last earnings call, the only regulatory approval that was pending then when we had last spoken was from the European Commission Directorate of Competition under the Subsidies Regulation.
That approval was received on 10th of November 25th and following this the effective change of control and transfer of shareholding was completed on 18th November. Subsequent to the transaction and pursuant to shareholder approval received at the extraordinary general meeting that we had on 19th of November. The planned governance and structural changes to the Supervisory Board have since been implemented. Further, we have also renamed Piral Bajaj AG to Bajaj Auto International’s holdings and Piran Mobility AG which is the listed company on both the Swiss and Vienna stock Exchanges to now being called Bajaj Mobility AG post the exercise of call options and completion of the share transfer.
Baihbv, our Netherlands subsidiary now holds 100% of Bajaj Auto International’s holdings AG which was formerly called PEER, and Bajaj AG which in turn holds nearly 75% of Bajaj’s mobility AG. As a result, BAH AG and BMAG and KTMAG have now all become step down subsidiaries of Bajaj Auto. The Supervisory and management Boards have been reconstituted to align with the revised ownership structure and the governance framework, something that we had spoken about and it is now fully aligned with Bajaj Auto’s long term strategic intent for this business. For the current quarter we have not yet consolidated the KTM business on a line by line basis as Bajaj Mobility AG which was filed the purer Mobility AG publishes its financial results on a six monthly basis under European regulations and we have not altered that as yet.
However, from the next quarter onwards the KTM business will be fully consolidated into our results on a line by line basis as is required for subsidiaries. For 2026 the focus will be on the operational turnaround of the business and putting the business back on track to deliver competitive performance in the marketplace and sustainable financial results driven by the local team there that is now led by a new executive and management team and a management board. This broadly will encompass sharpening the product portfolio across the three bands of KTM, Husqvarna and GasGas, reworking the target operating model for go to market and looking for synergies between the Bajaj and the KTM system, resetting the fixed cost base across all lines, simplifying the organization and corporate structure and all of this really being led with the team out there now starting to get actively supported by the Bajaj team.
From here let me close with a brief outlook. On the commodity front, we’re seeing further cost inflation. Noble metals including rhodium, platinum and palladium are further heating up. Aluminum and copper also remain on an upward trend, while steel seems to remain broadly stable at this point. At the start of the quarter we had anticipated an impact of anywhere between 50 to 60 basis points, for which we have taken certain pricing actions across the portfolio to offset about half this impact so far. But given the very dynamic external environment, we are watching for the balance based on how the situation evolves.
With that, let me hand the call back to Anand and open the floor for questions. Thank you.
Rakesh Sharma — Executive Director
Thank you, Dinesh. With this we can open the forum for Q and A.
Questions and Answers:
operator
Thank you very much. We’ll now begin with the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press Star and one on the Touchstone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star N2 participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we’ll wait for a moment while the question queue assembled. The first question is from Line of Kapil Singh from Nomura, please go ahead.
Kapil Singh
Good evening sir and congratulations on a strong performance. My first question is on the domestic market itself. You had last time mentioned 6 to 8% industry growth outlook in the medium term. Looking at the momentum post the GST cut and hopefully some dust is settled. Now what is your read of the market situation? Are you comfortable with that forecast? You think there is upside risk here and you always mentioned that premium segments will grow faster. Is that something that is visible in consumer behavior? You’re seeing customers upgrading. And also sir, in terms of market share, earlier we used to have aspirations to increase it quite sharply.
So just your thoughts, I mean even if you can’t share any numbers, but just your thoughts on how you want the market share to evolve over next, let’s say two years.
Rakesh Sharma
Okay, thanks. So based on the way December and January are unfolding or December is unfolded and very soon you’ll have the JAN numbers as well. It seems that the industry momentum, motorcycle industry grows, growth momentum has sustained and in fact done better than what we were thinking it would do. So that’s why I’m saying that we could be looking at something like 12 to 15% growth over the next few months. It’s very hazardous to try and give a growth number which is very long term and then one starts to take a conservative view. But in the immediate term I think a double digit growth rate is possible with a 3, 4 percentage point difference between the entry level and between the bottom half and the top half.
So that’s the way we are looking. And like I said, this is a very supportive environment for us. Now the only spoiler could be inflation with the rupee being where it is. If that drives inflation and particularly, you know, things like fuel rentals, food products we all know is very, very all time low inflation. But some of these other sectors also, they then go and diminish the purchasing power of our customers and that could be a spoiler. So we have to continuously watch that. If that remains in check, then I would say yeah, these type of growth levels of 12% to 50% could sustain themselves.
And the second part, yeah, the market share, yeah, of course the market share aspiration is to continuously grow, particularly in the 125cc segment. So we did take, like I said in my opening remarks, we did take a hit in Q4 and Q1. I mean, you know, if you sort of step, take a step back a few years when the ABS was announced for 150cc, which led to, you know, the slowdown in the 150cc plus segment but the 125cc segment boomed and at that time I recall I may have some numbers here and there but I recall our market share in the 125cc segment was 9% but we were the fastest to the market with the extension of Pulsar into the Pulsar 125cc range and within couple of years we crossed the.
We went from 9% to 20% plus. Now what has happened in the last financial year particularly in the second half were the progressive launches by competitors and you know these product introduction cycles then are not synchronized with competition because we started early, they started later but their newer products last year ours were still we started to correct that we had a choice about introducing some new products in October et cetera but on the balance we did not want to disturb the season. There were so many things going on in this season as you know. So our heartland of our pulsar Equity is the 150 segment.
And we like I said in my remarks between after Diwali and now seven introductions have been made across the three ranges which we have in Pulsar 150cc plus signal eight more as we speak to every month. This barrage will continue right through the next six, seven months and that’s why we will have a completely refreshed Pulsar portfolio. We have prioritized the entire R and D and innovation effort in our heartland which is a 15060 plus segment which we are credited with creating that and we want to make sure that we are undisputed leaders there. And these seven plus segments, eight interventions over the last two months and another four, five months going forward will I think galvanize the whole share acquisition effort.
And so we are looking at the next six months then let’s get that right and then let’s see what we want to do in two years after. So that’s where we are. We are very, very optimistic about and some of the new products which have been put in particularly the end series etc. It’s early days but whatever it’s worth we are getting good positive reaction.
Kapil Singh
Great sir. On the exports I just wanted update on what is the growth outlook for you know, remaining few months of this year and next year what broad ranges you are thinking about and which will be the key markets that will drive that growth. In particular for Mexico. You can share some update because you know there is potential to gain market share over there as you know it will have a duty advantage. So what, you know just these things.
Rakesh Sharma
Yeah, so we are expecting the growth tempo to continue. But I think this quarter, which is quarter four, we expect hopefully that we will turn in a 200 plus, 200,000 unit plus performance and thereafter hopefully it should go. And I always say this with a little bit of caution because you know, disruption in the emerging markets and dislocations is a way of life, right from banning, tariff, currency devaluation, shipping. So there are these ups and downs. But over the year, you know, the export business unit has demonstrated its resilience. And even when a key market like Nigeria where used to do 50,000 units and it is half, we have still, you know, gone ahead and delivered this performance.
So I feel that we will have the resilience. Something will go up, something will come down, but very difficult. We take it as we go through the quarter at this point of time, in the near term we are seeing the growth. So we are in 108 countries and you know, the whole success of the export business is actually disregarding the Pareto rule where if we enter a country, we enter it to win it. So whether it is a country like Haiti where in the Caribbean where we sell 200 units per month or you know, something like Nigeria where we do 30,000 units, we give it the same attention.
So I wouldn’t say that, you know, we are going to be focusing. But there are the top 30 countries, like I said, which account for 75% of the industry. And each of those we will grow our market share. So I would say that we will continue to have that kind of an approach. And the great thing is that the sources of growth are quite broad based now. So that’s very, very helpful.
Kapil Singh
EV revenue and the export revenue please.
operator
Kapil, sorry to interrupt you but we lost your audio in between. Can I request you to repeat your question please?
Kapil Singh
I mentioned, can you share the absolute EV revenue and export revenue please?
Dinesh Thapar
Export revenues a couple were about 600. Million
Kapil Singh
and EV revenue, sir,
Dinesh Thapar
EV revenue. As you referred from Rakesh was about 25% of domestic revenue.
Kapil Singh
Is it possible to share the number.
Dinesh Thapar
After the call? Let’s just leave a few questions for the rest in the queue as well.
Kapil Singh
Sure, sir, sure. Thanks.
operator
Thank you very much. A kind request to all the participants. Kindly restrict your questions to two per participant and rejoin the queue for a follow up question. Next question is from line of Gunjan Pratyani from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Gunjan Prithyani
Yeah, hi, thanks for taking my question. Just to follow up on the whole product refresh, I think, of course you know that this will create excitement in the confidence around the volume growth and market share. I think I’m just asking a little bit beyond, you know, couple of quarters when you think of next two, three years is there a need to introduce more brands within the portfolio? And we have spoken about adding a new brand in 125Cp to have the price ladder. Can you just share some thoughts? I want to just hear your thoughts more holistically that do you feel that there is a need to have more brands beyond Pulsar to get to the market share aspiration that you have from a medium term perspective?
Rakesh Sharma
Yeah, sure. From a couple of years perspective I agree with you. There is certainly need for a brand in the let’s say 125cc segments. And. There are plans afoot for that. As I’ve talked previously we have a brand Dominars which of course has a small presence in India but is highly successful in Latam, Turkey etc. Brazil, etc. And of course when we are looking at our product plan we are not just looking at India but we are looking at all the markets which we operate in. Just for your information for example we sell more 250cc plus bikes in Mexico than in India. So you know that will give you an idea that how important it is for us to have international markets integrated into the NPD process.
And. Because of that we see a very good opportunity for expanding the portfolio. Dominar. The Dominar brand and it will have its fallout and consequences. We feel that if this macroeconomic growth sustains itself we’ll continue to see, you know, bigger and better bikes sort of growing faster. And therefore we see that the Dominar portfolio also expanding. We also see us either through a new brand or through within the same umbrella brand getting into some new formats like you know, on off or off roading type of bike. And so a pretty rich pipeline both in terms of the portfolio and some brand new brands.
The birth of new brands and it could also be some of our existing dormant brands which will just dust off and reintroduce them. So they may not just be absolutely, absolutely new brands but they could be one of us, the brand which we possess but which have been dormant.
Gunjan Prithyani
Can I ask if there is an update. And can I just check if there is an updated timeline on the the new 125cc bike that we were looking to introduce this year?
Rakesh Sharma
Yes, there is an updated timeline but I cannot share it with you. Of course there is a very important part of our portfolio that’s fair to.
Gunjan Prithyani
Assume it’s happening this year.
Rakesh Sharma
It is happening now. You’re trying to get. We’ll call you for the launch conference. Don’t worry.
Gunjan Prithyani
Okay, just second question on commodity, I think. Dinesh, thanks for sharing the head, you know, the headwind that we anticipate, you know, at this point for quarter four. But I think maybe just if you can share a little bit more color on how should we think about salience of some of these commodities which are seeing a surge like precious metals, copper, aluminum, because there’s continuously inflation which is going on. Right. And the numbers that you sort of shared are probably how things start as of today. So if you can give a bit of more color on the salience of these commodities and where should be focusing more on in terms of the impact.
Dinesh Thapar
So you’re right. I think on a few of these commodities it is clearly very volatile, as it were. Like the bulk of the inflation from what the team shows to me right now continues to be on the Noble Metals portfolio where the inflation is essentially double digit. In terms of what copper has inflated quite significantly between quarter three and quarter four. I think the rest of the metals that I called out were essentially low single digit, but all of these are inflating quite significantly. One way we’re trying to mitigate this because obviously this is every time we have the upswing in the cost or the inflation cycle is to try and see how much you can lock in for the quarter and then try and move out, because a lot of this is also negotiated commodities.
So the idea, that’s why I did call out a ballpark of between 50 to 60 basis points, in fact, as we originally estimated it. And we’ll try and see if we can operate within that. We’ve priced out for half of it, but I think we’ll have to just be a little bit more nimble with pricing depending on how this commodity situation evolves over the next few weeks. So we’re watching it by the day, as you would imagine, just given the volatility. But we’ve just covered for half, knowing fully well that there is also some tailwind that is coming in on the currency.
Gunjan Prithyani
But how big is this as a percentage of your RM or just the PGM and copper, if you can give some color, are joined by the Q after that?
Dinesh Thapar
Okay, I don’t have that offhand. It is a very micro piece. But you know, I’m sitting here and we’ll try and get you what’s the relative contribution of some of these inflating commodities to the total Got it.
Gunjan Prithyani
Thank you so much.
operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Rishi Vora from Kodak Securities. Please go ahead.
Rishi Vora
Yeah, thank you for the opportunity. My first question is regarding the export three wheeler business which has been doing quite well over the last couple of quarters. Can you give us some color on which geographies are driving that growth and how should we think about it going into FY27?
Rakesh Sharma
This is a consequence of the big development efforts which we have been putting in consistently. And the wonderful thing is that I’m unable to answer your question in a brief manner because there are so many countries which are contributing. I can’t single out even three or four or five. So there are multiple of them. There are many which have crossed the 2000 units per month mark. There are many which are above the 1000 units per month. So that’s the wonderful thing about it. And hopefully all these territories we will drive for depth and therefore growth even while we have got at least half a dozen new markets on the boil where we will start.
It takes about two years, I have found for a market from zero to some kind of a scale, it takes at least two years. And we have some territories which are sort of reaching the midway mark of development. So there is a pipeline as well.
Rishi Vora
Any top five countries or top three countries, you could share the name.
Rakesh Sharma
That’s what I’m saying to you. There’s no top five. There are top 25, you know, between thousand and two and a half thousand. There are Guatemala, Honduras, Philippines, Afghanistan, Ghana, Nigeria. I mean there are 20 of these countries. So that will not sort of give you much joy.
Rishi Vora
Understood? Understood. Two questions for Dinesh. One is just clarification. When you’re talking about 50 to 60bps metal inflation, is it inclusive of the currency tailwind which may see in the fourth quarter as well, or it’s excluding that?
Dinesh Thapar
No, in the fourth quarter. If your question was on fourth quarter, the 5060 bips is pristine material cost inflation.
Rishi Vora
Okay. So currency will incrementally also be achievement.
Dinesh Thapar
Similar to my commentary in quarter three when we had spoken, I’d said at that point of time we had anticipated inflation to be of the similar order of magnitude at that point of time. I said I hope that currency tailwind will provide for it as it indeed did in quarter four because we had deferred all the pricing in quarter three. In quarter four we have started the quarter by absorbing and providing pricing to the extent of half of the commodity inflation for this quarter. Yeah. So 5060 pristine material cost inflation.
Rishi Vora
Understood. And second, our other operating income has increased sharply on a sequence or a YOY basis. So what are the factors for that? Yeah, it’s.
Dinesh Thapar
It’s one of those quarters where everything’s come together to be able to contribute to stepped up other operating income. Clearly export incentives, increased royalty on BGO and clearly a step up on pli. Just given the growth of the electric business quite significantly within that profile of the electric growth is now a material contribution coming in from the electric three wheeler business which you know is higher ASPs. And the third really I would say is really now we’re operating on the highest bracket of the PLI incentive.
Rishi Vora
Okay, so that 13, like whatever 13 has moved to 16 or 18, is it correct?
Dinesh Thapar
Correct.
Rishi Vora
Okay, thank you. All the best.
operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Chandra Molly from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Chandramouli Muthiah
Hi, good evening and thank you. Take my questions. My first question is just a clarification on the provider remarks you made. I think you called out that you’re looking to do 200000 units sort of. Monkey runways on exports in Q4. Q4 historically has been previously slower quarter on exports. So just want to understand if I heard that right and that is what you’re looking at over the near term in terms of export run rate?
Rakesh Sharma
Yeah, I couldn’t. The audio was not very clear. But I suppose you’re asking whether we will be able to do 200,000. Yeah, that was goal only point is that in the end, you know March is a very short month because we closed it much earlier. For an exports point of view. So you have much less days left for managing the shipping et cetera. But it’s looking like 200k plus.
Chandramouli Muthiah
I think the reason I’m asking is just given that exports now versus the peak that was made two and a half three years back in exports on a quarterly basis before sort of Nigeria moderated seems to be just 5 to. 6% off that peak. And then I think we’ve seen so far this year close to 20% year to date growth on export volumes. And this 200,000 run rate seems to suggest that that 20% run rate can continue even though export volumes seem to be closer to the previous, you know. Peak made during COVID So that’s, that’s. I think the trying to understand how you’re thinking about the export business going forward around these analysts.
Rakesh Sharma
Well, you know I have not fully grasped the arithmetic which you’re doing but I can assure you that these are very consequential ratios and things for us. I mean we basically look at the markets and try to maximize, optimize our business in each of the markets and. Then we see how it’s looking like consequentially. So I’m not fully. We’re not operating the business from those kind of dials.
Chandramouli Muthiah
All right, got it. That’s helpful. My second question is this around domestic business. I think you did mention that you see the 125, 50 plus segment potentially growing faster than the rest of the market, which could be in double digits and maybe late Q3 onwards. Your market share recovery efforts have begun in full swing, but just the last couple of quarters, I think the domestic business has grown. I think December quarter the domestic business for the industry grew about 17%. Y oi and Bajaj was in the low single digits. So over the next couple of quarters, as you mentioned, with your market share recovery efforts and potential product launches, do you see your own volume growth converging to that mid teens level that the industry could grow versus the current sort of low single digit run rate? Just trying to understand that math a little better.
Rakesh Sharma
Watch the space on Monday morning to figure out the growth rate for January. But yes, we are hoping that it will definitely be in double digit. That’s what the aspiration is. Absolutely. And that’s what I was saying that we are, you know, this is a performance category and it’s highly dependent on the product portfolios. And I will admit that we were fast into the market and then after that the others followed and when others followed, our portfolio was looking a bit jaded in comparison to the newer but later others. And now we are restoring, you know, that parity or that improvement and doing that thing. We had a dilemma whether to do it slightly earlier and you know, manage the complexity in the season or go through the season and do it nicely and place it nicely for the customers.
And that program has become in righteous, commenced in right earnest and some green shoots are already visible. So yes, I think we will build on these and we should be able to continue the expansion of market share entirely. The whole, it’ll get better features, it’ll get better performance, it will, you know, have aggregates new color and graphics, etc. Got it.
Chandramouli Muthiah
That’s helpful. Thank you very much and all the best.
Rakesh Sharma
Thank you.
operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Manit Birani from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Amyn Pirani
Yes, hi, thank you. Thank you for the opportunity. Just one, just going back on the commodity versus pricing question once again. So Dinesh, you mentioned you know, 5060 basis points and you’ve Taken, you know, half of that through pricing but just. On a top down basis. I want to understand given the growth that you are expecting in terms of volumes and the fact that currency is continuing to be a tailwind, would it be fair to say that you have many more levers than just pricing to offset this and you may not necessarily have to take care of the remaining 50% through pricing to maintain margins. And again I’m not asking you to define in basis points but just theoretically this line of understanding, correct?
Dinesh Thapar
No, you’re right, absolutely. We’ve never singularly depended on pricing. In fact in a competitive market where the aspiration is to grow, share and invest competitively, one can’t rely on pricing. So clearly what has happened is that there is currency tailwind which is kind of coming in if you know that. And yes I’m now telling you that electric is growing but pli helping cushion that. You heard from Rakesh that we’ve inched our way up now to double digit margin on the overall electric portfolio. And when I say overall recognize it is both two wheelers plus three wheelers put together so that over a period of time is contributing to a lesser of a profit drag.
Although there’s a margin drag but hopefully the operating leverage impact of that makes up for it. So the way we see it, I mean is to manage margin not just through pricing, pricing is one part of it. I’m conscious that we’ve now had inflation for two quarters essentially quarter three and quarter four whilst we didn’t price out quarter three, quarter four just given how it is looking that’s the reason why we’ve, we’ll cover half of it but we do have the other levers and those other levers as you rightly pointed out are currency is fundamentally mix and better economics as we go along on the electric portfolio which just helps bridge the margin gap between the enterprise and.
That part of the portfolio.
Amyn Pirani
Thanks, that’s good to know. Secondly actually my question was on bsel given that business, you know, this business is quite still quite new. The fact that you are you know roping in a quarterly, you know, path of around 200 crores given your size of book, I mean this trying to understand you know because it seems based on our, you know, look of other captive fans here that your ROAS or you know, generally your profitability profile is much better and you know, you still only 45% penetrated. So. So a is there something better this is happening in your profitability and secondly given the kind of profitability and the kind of capital adequacy that you already have, do you envisage that you will have to continue to invest in this business going forward?
Dinesh Thapar
Okay, so I’ll take the last question first. I mean the last infusion we did into BACL was in October of about 300 crores. And that we think is absolutely the last of it. That is that is needed. Yeah. In fact that infusion also went in as tier two capital. Yeah. And I’m hoping you understand the distinction between tier one and Tier two. Tier one is the key remains in the business. Tier two over a period of time after regulatory prescribed limits can also be taken back. Right. But to your point, that is very much the last infusion that we’ve made into the business. In terms of your other question as to what is driving up the strong results, I think in many ways remember from an acquisition perspective, BACL is present and has ready access to the entire dealer network. From the perspective of originations, clearly that’s one benefit it has by virtue of. Being a captive. Subsidiary company in the financing company. Also the other is that if you’ve seen the cost structure and you heard Rafish talk about the digital first approach and mode that the business has taken to build out its business, it’s not a heavy street on feet, a feet on street business. Right. So it’s not about manpower and large teams. There’s a lot of digital first intervention and therefore if you see the cost structures of the BACL business, they are clearly industry leading, they’re clearly lower than anyone else that you would see as comparable peers in that space.
Amyn Pirani
Great. Thanks Noah and all the best. Thank you.
operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Joseph. George from IIFL Capital. Please go ahead.
Joseph George
Hi, thank you for the opportunity. Just couple of questions. One is if you can give the US dollar realization for the quarter on your exports and the second one is a clarification on commodities. So you know we have always thought of commodities as something that hits OEMs with a 1 quarter lag. So when you talk about a 50 to 60 dips impact in 4Q compared to 3Q, is it benchmark to the commodity prices that we are seeing now or is today’s commodities that we see something that will hit us in the June quarter? Just try to understand the lag impact. Thank you.
Dinesh Thapar
Okay, your first question was I guess on the dollar realization.
Joseph George
Yes.
Dinesh Thapar
Yeah. So our dollar realization for the quarter. Was at 88.3 compared to 87.1 in the previous quarter and 84.3 in the quarter at the same time last Year. Second question is. Okay, sorry. Okay to your second question. Joseph, to your second question. The the comments that I’ve made on commodity which is where I mentioned that we anticipate to be between 5060 basis points is for the current quarter four.
Joseph George
Sure. So the clarification is looking for was you know when we, I mean our old understanding was that commodities hit OEMs with typically the 1/4 lag. So when you talk about this 5060 bips, does it factor in the commodity prices that we are seeing on the screen today or will today’s commodity prices as we see it is that something that will hit us maybe with the quarters lakhs in the June quarter?
Dinesh Thapar
I think the answer to that is we normally do an estimation as typical at the start of every quarter. The estimation on material cost inflation is a function of negotiated rates for metals which are actually negotiated and locked in and for the rest it is really an estimation that our teams do on how it will play out for the rest of the quarter.
Joseph George
Okay, thank you.
operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Raghunandan Nl from Nuama Research. Please go ahead.
Raghunandhan NL
Congratulations sir on strong performance and thank you for the comprehensive insights. Firstly on wiki, the E rickshaw and E cart can you indicate how has been the initial feedback and current volume. How do you see the potential for FY27 and also if you can indicate the target number of cities by end of the year.
Rakesh Sharma
Yeah, so the initial product acceptance has been very good. We started with four cities and we are now not really cities but towns and we are now in about 40 where we are just seeded. We are just seeding these places in the northeast and the north and at least till April May. Our objective is just is not really to scale up but we need to observe acceptance. We need to make sure that. The. Product is performing well. We need to support it with service and make sure that the proposition is understood and in that way craft our playbook for future scale up. We don’t really have a target in mind but yes we or a number in mind for FY27. But what we would like is is that we would start to scale up let’s say from April May onwards start to get into more cities and more dealerships and also start to do some activation based on the learnings of these few months.
Raghunandhan NL
Got it sir. Thank you. And given that on electric two wheelers we have reached such a large scale and also we’ve been continuously working on supply chain. Currently on the electric two wheeler margin would be ebitda breakeven.
Rakesh Sharma
Your previous question of Ireland. You know, while the market is large at 45,000 units, only 10% of it is lithium ion. And why I’m saying that we need to have a good playbook to understand how to do this. Our real objective is to understand how to upgrade the customer from the old lead assets, which is much cheaper to the lithium ion. So it’s not a seamless movement into lithium ion. There is a false line because of this big difference in the type of powertrain battery which is used. Therefore our objective is to first understand how to do this and then once it starts to show some result, then.
We start to scale up. That is the reason.
Raghunandhan NL
Got it sir. Understood. And would you be also looking at a swappable option?
Rakesh Sharma
We are looking at swappable options both for 3 wheelers and 2 wheelers but not only for E rig. That is a separate development exercise which is going.
Raghunandhan NL
Sir, my second question was on electric two wheeler. EBITDA margin would be the, you know, like profitable as of now.
Rakesh Sharma
Just mentioned it. Your question was have we hit EBITDA break even for electric two wheelers? To which my response was yes, we have.
Raghunandhan NL
Okay, thank you. Thank you so much. And Denise. Sir, as part of the KTM turnaround plan, can you indicate areas of synergy? How would India play a role? Would more production happen in India? Your thoughts on that? Thank you.
Dinesh Thapar
I also want to be very careful because remember Bajaj Mobility is also a listed company on Austria. I hope that you will join some of their calls as well. But look, I think we are at a stage right now, having taken control at the end of November to work together with the newly formed management or executive board over there to drive a full 360 degree plan. And you know I was just. When I say 360 degree plan it means it fundamentally touches all parts of the operations. And between Rakesh and my commentary, you would have heard it was about organization.
It was about sharpening the portfolio across brands, where they play and how they play, right. Eliminating any overlaps and reworking position in. It is about looking for synergies and distribution and go to market between the Bajaj and KTM systems. It is about rewiring cost structures across the breadth end to end. Whether it is material cost or whether it is overheads or establishment costs. And that is a program that they are driving. It is about unlocking liquidity. As we mentioned, it was about building various capabilities for the longer term components, competitive growth of the business, particularly in things like R and D design and styling.
So there’s a full plan which is now being built out, which is being led by the executive board over there. And really leveraging strength from Bajaj where we can. And hopefully in this, we will find synergies for both organizations across these areas as well. But it’s still early days since we’ve only gotten involved seriously after having taken control.
Raghunandhan NL
Noted, sir. Very helpful. Thank you very much.
operator
Thank you very much, ladies and gentlemen. We’ll take that as the last question. I’ll now hand the conference over to Mr. Anand Nevar, head of investor relations, for closing comments.
Anand Newar
Thank you, everyone, for joining the call. Good day.
Dinesh Thapar
Thank you.
Anand Newar
Thank you all.
operator
Thank you very much. On behalf of Bajaj Auto limited that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. And you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.